Republican MI/MS/ID/HI election results thread (first results @8pm ET)

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Wolf messed it up.

It has to be 45%.

[Mike Thick]

Mississippi exit poll topline #s (if my math is right):

Trump 45%
Cruz 35.5%
Rubio 9%
Kasich 7.5%

CNN has Trump at 49%, with Cruz at 36% and Rubio at 9%.

Not if you look at their website:

http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ms/

Trump is 49% among men and 41% among women, which means 45% total.

I'm watching them live ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[Maxwell]

Interesting - Kasich and Rubs not far apart, and TRUMP with an early lead.

This may be close, though.

[win win]

No delegates for Kaisch and Rubio in MS.
This could be big.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Looks like it will be Trump +9 in MS if the EP is right.

[Matty]

if MS reporting early votes first?

[Maxwell]

Cruz at 19% with moderates - I think this is one of his best showings in this group.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

So what % of the vote will be in from MI before the rest of the state closes?

[Oldiesfreak1854]

So what % of the vote will be in from MI before the rest of the state closes?

I'd predict about 10-20%.

[Blair]

Trump is coming close to breaking 50%

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Looks like it will be Trump +9 in MS if the EP is right.

And that's a big if.

[Alcon]

Mississippi exit poll topline #s (if my math is right):

Trump 45%
Cruz 35.5%
Rubio 9%
Kasich 7.5%

CNN has Trump at 49%, with Cruz at 36% and Rubio at 9%.

Not if you look at their website:

http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ms/

Trump is 49% among men and 41% among women, which means 45% total.

I think they may have either had a second wave or adjustment come in right as the polls closed, or more likely, they screwed up and the 45% number is right.

Trump leading basically every exit poll demographic except "very conservative" (Cruz 50-41); those for whom religious beliefs matter "a great deal" (Cruz 50-37); "shares my values" as top quality (Cruz 63-11); pro-free trade voters (38-37); those opposed to the Muslim ban (34-19); and the usual experience and anger questions.

[Ronnie]

If the 49% exit poll is correct, that's not a weak result at all for Trump.

[Maxwell]

Cruz at 19% with moderates - I think this is one of his best showings in this group.

Moderate in Mississippi ≠ moderate nationally.

Obviously. But this is a group that would go to a Rubio if Rubio were running a competent campaign.

Kasich scores third in this group with 16%.

[Gass3268]

Wow Trump continuing to win evangelicals.

[Mr. Morden]

Mississippi exit poll hypothetical 2-man race:

http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/ms/Rep

Trump 49%
Cruz 44%

Trump 60%
Rubio 29%

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Looks like Trump didn't do as well with Indy's than Reps

[RI]

Kasich with narrow edge in Oakland County, MI early vote.

[ElectionsGuy]

This probably ends up more like Alabama, except with more Cruz and less Rubio, than Louisiana.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

kasich   2,381   
35.8%
0
trump   2,330   
35.0%
0
cruz   1,287   
19.3%
0
rubio   516   
7.8%

Early vote from MI

[Mr. Morden]

Mississippi exit poll:

http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/ms/Rep

suburbs:
Trump 39%
Cruz 37%

rural areas:
Trump 50%
Cruz 36%

Jackson/Delta:
Trump 52%
Cruz 32%

Southeast:
Trump 44%
Cruz 34%

Northeast:
Trump 43%
Cruz 40%

[Matty]

kasich   2,381   
35.8%
0
trump   2,330   
35.0%
0
cruz   1,287   
19.3%
0
rubio   516   
7.8%

Early vote from MI

early voters or just the first results trickling in?

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Kasich has the early lead in Oakland County, as I expected.

[Joe Biden 2020]

kasich   2,381   
35.8%
0
trump   2,330   
35.0%
0
cruz   1,287   
19.3%
0
rubio   516   
7.8%

Early vote from MI

early voters or just the first results trickling in?

First results

[Gass3268]

Trump winning in Oakland and Wayne.