Trump approval ratings thread 1.3

[GeorgiaModerate]

SurveyMonkey weekly tracker, May 24-30, 13531 adults including 11682 registered voters

Among all adults:

Approve 45 (nc)
Disapprove 52 (-1)

Strongly approve 26 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-1)

Among RV:

Approve 47 (nc)
Disapprove 52 (nc)

Strongly approve 29 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 41 (nc)

That's with even party id?

Yes.  Among all adults party ID is 29R, 29D, 38 I/neither.  When the last group is pushed, they leaned 23R, 22D, 47 neither.

Among RV, it's 31R, 31D, 35 I/neither.  The last group leans 28R, 26D, 43 neither when pushed.

[Dr. Arch]

SurveyMonkey weekly tracker, May 24-30, 13531 adults including 11682 registered voters

Among all adults:

Approve 45 (nc)
Disapprove 52 (-1)

Strongly approve 26 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-1)

Among RV:

Approve 47 (nc)
Disapprove 52 (nc)

Strongly approve 29 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 41 (nc)

That's with even party id?

Yes.  Among all adults party ID is 29R, 29D, 38 I/neither.  When the last group is pushed, they leaned 23R, 22D, 47 neither.

Among RV, it's 31R, 31D, 35 I/neither.  The last group leans 28R, 26D, 43 neither when pushed.

Uhh, don't Democrats have a registration age?

[GeorgiaModerate]

SurveyMonkey weekly tracker, May 24-30, 13531 adults including 11682 registered voters

Among all adults:

Approve 45 (nc)
Disapprove 52 (-1)

Strongly approve 26 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-1)

Among RV:

Approve 47 (nc)
Disapprove 52 (nc)

Strongly approve 29 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 41 (nc)

That's with even party id?

Yes.  Among all adults party ID is 29R, 29D, 38 I/neither.  When the last group is pushed, they leaned 23R, 22D, 47 neither.

Among RV, it's 31R, 31D, 35 I/neither.  The last group leans 28R, 26D, 43 neither when pushed.

Uhh, don't Democrats have a registration age?

Yes, it's not a very realistic sample.  (Note that SurveyMonkey has a D- in 538's new pollster ratings.)

[Person Man]

SurveyMonkey weekly tracker, May 24-30, 13531 adults including 11682 registered voters

Among all adults:

Approve 45 (nc)
Disapprove 52 (-1)

Strongly approve 26 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-1)

Among RV:

Approve 47 (nc)
Disapprove 52 (nc)

Strongly approve 29 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 41 (nc)

That's with even party id?

Yes.  Among all adults party ID is 29R, 29D, 38 I/neither.  When the last group is pushed, they leaned 23R, 22D, 47 neither.

Among RV, it's 31R, 31D, 35 I/neither.  The last group leans 28R, 26D, 43 neither when pushed.

Uhh, don't Democrats have a registration age?

Yes, it's not a very realistic sample.  (Note that SurveyMonkey has a D- in 538's new pollster ratings.)

Almost banned...

[Gass3268]

Trump's approval is unsurprisingly pretty awful in Washington:

https://twitter.com/Jim_Brunner/status/1000115075905015808

Source

Trump is also underwater in Eastern Washington and it looks like the Olympic Peninsula's flirtation with Trump has ended.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Person Man]

Trump's approval is unsurprisingly pretty awful in Washington:

https://twitter.com/Jim_Brunner/status/1000115075905015808

Source

Trump is also underwater in Eastern Washington and it looks like the Olympic Peninsula's flirtation with Trump has ended.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

About right.

[KingSweden]

Trump's approval is unsurprisingly pretty awful in Washington:

https://twitter.com/Jim_Brunner/status/1000115075905015808

Source

Trump is also underwater in Eastern Washington and it looks like the Olympic Peninsula's flirtation with Trump has ended.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

RIP Joe Fain and Mark Miloscia if those King County numbers are accurate

[BudgieForce]

So unrelated, by why does SurveyMonkey have a D- rating from 538? They dont seem any worse than Rasmussen or Morning Consult,  both of which have a C+ and a C- grade respectively.

