Trump approval ratings thread 1.3

[LimoLiberal]

PA-01 Monmouth

Approve - 47
Disapprove - 49

Trump doing great in Bucks county relative to 2016.

How so? He’s -2 rather than his election result of -0.8. Of course that’s a distinction minor enough that I’d argue that it’s essentially the same as 2016, as that difference is small enough to be MoE.

Of course you aren’t analyzing in good faith so Im sure you’ll ignore what I just said.

He's -2 in the district, which is exactly the margin he lost it by. Suggests that he has held his 2016 electoral coalition together, which won him the presidency.

[Person Man]

PA-01 Monmouth

Approve - 47
Disapprove - 49

Trump doing great in Bucks county relative to 2016.

How so? He’s -2 rather than his election result of -0.8. Of course that’s a distinction minor enough that I’d argue that it’s essentially the same as 2016, as that difference is small enough to be MoE.

Of course you aren’t analyzing in good faith so Im sure you’ll ignore what I just said.

He's -2 in the district, which is exactly the margin he lost it by. Suggests that he has held his 2016 electoral coalition together, which won him the presidency.

Hillary won't be on the ballot. His favorables were 39 then so this makes sense.

[BudgieForce]

If Trump is where he was on election day 2016, it means his approval ratings suck. Just my quick two cents.

[KingSweden]

If Trump is where he was on election day 2016, it means his approval ratings suck. Just my quick two cents.

[twenty42]

Just a couple things to throw some cold water on the Trump obituaries in this thread lately...

—Trump’s RCP average (44.6%) is the highest it has been since April 2017.

—Obama’s RCP averages in the summer of 2010 fluctuated between 43-47%.

Both of these facts are provably true with hard data, but I’ll just sit back and wait to be called a delusional bullshi++er for asserting them.

[henster]

Just a couple things to throw some cold water on the Trump obituaries in this thread lately...

—Trump’s RCP average (44.6%) is the highest it has been since April 2017.

—Obama’s RCP averages in the summer of 2010 fluctuated between 43-47%.

Both of these facts are provably true with hard data, but I’ll just sit back and wait to be called a delusional bullshi++er for asserting them.

RCP is pretty selective in which type of polls they input, 538 has him at 42%.

[pbrower2a]

Just a couple things to throw some cold water on the Trump obituaries in this thread lately...

—Trump’s RCP average (44.6%) is the highest it has been since April 2017.

—Obama’s RCP averages in the summer of 2010 fluctuated between 43-47%.

Both of these facts are provably true with hard data, but I’ll just sit back and wait to be called a delusional bullshi++er for asserting them.

RCP includes landline polls by Rasmussen. Landline-only polling is obsolete because landline-only phone users skew elderly and conservative.   

[Politician]

Gallup weekly:

Approve 41 (+1)
Disapprove 55 (nc)

The beginning of the Korea/Economy bump forming. I hope some good news for Dems come quick.

Only a hack would consider -14 to be "good" for Trump.

[Hammy]

Just a couple things to throw some cold water on the Trump obituaries in this thread lately...

—Trump’s RCP average (44.6%) is the highest it has been since April 2017.

—Obama’s RCP averages in the summer of 2010 fluctuated between 43-47%.

Both of these facts are provably true with hard data, but I’ll just sit back and wait to be called a delusional bullshi++er for asserting them.

RCP is pretty selective in which type of polls they input, 538 has him at 42%.

Wasn't Obama something like -5 range or something at his worst? I don't think his disapprovals were ever this high.

[twenty42]

Just a couple things to throw some cold water on the Trump obituaries in this thread lately...

—Trump’s RCP average (44.6%) is the highest it has been since April 2017.

—Obama’s RCP averages in the summer of 2010 fluctuated between 43-47%.

Both of these facts are provably true with hard data, but I’ll just sit back and wait to be called a delusional bullshi++er for asserting them.

RCP is pretty selective in which type of polls they input, 538 has him at 42%.

