Republican MI/MS/ID/HI election results thread (first results @8pm ET)
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Author Topic: Republican MI/MS/ID/HI election results thread (first results @8pm ET)  (Read 37719 times)
Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #100 on: March 08, 2016, 06:07:21 PM »
When do we get exit polls out of the western states?  Are they even being polled?
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #101 on: March 08, 2016, 06:08:11 PM »
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 08, 2016, 06:07:21 PM
When do we get exit polls out of the western states?  Are they even being polled?
I don't believe they are being polled
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #102 on: March 08, 2016, 06:08:30 PM »
MS: 51% believe Illegals should be deported, 47% given legal status
MI: 56% believe illegals should be given legal status, 37% deported
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Zache
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« Reply #103 on: March 08, 2016, 06:08:38 PM »


Rubio~
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #104 on: March 08, 2016, 06:10:01 PM »
God that's close but, I like it what about Mississippi
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #105 on: March 08, 2016, 06:10:50 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on March 08, 2016, 06:09:35 PM
Cruz probably took enough anti-Trump votes away from Kasich to allow Trump to win by 4 or 5 or so.

Yup, that's what it's looking like to be, Cruz and Kasich splitting the Anti-Trump vote allowing Trump to cruise by.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #106 on: March 08, 2016, 06:11:18 PM »

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Alcon
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« Reply #107 on: March 08, 2016, 06:11:42 PM »

We're in silly-land at this point, but I'm a little surprised that Trump did so well in this subgroup, considering that at least some of these are probably anti-Trump voters who jumped ship from Rubio in the last week.

Looks consistent with the low-mid 30's guesstimate for Trump.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #108 on: March 08, 2016, 06:12:17 PM »

LOOOOL
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Ronnie
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« Reply #109 on: March 08, 2016, 06:13:53 PM »
Might Rubio end up in single digits?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #110 on: March 08, 2016, 06:14:37 PM »
Quote from: Grad Students are the Worst on March 08, 2016, 06:11:42 PM

We're in silly-land at this point, but I'm a little surprised that Trump did so well in this subgroup, considering that at least some of these are probably anti-Trump voters who jumped ship from Rubio in the last week.

Looks consistent with the low-mid 30's guesstimate for Trump.

Which pretty much means Trump wins here...
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Gass3268
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« Reply #111 on: March 08, 2016, 06:15:42 PM »

These are the numbers Trump usually gets in this category, if not a little better.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #112 on: March 08, 2016, 06:16:56 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 08, 2016, 06:10:50 PM
Quote from: TN volunteer on March 08, 2016, 06:09:35 PM
Cruz probably took enough anti-Trump votes away from Kasich to allow Trump to win by 4 or 5 or so.

Yup, that's what it's looking like to be, Cruz and Kasich splitting the Anti-Trump vote allowing Trump to cruise by.

"Winning" the state that way may be good for Trump's ego, but it will be murder for his delegate total.
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The Ex-Factor
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« Reply #113 on: March 08, 2016, 06:17:58 PM »
My prediction is that Trump, Kasich, and Cruz will all break the 15% threshold in Michigan while Rubio won't and gets 0 delegates.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #114 on: March 08, 2016, 06:18:22 PM »
Quote from: Runeghost on March 08, 2016, 06:16:56 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 08, 2016, 06:10:50 PM
Quote from: TN volunteer on March 08, 2016, 06:09:35 PM
Cruz probably took enough anti-Trump votes away from Kasich to allow Trump to win by 4 or 5 or so.

Yup, that's what it's looking like to be, Cruz and Kasich splitting the Anti-Trump vote allowing Trump to cruise by.

"Winning" the state that way may be good for Trump's ego, but it will be murder for his delegate total.

A win is still a win.
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #115 on: March 08, 2016, 06:18:23 PM »
Quote from: Pacific Councilor 1184AZ on March 08, 2016, 06:08:11 PM
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 08, 2016, 06:07:21 PM
When do we get exit polls out of the western states?  Are they even being polled?
I don't believe they are being polled

Figures
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #116 on: March 08, 2016, 06:18:37 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on March 08, 2016, 06:15:42 PM

These are the numbers Trump usually gets in this category, if not a little better.

Indeed, I think it is a little better.

If Kasich is in single digits or low teens with the 75% that decided early, 1/3 among the 25% that decided later is not going to get him anywhere near victory.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #117 on: March 08, 2016, 06:20:48 PM »
Quote from: Senator North Carolina Yankee on March 08, 2016, 06:18:37 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on March 08, 2016, 06:15:42 PM

These are the numbers Trump usually gets in this category, if not a little better.

Indeed, I think it is a little better.

If Kasich is in single digits or low teens with the 75% that decided early, 1/3 among the 25% that decided later is not going to get him anywhere near victory.

We have to wait for those numbers, while I believe Trump will easily win MI, we must wait and see.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #118 on: March 08, 2016, 06:24:41 PM »
Exit polls have had a sketchy history this cycle. So....It's hard to ascertain things atm.
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Matty
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« Reply #119 on: March 08, 2016, 06:25:39 PM »
shadowyabyss, what's your deal? You seem bullish on trump in nearly every single prediction thread an or results thread.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #120 on: March 08, 2016, 06:27:33 PM »
« Edited: March 08, 2016, 06:32:49 PM by #TheShadowyAbyss »
Quote from: marty on March 08, 2016, 06:25:39 PM
shadowyabyss, what's your deal? You seem bullish on trump in nearly every single prediction thread an or results thread.

Demographics favor Trump in Michigan, others I admit I was wrong based on the available polling going into it. Michigan I am more confident Trump will do well here and I'm 90% sure he's going to win here.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #121 on: March 08, 2016, 06:33:15 PM »
It so odd that Kasich is out-lasted Bush, Walker, Christie and many others that were said to be in his way and now could make a serious play as one of the last four standing. For three years I was like one of two Kasich supporters on here and today it was not him that I voted for.

So I kind of have mixed feelings as a result of having been for Kasich for so long and be proven right on that score of him possibly having an impact, while at the same time having thrown in with another candidate and wanting to see them succeed.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #122 on: March 08, 2016, 06:34:45 PM »
Quote from: Senator North Carolina Yankee on March 08, 2016, 06:33:15 PM
It so odd that Kasich is out-lasted Bush, Walker, Christie and many others that were said to be in his way and now could make a serious play as one of the last four standing. For three years I was like one of two Kasich supporters on here and today it was not him that I voted for.

So I kind of have mixed feelings as a result of having been for Kasich for so long and be proven right on that score of him possibly having an impact, while at the same time having thrown in with another candidate and wanting to see them succeed.

Ah, remember the days where we were debating on whether Perry or Kasich would get that coveted last spot in the first Fox debate?
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #123 on: March 08, 2016, 06:38:03 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 08, 2016, 06:34:45 PM
Quote from: Senator North Carolina Yankee on March 08, 2016, 06:33:15 PM
It so odd that Kasich is out-lasted Bush, Walker, Christie and many others that were said to be in his way and now could make a serious play as one of the last four standing. For three years I was like one of two Kasich supporters on here and today it was not him that I voted for.

So I kind of have mixed feelings as a result of having been for Kasich for so long and be proven right on that score of him possibly having an impact, while at the same time having thrown in with another candidate and wanting to see them succeed.

Ah, remember the days where we were debating on whether Perry or Kasich would get that coveted last spot in the first Fox debate?


And I was praying, hoping Kasich would get in, have a big breakthrough and then go on to become the frontrunner.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #124 on: March 08, 2016, 06:44:46 PM »
Fox just said that Trump is winning amongst those who can win in November in MI.
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