[Person Man]

So unrelated, by why does SurveyMonkey have a D- rating from 538? They dont seem any worse than Rasmussen or Morning Consult,  both of which have a C+ and a C- grade respectively.

They do dubious online polls. Ras and MC are landline only.

[pbrower2a]

Farmers and ranchers have ordinarily been a core constituency for Republicans. That may not be so in 2018 and 2020, which means that Republicans can lose badly -- Senate seats, House seats, Governorships... in the High Plains. The Presidency? These states are not going to make or break Republican campaigns for President.

[pbrower2a]

Watch out for North and South Dakota this year and in 2020. They could be battlegrounds in 2020?

If those two states (or Kansas or Nebraska) should be battlegrounds in  2020, then there will likely  be a Democratic landslide

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

ND and SD are such small states,  it's like HI,  not worth it.

[Dr. Arch]

ND and SD are such small states,  it's like HI,  not worth it.

Every state is worth it.

[JA]

ND and SD are such small states,  it's like HI,  not worth it.

Every state is worth it.

[pbrower2a]

ND and SD are such small states,  it's like HI,  not worth it.

But the people of those states are worth it.

[Politician]

ND and SD are such small states,  it's like HI,  not worth it.

Every state is worth it.

[Fuzzy Bear]

ND and SD are such small states,  it's like HI,  not worth it.

But the people of those states are worth it.

The "too small to be worth it" attitude is a product of the inelasticity of so much of the electorate.

The people of all states are worthy of the attention of their prospective Presidents.

[Person Man]

ND and SD are such small states,  it's like HI,  not worth it.

But the people of those states are worth it.

The "too small to be worth it" attitude is a product of the inelasticity of so much of the electorate.

The people of all states are worthy of the attention of their prospective Presidents.

Maybe if money wasn't an issue, we wouldn't be having this conversation. Thanks Citizens United!

[KingSweden]

ND and SD are such small states,  it's like HI,  not worth it.

But the people of those states are worth it.

The "too small to be worth it" attitude is a product of the inelasticity of so much of the electorate.

The people of all states are worthy of the attention of their prospective Presidents.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

ND and SD are such small states,  it's like HI,  not worth it.

But the people of those states are worth it.

The "too small to be worth it" attitude is a product of the inelasticity of so much of the electorate.

The people of all states are worthy of the attention of their prospective Presidents.

Exactly... and ND has shown itself to be very open-minded. It's frequently elected democratic house and democratic senators. While it did go republican by p massive margins from most of 2000-2016, they noticeably shifted hard to Obama in 2008.

Now I'm not saying dems should focus on ND or even campaign there... I'm just saying that it's worth contesting most areas in at least some elections.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

ND and SD are such small states,  it's like HI,  not worth it.

But the people of those states are worth it.

The "too small to be worth it" attitude is a product of the inelasticity of so much of the electorate.

The people of all states are worthy of the attention of their prospective Presidents.

Exactly... and ND has shown itself to be very open-minded. It's frequently elected democratic house and democratic senators. While it did go republican by p massive margins from most of 2000-2016, they noticeably shifted hard to Obama in 2008.

Now I'm not saying dems should focus on ND or even campaign there... I'm just saying that it's worth contesting most areas in at least some elections.

On the other hand... I think energy policy is so central to Trump's image (and one of the areas where he's followed through on his campaign promises) that I have a hard time seeing a state so oil-rich straying from him. I think as long as we're talking about a president with a consistent pro-oil image, we're going to see ND voting like WV-lite.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup weekly:

Approve 41 (+1)
Disapprove 55 (nc)

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Gallup weekly:

Approve 41 (+1)
Disapprove 55 (nc)

The beginning of the Korea/Economy bump forming. I hope some good news for Dems come quick.

[LimoLiberal]

PA-01 Monmouth

Approve - 47
Disapprove - 49

Trump doing great in Bucks county relative to 2016.

[KingSweden]

PA-01 Monmouth

Approve - 47
Disapprove - 49

Trump doing great in Bucks county relative to 2016.

How so? He’s -2 rather than his election result of -0.8. Of course that’s a distinction minor enough that I’d argue that it’s essentially the same as 2016, as that difference is small enough to be MoE.

Of course you aren’t analyzing in good faith so Im sure you’ll ignore what I just said.