Wasn't Obama something like -5 range or something at his worst? I don't think his disapprovals were ever this high.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

He averaged -10.4 in 2014.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup weekly:

Approve 41 (+1)
Disapprove 55 (nc)

The beginning of the Korea/Economy bump forming. I hope some good news for Dems come quick.

Only a hack would consider -14 to be "good" for Trump.

He's now claiming a 1-point movement is a bump?  Yeah, that's a hack. 

[BudgieForce]

I'm a bit wary of all the aggregates right now. The only new polls we've gotten the last month have been from daily and weekly trackers. Most of which are prone to erratic swings and iffy crosstabs.

[KingSweden]

I'm a bit wary of all the aggregates right now. The only new polls we've gotten the last month have been from daily and weekly trackers. Most of which are prone to erratic swings and iffy crosstabs.

Fair, though it’s all we have right now and must of them do reflect a small movement up in early May

[BudgieForce]

I'm a bit wary of all the aggregates right now. The only new polls we've gotten the last month have been from daily and weekly trackers. Most of which are prone to erratic swings and iffy crosstabs.

Fair, though it’s all we have right now and must of them do reflect a small movement up in early May

Absolutely. I definitely think Trump did get a bump. But it'd be nice if we could get some Landline + Cell Phone polls to get a more accurate picture. Because to be honest, none of these trackers inspire confidence.

[KingSweden]

I'm a bit wary of all the aggregates right now. The only new polls we've gotten the last month have been from daily and weekly trackers. Most of which are prone to erratic swings and iffy crosstabs.

Fair, though it’s all we have right now and must of them do reflect a small movement up in early May

Absolutely. I definitely think Trump did get a bump. But it'd be nice if we could get some Landline + Cell Phone polls to get a more accurate picture. Because to be honest, none of these trackers inspire confidence.

No, they do not.

[KingSweden]

The Roanoke poll posted in the Congressional thread had Trump 36/59 in Virginia.

Roanoke is meh, but that’d be about in line with him being -10 or -11 nationally as polls currently suggest

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos, May 31-June 4, 1593 adults

Approve 39 (nc)
Disapprove 55 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

YouGov, June 3-5, 1500 adults including 1292 registered voters.

Among all adults:

Approve 39 (nc)
Disapprove 53 (+4)

Strongly approve 23 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 40 (nc)

Among RV:

Approve 42 (-3)
Disapprove 54 (+3)

Strongly approve 27 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 44 (+1)

GCB: D 44 (+2), R 38 (-1)

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Both Trump's approval rating and the GOP's generic ballot numbers are dropping.

But of course, I don't expect Sean T or the media to take notice.

[Gass3268]

Both Trump's approval rating and the GOP's generic ballot numbers are dropping.

But of course, I don't expect Sean T or the media to take notice.

To be fair, I think Sean T is on vacation, lol.

[Gass3268]

Quinnipiac (changes are from April 25):

Approve 40% (+1)
Disapprove 51% (-3)

16% of 18-34 year olds are unsure (that might explain why there was a larger drop in disapproval than rise in approval)

Strongly Approve 29% (-2)
Slightly Approve 11% (+3)
Somewhat Disapprove 8% (+2)
Stronly Disapprove 44% (-3)

Source

[LimoLiberal]

Both Trump's approval rating and the GOP's generic ballot numbers are dropping.

But of course, I don't expect Sean T or the media to take notice.

And our first live caller poll in a month shows the opposite. Wrong again.

[junior chįmp]

Both Trump's approval rating and the GOP's generic ballot numbers are dropping.

But of course, I don't expect Sean T or the media to take notice.

And our first live caller poll in a month shows the opposite. Wrong again.

Shh shh....no tears...only dreams now

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Both Trump's approval rating and the GOP's generic ballot numbers are dropping.

But of course, I don't expect Sean T or the media to take notice.

And our first live caller poll in a month shows the opposite. Wrong again.

You're used to hearing that, aren't you?

[BudgieForce]

Being a Democrat hack, I'm kind of glad Quinnipiac didn't poll in May. It would have been mighty depressing seeing Trump break even in a quality pollster like Quinnipiac.