2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[junior chįmp]

Remember that last Ipsos poll with a sudden jump to R+5?  Yes, boys and girls, this is what we call an "outlier".  New poll:

D: 42 (+6)
R: 34 (-7)

LimoLiberal BTFO

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Remember that last Ipsos poll with a sudden jump to R+5?  Yes, boys and girls, this is what we call an "outlier".  New poll:

D: 42 (+6)
R: 34 (-7)

LimoLiberal BTFO

13 point BLUE SURGE in just a week. The House will have to be tripled in size just to fit how many gains the Dems will have.

[junior chįmp]

Remember that last Ipsos poll with a sudden jump to R+5?  Yes, boys and girls, this is what we call an "outlier".  New poll:

D: 42 (+6)
R: 34 (-7)

LimoLiberal BTFO

13 point BLUE SURGE in just a week. The House will have to be tripled in size just to fit how many gains the Dems will have.

+1000 seats

[Doimper]

Remember that last Ipsos poll with a sudden jump to R+5?  Yes, boys and girls, this is what we call an "outlier".  New poll:

D: 42 (+6)
R: 34 (-7)

LOL

[_]

Unfortunately, my Mind Model is indicating at a different result. Because of the Collapse on the generic ballot for Democrats (do to identity politics Becoming more important than Bernie populism), Democrats will only Gain a couple seats this November.

You're just doing this to make us laugh at this point aren't you.

[YE]

Unfortunately, my Mind Model is indicating at a different result. Because of the Collapse on the generic ballot for Democrats (do to identity politics Becoming more important than Bernie populism), Democrats will only Gain a couple seats this November.

King Lear is that you?

[Doimper]

Unfortunately, my Mind Model is indicating at a different result. Because of the Collapse on the generic ballot for Democrats (do to identity politics Becoming more important than Bernie populism), Democrats will only Gain a couple seats this November.

You're just doing this to make us laugh at this point aren't you.

Andrew can't do anything right, lol

[KingSweden]

Kind of surprised by how low Bush's "very negative"s were back in late 2006.

In 2006 the dam really broke in the summer and fall with the Mark Foley stuff. Dems probably don’t nab the House and miss out on 2-3 Senate seats without it

That was the October surprise? Now something like that would be far less damaging. You know there in s something amiss if a pizzagate like thing happens to be true and changes the fundamentals very little

Voters were already fed up with Republicans. But hearing that they were covering up the fact that one of them was preying underage boys was the straw that broke the camel's back.

Well said. That’s a good description of why Foley broke trough the noise.

[henster]

How many articles and narratives were made over a likely computer error?

[GeorgiaModerate]

How many articles and narratives were made over a likely computer error?

Charles Franklin, the Marquette U. pollster, has a long thread about how the partisan balance in Ipsos suddenly changed around May 1, and this has contributed a lot to the increases in Trump's approval and the R position on the generic ballot.  This was written before the new numbers from Ipsos.

https://twitter.com/PollsAndVotes/status/1000008090811445249

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

How many articles and narratives were made over a likely computer error?

Not sure. But Hannity, Breitbart, and the Daily Wire made sure they were plastered on the front page of google.


Btw, I wonder if Sean T at RCP will shift any ratings.

[KingSweden]

With how touchy Ipsos has been in either direction recently we should seriously consider ignoring it

[Politician]

How many articles and narratives were made over a likely computer error?

Not sure. But Hannity, Breitbart, and the Daily Wire made sure they were plastered on the front page of google.


Btw, I wonder if Sean T at RCP will shift any ratings.

[Brittain33]

Btw, I wonder if Sean T at RCP will shift any ratings.

Lmao

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Remember that last Ipsos poll with a sudden jump to R+5?  Yes, boys and girls, this is what we call an "outlier".  New poll:

D: 42 (+6)
R: 34 (-7)

Reuters isn't really a poll, it is more like tarot cards or sheep entrails.

[KingSweden]

Remember that last Ipsos poll with a sudden jump to R+5?  Yes, boys and girls, this is what we call an "outlier".  New poll:

D: 42 (+6)
R: 34 (-7)

Reuters isn't really a poll, it is more like tarot cards or sheep entrails.

If only we had some augurs around

[courts]

The jorts bit was just clickbait. The porn tweets are the real juicy stuff.

jorts are worse

[Politician]

The wearing of jorts past the age of 20 should frankly be a capital offense so Barbara is doing God’s work here

[LimoLiberal]

Ok why did my King Lear parody post get deleted? Fr.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Ok why did my King Lear parody post get deleted? Fr.

You mean you do serious posts too?

[Politician]

Ok why did my King Lear parody post get deleted? Fr.

You mean you do serious posts too?

[KingSweden]

Ok why did my King Lear parody post get deleted? Fr.

You mean you do serious posts too?

[CityofSinners]

Ok why did my King Lear parody post get deleted? Fr.

You mean you do serious posts too?

[Progressive Pessimist]

Tbh Shak is a lot worse than just a jort wearer.

A Republican?

[Tartarus Sauce]

Ok why did my King Lear parody post get deleted? Fr.

You mean you do serious posts too?