The Results Thread

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Actually, Ernest was giving the Tories Ludlow...the three toss-ups were Labor leads of 9%, 10%, and 13% last time around...so not really toss-ups, just possibilities.

Given the amount of Labour/Tory swing in nearby seats for all three of those tossups, I stand by my call of them as tossups.

Well you were right about Croydon...just went Conservative...by <100 votes.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Labour just held on to Selby, despite what I thought, but the swing there was extremely small by the standards of this election.

The 10 remaining British seats:
Argyle & Bute: One of three unchanged Scottish seats, was a close 4-way race in 2001: held by LibDems, likely to hold.
Burwick-upon-Tweed: safe LibDem hold
Crawley: likely Labour hold, possible Tory pickup
Hampshire Northeast: safe Tory hold
Harlow: current Labour; Labour/Tory tossup
Hexham: safe Tory hold
Skipton & Ripon: safe Tory hold
St. Ives: safe LibDem hold
Staffordshire South: safe Tory hold
Wirral West: current Labour; Labour/Tory tossup

That gives:

Lab: 354 + 2 tossups
Con: 198 + 2 tossups
LibDem: 62
SNP: 6
PC: 3
IKHH: 1
Respect: 1
Independent: 1 (but likely to join Labour)
Northern Ireland: 18

[Erc]

So, if I have this right, there are 10 seats left:

St Ives, Berwick-upon-Tweed, and Argyle & Bute for the Libs, putting them at 62.

Hexham, Hampshire NE, Skipton and Ripon, and South Staffordshire (after a by-election) for the Conservatives, putting them at 198.

And we have Wirral West, Crawley, and Ludlow all still up for grabs between Labour and the Tories.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Exit poll very accurate.


Exit poll:

Labour 37%
Conservatives 33%
Liberal Democrats 22%
Others 8%

Actual:

Labour 36.4%
Conservatives 33.1%
Liberal Democrats 22.5%
Others 8.0%

Too bad the results of Bush vs. Kerry didn't follow the exit polls.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

So, if I have this right, there are 10 seats left:

St Ives, Berwick-upon-Tweed, and Argyle & Bute for the Libs, putting them at 62.

Hexham, Hampshire NE, Skipton and Ripon, and South Staffordshire (after a by-election) for the Conservatives, putting them at 198.

And we have Wirral West, Crawley, and Ludlow all still up for grabs between Labour and the Tories.

Ludlow is a Conservative gain from the Liberal Democrats

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Bush/Kerry did follow the exit polls...after they reweighted them.  Just look at what the networks have up on their archived Election 2004 sites now.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

In any case, if the Tories hit 200, they won't do it tonight, given the by-election in Staffordshire South.  I'm going to bed.

[??????????]

OMG! Big Breaking Story from CNN!

Runaway bride apologizes, says she's getting help!

How in hell can they put that as their leading story??
What's bad with the American Media?? is just plain ridiculous.
Has anybody opened a thread somewhere to discuss these kind of things? (not the runaway bride, but the fact that the media pay attention to that sort of things).

The "mainstream" media's job is to distract us, not inform us. If you want to be informed, you have to find alternative media sources.

Exactly. Like this site and I certainly agree with you Mr. JFraud.

And what's up w/that womans eyes? lol

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Bush/Kerry did follow the exit polls...after they reweighted them.  Just look at what the networks have up on their archived Election 2004 sites now.

Fudging the exit polls to match the actual result doesn't count.

[Erc]

Ludlow has been called for the Cons already.  I think you meant Harlow.

Yeah...it's getting late.

[Peter]

Crawley will have a second recount later today; The counters have been sent home to sleep.

[??????????]

Crawley will have a second recount later today; The counters have been sent home to sleep.

What party did you vote for Pete? I peg you somewhere between soft Labour and light Tory, but I could be wrong. I don't think you'd vote LibDem...but most certainly you'd vote BNP !

[Hatman 🍁]

I have a question. Why do your polls close so late? It seems to be such an inconvenience, especially considering how long it takes results to come in.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Labour have held Selby. Good Lord... I never expected that...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I have a question. Why do your polls close so late?

So more people can vote

You must be logged in to read this quote.

True, and staying up til 3am to work out who's going to be P.M is a pain, but it's not going to change soon.

[Peter]

What party did you vote for Pete? I peg you somewhere between soft Labour and light Tory, but I could be wrong. I don't think you'd vote LibDem...but most certainly you'd vote BNP !

I would vote Labour in a competitive constituency, or Conservative if the candidate was sane (e.g. Francis Maude in Horsham). However, my seat (Oxford West and Abingdon) is a Lib Dem-Con contest with no real Labour challenge. I thus voted Green to help the poor guys save their deposit - unfortunately, they once again fell short with 4% of the vote.

I voted Labour in the County Council seats.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

24,000 people voted for Harris... I can't think of another seat where that would be possible...

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Tories hold on to Hampshire NE.  Why it took so long to count I have no clue.

The 9 remaining British seats:
Argyle & Bute: One of three unchanged Scottish seats, was a close 4-way race in 2001: held by LibDems, likely to hold.
Burwick-upon-Tweed: safe LibDem hold
Crawley: likely Labour hold, possible Tory pickup
Harlow: current Labour; Labour/Tory tossup
Hexham: safe Tory hold
Skipton & Ripon: safe Tory hold
St. Ives: safe LibDem hold
Staffordshire South: safe Tory hold
Wirral West: current Labour; Labour/Tory tossup

That gives:

Lab: 354 + 2 tossups
Con: 198 + 2 tossups
LibDem: 62
SNP: 6
PC: 3
IKHH: 1
Respect: 1
Independent: 1 (but likely to join Labour)
Northern Ireland: 18

[Peter]

*deleted*

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Labour lost more than the numbers show because some Scottish districts were eliminated. Here's a 2001 map.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Somethings that no one else has pointed out:

1. Labour held Dorset South!
2. This is the first election since 1918 where Gravesham hasn't backed either the winner of the PV or the overall election.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Labour held Dorset South!

Mr. Knight actually increased his vote count and if it hadn't been for all those micri-candidates, would have also incrreased his percentage as well.  Any ideas on why this happened?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Mr. Knight actually increased his vote count and if it hadn't been for all those micri-candidates, would have also incrreased his percentage as well.  Any ideas on why this happened?

The Tory candidate got himself into a spot of bother by:

a) doctoring a photo to use on his leaflets

b) using a photo of him next to two Olympic gold medal winning yachtswomen on his leaflets. He didn't ask their permission for this, and at least one is a die hard Labour supporter...

Add to that the fact that Knight is an excellent constituency M.P (the best the seat has had for God knows how long) and is also a very nice guy and...

[minionofmidas]

Dumfresshire, Clydesdale and Tweedale expected to go Lib Dem

Not quite. (Working through this thread now.)

[minionofmidas]

Lab hold NUT Central
Lab hold Larnark and Hamilton East

Bob Marshall Andrews says he's going to lose Medway

He held it, though.