The Results Thread
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #400 on: May 06, 2005, 04:06:28 AM »

On a mere 42% of the vote, 6 points less than in 1992. The seat's still safe, as the LD's, not the Cons gained - and the two are now virtually tied at about 22%.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #401 on: May 06, 2005, 04:07:58 AM »

more than 200.


none of FNC, CNN, or MSNBC are playing this.  interesting?  guess not.

long names in welsh.  hey pat, can I buy a vowel?
Secret to that is that, in Welsh, w is a vowel. Smiley
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #402 on: May 06, 2005, 04:12:12 AM »

On a mere 42% of the vote, 6 points less than in 1992. The seat's still safe, as the LD's, not the Cons gained - and the two are now virtually tied at about 22%.

He did a lot better than he was expected to do by a lot of people; he's (despite being a senior cabinet minister for the past 8 years) a very good constituency M.P and holds open air public meetings every weeken, gets a lot of door knocking done outsida election time etc. Interestingly, his predecessor, Castle, did exactly the same thing and kept Blackburn Labour in years when it would otherwise have gone Tory (55, 59, 70).
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #403 on: May 06, 2005, 04:12:44 AM »

Labour have somehow held Hove. I'm shocked.
Yeah, I turned off the radio after that. FYI, I was listening to "Talksport - the UK's largest private radio station", where every 15 minutes there'd be an advert for joining an "adult" chat. Sort of funny that.
It was the first British radio program I found on midwave...the display of my radio is broken, has been for years. You sorta have to grope around in the dark when you try to find a different program.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #404 on: May 06, 2005, 04:15:05 AM »

Law (Ind Lab) has won a majority of over 10,000 in BG

What was the issue there?
The issue was who should the new candidate be. He'll rejoin Labour as soon as they let him, no doubts about it.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #405 on: May 06, 2005, 04:16:55 AM »

Tories have gained Wimbledon

Blair's majority went up, btw
Technically yes.
His share of the vote was down 6 points. The Tory's share of the vote was down 6.5 points, due to an independent (dad of dead soldier) splitting the opposition.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #406 on: May 06, 2005, 04:18:02 AM »

Law (Ind Lab) has won a majority of over 10,000 in BG

What was the issue there?
The issue was who should the new candidate be. He'll rejoin Labour as soon as they let him, no doubts about it.

He said as soon as he won that'd he'd vote with Labour pretty much all the time. He seems to have viewed the whole thing as a sort of primary...
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #407 on: May 06, 2005, 04:18:44 AM »

What are the demographics there, Al?

Racially polarised textile area. Very socially conservative.

Yet the name of their rep is Shahid Malik.
Which is why the BNP did well.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #408 on: May 06, 2005, 04:25:47 AM »

First Torie representation in Scotland and Wales since 1997.
Wales yes. Scotland no. They won a seat there in 2001 which was redistricted out from underneath their feet at this election. Ignore this.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #409 on: May 06, 2005, 04:26:48 AM »

Lab hold Erewash. Kilroy-Silk loses his deposit! Hahahaha!
I htink he got 5.8%?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #410 on: May 06, 2005, 04:28:36 AM »

I posted that before I saw the figures
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #411 on: May 06, 2005, 04:30:51 AM »

Tether kept Brent East and Howard is re-elected

Brent East was listed as Labour.
That's because Labour won it in 2001. Lost it in a by-election.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #412 on: May 06, 2005, 04:34:24 AM »

I love the BBC guy attacking Galloway. "Are you proud of knocking out one of the few black women in parliament?"

That was great!  Galloway just told him to f**ck off and walked away...
Well, he has been asked the exact same question at least four times a day for the past month...
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #413 on: May 06, 2005, 04:38:44 AM »

Well, he has been asked the exact same question at least four times a day for the past month...

True. And not once has he given the honest answer. Things they should have asked him: Why not run against Timms in East Ham? Wouldn't it make more sense to run against this fairly senior minister with a good shot at entering the cabinet when Brown takes over? He voted for the war too. Oh and Respect did better there in the Euro's than in Bethnal Green & Bow.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #414 on: May 06, 2005, 04:40:59 AM »

The 15 remaining British seats:
Argyle & Bute: One of three unchanged Scottish seats, was a close 4-way race in 2001: held by LibDems, likely to hold.
Actually, it was changed quite a good deal.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #415 on: May 06, 2005, 04:42:31 AM »

Sorry, IKHH means nothing to me. ?

