Trump approval ratings thread 1.3

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Quinnipiac-Ohio:

43% Approve
54% Disapprove

Source

Yeesh

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Quinnipiac-Ohio:

43% Approve
54% Disapprove

Source

What was the Ohio approval November of 2016?

[pbrower2a]

The environmental damage could take decades to undo. Higher profits from quick-buck shortcuts that allow current investors to reap quick profits and executives to reap huge bonuses will not be paid for in environmental amelioration. That's the Trump economic policy: privatize the profits and socialize the costs.

The expressions of Trump, Pruett, et al. are now more offensive than obviously harmful, especially if the environmental damage is done in secrecy. But as a rule, someone always pays.

[KingSweden]

PPP:

Approve - 39%
Disprove - 54%

No change.

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/PPP_Release_National_61318.pdf

Great, so this PPP poll is the exact reverse of "Trump doing less badly, GCB still bad for Republicans" polls we saw in the last few weeks.

Bear in mind their last GCb was nearly 3 months ago

[pbrower2a]

Another Q poll, this time of Ohio:

Quinnipiac-Ohio:

43% Approve
54% Disapprove

Source

In fact an improvement for the President, but not by much for approval. But disapproval is really awful for a state that might be R+4.

PPP and Quinnipiac are usually close, and this:

PPP:

Approve - 39%
Disprove - 54%

No change.

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/PPP_Release_National_61318.pdf

suggests that the President has an absolute ceiling near 46% of the vote in a binary election. The low approval number suggests that he might face an internecine struggle for re-nomination or face a challenge from the Right. 39% is his floor, but that is close to the level of America's worst electoral losers. 

 

55% or higher dark blue
50-54% medium blue
less than 50% but above disapproval pale blue
even white
46% to 50% but below disapproval pale red
42% to 45% medium red
under 42% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

CT 39
DC 17
DE 39
HI 33
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 45
NE-02 38
NE-03 55
NH 39
RI 30
VT 32

Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.

100-Disapproval

55% or higher dark blue
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue
50% or higher but positive pale blue

ties white

45% or higher and negative pale red
40% to 44% medium red
under 40% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
HI 36
NH 49
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36


Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.


Nothing from before November 2017. Polls from Alabama and New Jersey are exit polls from 2017 elections.  


[/quote]

[Tender Branson]

Among registered voters:

45% approve
46% disapprove

The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from June 12 to 13, 2018 with 806
adults in the United States. The results in this release have a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage
points. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_us_061418.pdf

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

This completely shows the opposite of the much more highly respected PPP poll released. Highly doubtful.

[Gass3268]

1. You read the poll wrong it’s 43-46.
2. Why does this need its own thread? We have a polling megathead for a reason.

[heatcharger]

Remember the great “statistical tie” debate? Looks like Tender learned nothing from it.

[Tender Branson]

This completely shows the opposite of the much more highly respected PPP poll released. Highly doubtful.

The PPP poll was done between June 8th to 10th.

The summit was on June 12.

1. You read the poll wrong it’s 43-46.
2. Why does this need its own thread? We have a polling megathead for a reason.

That's among all adults, I posted the RV numbers.

[Person Man]

What was their last poll like?

[KingSweden]

This belongs in the megathread.

[ON Progressive]

What was their last poll like?

45/48, so hardly any change.

[Gass3268]

This belongs in the megathread.

[KingSweden]

What was their last poll like?

45/48, so hardly any change.

This poll was six weeks ago, I believe.

[Tender Branson]

This belongs in the megathread.

This is a potentially game-changing poll after a unique summit, so it likely deserves a thread on its own.

What was their last poll like?

May poll: 45-48

March poll: 40-54

[Gass3268]

This belongs in the megathread.

This is a potentially game-changing poll after a unique summit, so it likely deserves a thread on its own.

What was their last poll like?

May poll: 45-48

March poll: 40-54

There is nothing game changing about it, it barley moved from May.

[ON Progressive]

This belongs in the megathread.

This is a potentially game-changing poll after a unique summit, so it likely deserves a thread on its own.

Oh please. This has a change in approval of literally zero and a decrease of disapproval of 2 from their last poll, which is within the margin of error so it could easily be noise.

This is not remotely a game changer.

[Tender Branson]

This belongs in the megathread.

This is a potentially game-changing poll after a unique summit, so it likely deserves a thread on its own.

What was their last poll like?

May poll: 45-48

March poll: 40-54

There is nothing game changing about it, it barley moved from May.

Maybe their May poll was a pro-Trump outlier and this is the new, more accurate sh*t ?

We need more polls of course that are done after the summit for comparison.

But the main thing of this thread is that Trump is now even, after being down by 14 in March and by 20 in other polls ...

[Virginiá]

This belongs in the megathread.

This is a potentially game-changing poll after a unique summit, so it likely deserves a thread on its own.

Oh please. This has a change in approval of literally zero and a decrease of disapproval of 2 from their last poll, which is within the margin of error so it could easily be noise.

This is not remotely a game changer.

But Tender thinks it is, and he is one of the forum's most stubborn users, so don't expect him to concede anything here.

[Tender Branson]

This belongs in the megathread.

This is a potentially game-changing poll after a unique summit, so it likely deserves a thread on its own.

Oh please. This has a change in approval of literally zero and a decrease of disapproval of 2 from their last poll, which is within the margin of error so it could easily be noise.

This is not remotely a game changer.

But Tender thinks it is, and he is one of the forum's most stubborn users, so don't expect him to concede anything here.

This has nothing to do with me really.

The "megathread" is intended for casual polls that are popping up like mushrooms and show no real movement.

This poll deserves a thread on its own.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

This belongs in the megathread.

This is a potentially game-changing poll after a unique summit, so it likely deserves a thread on its own.

Oh please. This has a change in approval of literally zero and a decrease of disapproval of 2 from their last poll, which is within the margin of error so it could easily be noise.

This is not remotely a game changer.

But Tender thinks it is, and he is one of the forum's most stubborn users, so don't expect him to concede anything here.

This has nothing to do with me really.

The "megathread" is intended for casual polls that are popping up like mushrooms and show no real movement.

This poll deserves a thread on its own.

No it does not.

[ON Progressive]

This belongs in the megathread.

This is a potentially game-changing poll after a unique summit, so it likely deserves a thread on its own.

Oh please. This has a change in approval of literally zero and a decrease of disapproval of 2 from their last poll, which is within the margin of error so it could easily be noise.

This is not remotely a game changer.

But Tender thinks it is, and he is one of the forum's most stubborn users, so don't expect him to concede anything here.

This has nothing to do with me really.

The "megathread" is intended for casual polls that are popping up like mushrooms and show no real movement.

This poll deserves a thread on its own.

This poll shows no real movement...

Quite literally only a shift in disapproval within the margin of error.

[GeorgiaModerate]

SurveyMonkey weekly tracker, June 7-13, 11226 adults including 9872 registered voters

Among all adults:

Approve 45 (nc)  [5th straight week at 45, and 10th straight at either 44 or 45]
Disapprove 52 (-1)

Strongly approve 27 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 40 (-1)

Among RV:

Approve 47 (+2)
Disapprove 52 (-1)

Strongly approve 30 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 42 (-1)

[BudgieForce]

It was -3 last month and its -3 this month, not sure what Tender is trying to tell us.

Edit: Oh, so with RVs, its -3 last month and its -1 this month. Regardless, doesnt need its own thread.