Trump approval ratings thread 1.3
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hofoid
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« Reply #1175 on: May 21, 2018, 03:06:34 PM »
Kim Jong reneging on talks must be causing the slump. Cool.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1176 on: May 21, 2018, 03:35:06 PM »
All three polls today are a slump. Is it a trend? We don't know yet. But Trump's momentum has definitely stalled.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1177 on: May 21, 2018, 03:37:49 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on May 21, 2018, 03:35:06 PM
All three polls today are a slump. Is it a trend? We don't know yet. But Trump's momentum has definitely stalled.

Possibly, but two of the three were from lousy pollsters (Rasmussen and ARRRGGGG), so I'd like to see more confirmation before thinking it's a trend.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1178 on: May 21, 2018, 03:38:04 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on May 21, 2018, 03:37:49 PM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on May 21, 2018, 03:35:06 PM
All three polls today are a slump. Is it a trend? We don't know yet. But Trump's momentum has definitely stalled.

Possibly, but two of the three were from lousy pollsters (Rasmussen and ARRRGGGG), so I'd like to see more confirmation before thinking it's a trend.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1179 on: May 21, 2018, 03:46:27 PM »
« Edited: May 21, 2018, 04:00:05 PM by PittsburghSteel »
Quote from: Safe R Wisconsin on May 21, 2018, 03:06:34 PM
Kim Jong reneging on talks must be causing the slump. Cool.

I think it's more of a combination of a few things: North Korea, Mueller getting back in the news, Santa Fe, and just the fact the past two or three weeks have been nothing but good news for Trump, and the fact it's all out of the news. Again, this is just today.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1180 on: May 22, 2018, 09:30:23 AM »
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1181 on: May 22, 2018, 10:11:10 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on May 22, 2018, 09:30:23 AM


Really nice resource.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1182 on: May 23, 2018, 09:40:55 AM »
YouGov, May 20-22, 1500 adults including 1263 registered voters

Among all adults:

Approve 38 (-1)
Disapprove 50 (nc)

Strongly approve 20 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 38 (nc)

Among RV:

Approve 41 (-3)
Disapprove 54 (+2)

Strongly approve 26 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 43 (nc)

GCB: D 43 (+1), R 38 (+1)
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1183 on: May 23, 2018, 10:06:28 AM »
Before anyone shouts COLLAPSE let me just say I think it’s more of a slight decline from a plateau
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1184 on: May 23, 2018, 10:18:19 AM »
Quote from: KingSweden on May 23, 2018, 10:06:28 AM
Before anyone shouts COLLAPSE let me just say I think it’s more of a slight decline from a plateau

COLLASPE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1185 on: May 23, 2018, 10:18:59 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on May 23, 2018, 10:18:19 AM
Quote from: KingSweden on May 23, 2018, 10:06:28 AM
Before anyone shouts COLLAPSE let me just say I think it’s more of a slight decline from a plateau

COLLASPE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

lool
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1186 on: May 23, 2018, 05:55:05 PM »
« Edited: May 23, 2018, 06:00:40 PM by PittsburghSteel »
Crosstabs-

73% of Americans don't think North Korea will denuclearize

Voters approve of Trump's handling of North Korea 42-41%, it was higher a week ago. The news of the possibility of the summit being cancelled is hurting Trump.

64% of 18-29 year olds think Trump is a weak leader

Americans disapprove of Trump's handling of Healthcare 49-34%

Americans disapprove of Trump's handling of gun violence 46-38%
18-29 year olds disapprove 50-26%

Americans oppose the Tax Cuts 34-33%

Hispanics disapprove of Trump 54-26%

African Americans disapprove of Trump 74-11%

REGIONS-

Midwest disapproves of Trump 50-39% !!!
Northeast disapproves of Trump 52-35%
South disapproves of Trump 49-39% !!!
West disapproves of Trump 52-39%
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1187 on: May 23, 2018, 06:03:50 PM »
Trump is at his highest point in more than a year in the Huffpost Pollster aggregate. Upswing continues.
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #1188 on: May 23, 2018, 06:15:10 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on May 23, 2018, 06:03:50 PM
Trump is at his highest point in more than a year in the Huffpost Pollster aggregate. Upswing continues.