I don't think it's really a party...it's basically an independent who ran advocating hospital reform I think.
Independent Kidderminster Health & Hospital Concern, if memory serves. It is a party actually, not just an independent. Only in Kidderminster council elections though - in Westminster elections it's an Independent.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #416 on: May 06, 2005, 04:44:25 AM »

I have a question. Why do your polls close so late? It seems to be such an inconvenience, especially considering how long it takes results to come in.
Given that people have to work on polling days, anything but would be a worse inconvenience.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #417 on: May 06, 2005, 04:46:12 AM »

Somethings that no one else has pointed out:

1. Labour held Dorset South!
Yeah, I noticed that too. Smiley
2. This is the first election since 1918 where Gravesham hasn't backed either the winner of the PV or the overall election.
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LOL.
Btw, the Putney winner sounded really proud, on the radio, to be the first opposition MP for the area in more than thirty years.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #418 on: May 06, 2005, 04:49:50 AM »

Well, he has been asked the exact same question at least four times a day for the past month...

True. And not once has he given the honest answer. Things they should have asked him: Why not run against Timms in East Ham? Wouldn't it make more sense to run against this fairly senior minister with a good shot at entering the cabinet when Brown takes over? He voted for the war too. Oh and Respect did better there in the Euro's than in Bethnal Green & Bow.
He might have wanted to have a shot at winning.
Of course ministers voted for the war, they'd have had to resign otherwise.
And the BG&B electorate has shown itself in the past to be much more volatile, and not to like its MP all that much...(for reasons that are at least indirectly related to her religion - the area's former settlement patterns are important in this as well - and also to her dad's race...although I don't buy it that that's the whole story) I'd guess that would be the reasons.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #419 on: May 06, 2005, 04:59:43 AM »

Berwick-upon-Tweed and Hexham for the LibDems and Tories as expected.

7 remaining British seats:
Argyle & Bute: likely LibDem hold in a four-way Scottish race
Crawley: likely Labour hold, possible Tory pickup
Harlow: current Labour; Labour/Tory tossup
Skipton & Ripon: safe Tory hold
St. Ives: safe LibDem hold
Staffordshire South: safe Tory hold
Wirral West: current Labour; Labour/Tory tossup

That gives:

Lab: 354 + 2 tossups
Con: 198 + 2 tossups
LibDem: 62
SNP: 6
PC: 3
IKHH: 1
Respect: 1
Independent: 1 (but likely to join Labour)
Northern Ireland: 18
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #420 on: May 06, 2005, 05:00:56 AM »

Berwick-upon-Tweed and Hexham for the LibDems and Tories as expected.
Beat me to it.
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #421 on: May 06, 2005, 05:35:03 AM »

No-one's mentioned Tim Collins losing by 200 votes in Westmoreland and Lonsdale.

Biggest LD scalp of the night, the Shadow Education Secretary.
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Emsworth
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« Reply #422 on: May 06, 2005, 05:45:22 AM »

The result has just been declared; the Lib Dems won by about 12,000 votes or 20%.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #423 on: May 06, 2005, 05:48:00 AM »

St. Ives  for the LibDems as expected.

5 remaining British seats to be called today:
Argyle & Bute: likely LibDem hold in a four-way Scottish race
Crawley: likely Labour hold, possible Tory pickup
Harlow: current Labour; Labour/Tory tossup
Skipton & Ripon: safe Tory hold
Wirral West: current Labour; Labour/Tory tossup

That gives:
Lab: 354 + 2 tossups
Con: 197 + 2 tossups + 1 by-election (Staffordshire South)
LibDem: 62
SNP: 6
PC: 3
IKHH: 1
Respect: 1
Independent: 1 (but likely to join Labour)
Northern Ireland: 18
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #424 on: May 06, 2005, 05:58:00 AM »

No-one's mentioned Tim Collins losing by 200 votes in Westmoreland and Lonsdale.

Biggest LD scalp of the night, the Shadow Education Secretary.
I did. In the other thread. I also bragged about predicting it. Smiley
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