What’s he at there? I usually only look at rcp and 538
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1189 on: May 23, 2018, 06:21:07 PM »
« Edited: May 23, 2018, 06:26:33 PM by GeorgiaModerate »
Quote from: Singletxguyforfun on May 23, 2018, 06:15:10 PM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on May 23, 2018, 06:03:50 PM
Trump is at his highest point in more than a year in the Huffpost Pollster aggregate. Upswing continues.

What’s he at there? I usually only look at rcp and 538

To summarize all 3:

HuffPo: 45.3/51.2 (-5.9)

RCP: 43.7/52.7 (-9.0)

538: 42.2/52.6 (-10.4)

EDIT: what if we average the averages? Wink  The result is:

Approve 43.7
Disapprove 52.2
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1190 on: May 23, 2018, 06:33:45 PM »
If you remove Rasmussen from the Huffpost aggregate, Trump drops 2 points.
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #1191 on: May 23, 2018, 06:36:09 PM »
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on May 23, 2018, 06:33:45 PM
If you remove Rasmussen from the Huffpost aggregate, Trump drops 2 points.

Yeah and if you remove Lebron Janes the Celtics would’ve won the series
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1192 on: May 23, 2018, 06:38:25 PM »
Quote from: Singletxguyforfun on May 23, 2018, 06:36:09 PM
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on May 23, 2018, 06:33:45 PM
If you remove Rasmussen from the Huffpost aggregate, Trump drops 2 points.

Yeah and if you remove Lebron Janes the Celtics would’ve won the series

True, but Rasmussen is emphatically not the Lebron of pollsters. Smiley
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1193 on: May 23, 2018, 06:39:19 PM »
« Edited: May 23, 2018, 06:43:15 PM by superbudgie1582 »
Quote from: Singletxguyforfun on May 23, 2018, 06:36:09 PM
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on May 23, 2018, 06:33:45 PM
If you remove Rasmussen from the Huffpost aggregate, Trump drops 2 points.

Yeah and if you remove Lebron Janes the Celtics would’ve won the series

My point wasn't to imply we should disregard Rasmussen, just that the Huffpost aggregate is sensitive to daily tracking polls. Because Rasmussen tends to be so favorable for Trump, it causes the entire aggregate to swing in his favor.

Edit: 2 points isnt all that much, but LimoLiberal is implying something that should have an asterisk.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1194 on: May 23, 2018, 07:08:23 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on May 23, 2018, 06:38:25 PM
Quote from: Singletxguyforfun on May 23, 2018, 06:36:09 PM
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on May 23, 2018, 06:33:45 PM
If you remove Rasmussen from the Huffpost aggregate, Trump drops 2 points.

Yeah and if you remove Lebron Janes the Celtics would’ve won the series

True, but Rasmussen is emphatically not the Lebron of pollsters. Smiley
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1195 on: May 24, 2018, 07:09:05 AM »
Quote from: KingSweden on May 23, 2018, 07:08:23 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on May 23, 2018, 06:38:25 PM
Quote from: Singletxguyforfun on May 23, 2018, 06:36:09 PM
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on May 23, 2018, 06:33:45 PM
If you remove Rasmussen from the Huffpost aggregate, Trump drops 2 points.

Yeah and if you remove Lebron Janes the Celtics would’ve won the series

True, but Rasmussen is emphatically not the Lebron of pollsters. Smiley
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1196 on: May 24, 2018, 09:49:29 AM »
Wow!!!
Trump only -20 in net approval in CA among likely voters despite losing the state in 2016 by 30 points, according to new gold standard PPIC poll.



Trump's popularity has evidently grown in California since the 2016 election.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #1197 on: May 24, 2018, 09:55:45 AM »
LimoLiberal says nothing important.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1198 on: May 24, 2018, 10:03:19 AM »

I dont even know anymore.
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #1199 on: May 24, 2018, 10:47:44 AM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on May 24, 2018, 09:49:29 AM
Wow!!!
Trump only -20 in net approval in CA among likely voters despite losing the state in 2016 by 30 points, according to new gold standard PPIC poll.



Trump's popularity has evidently grown in California since the 2016 election.

California isn’t going red but that’s great news for confessional republicans in the state. His approval is probably more or less even in the R held seats since the overall number is probably dragged way down by super democrat areas like LA and the Bay Area
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