KS: Rasmussen: After primary, Sen. Roberts (R) in trouble
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  KS: Rasmussen: After primary, Sen. Roberts (R) in trouble
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Author Topic: KS: Rasmussen: After primary, Sen. Roberts (R) in trouble  (Read 5668 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: August 11, 2014, 11:02:37 AM »

New Poll: Kansas Senator by Rasmussen on 2014-08-07

Summary: D: 40%, R: 44%, I: 7%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2014, 11:03:54 AM »

Great stuff, if true.

(SUSA also showed a close race, so ...)
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2014, 11:13:35 AM »

I think this is two things:
- A degree of sour grapes from Wolf supporters
- Brownback dragging down the GOP ticket overall (not unlike Quinn seems to be doing in Illinois, with Durbin only up 10).

SUSA had Roberts up by 5, but that was with a strong third party showing.

That said, this is Rasmussen, so I'd like to see another pollster.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2014, 11:18:22 AM »

Rasmussen.
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Person Man
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« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2014, 11:26:33 AM »

Either Rasmussen is TOTALLY off in each direction (how can ideologues in loyal states be in much trouble as pragmatic pols in independent states) or there are going to be a lot of swing states this election.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #5 on: August 11, 2014, 12:16:28 PM »

Good, good.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: August 11, 2014, 12:22:33 PM »

Just butthurt Tea Partiers saying they won't vote straight ticket Republican when they obviously will. This seems to be a trend lately.
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #7 on: August 11, 2014, 12:23:17 PM »

AFP needs to let the nukes and negative ads fly now......I'm surprised they haven't already.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: August 11, 2014, 12:24:10 PM »
« Edited: August 11, 2014, 12:41:34 PM by Maxy »

Roberts will probably still win, but it's surprising it's even this close. Roberts isn't exactly a bomb thrower.

That said, if Roberts loses, then Brownback has already lost.
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sg0508
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« Reply #9 on: August 11, 2014, 12:36:45 PM »

At the top of the ticket (and for a Senatorial race), Roberts will likely win.  Since it's a national implicated race, most GOPers in KS will likely hold their nose and vote for Roberts.  Where they may break and cross-over, is the gubernational race, which for this year, has no bearance nationally.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: August 11, 2014, 05:36:09 PM »

Roberts will probably still win, but it's surprising it's even this close. Roberts isn't exactly a bomb thrower.

That said, if Roberts loses, then Brownback has already lost.

I'll take it a step further, if Roberts wins by less than 8 then Brownback has already lost.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #11 on: August 11, 2014, 06:37:45 PM »

Just butthurt Tea Partiers saying they won't vote straight ticket Republican when they obviously will. This seems to be a trend lately.
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Miles
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« Reply #12 on: August 11, 2014, 07:50:14 PM »

AFP needs to let the nukes and negative ads fly now......I'm surprised they haven't already.

The RGA is, though.
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Person Man
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« Reply #13 on: August 11, 2014, 08:01:13 PM »

Just butthurt Tea Partiers saying they won't vote straight ticket Republican when they obviously will. This seems to be a trend lately.

What are they say they're going to do? Vote democrat?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: August 11, 2014, 08:41:49 PM »

Just butthurt Tea Partiers saying they won't vote straight ticket Republican when they obviously will. This seems to be a trend lately.

What are they say they're going to do? Vote democrat?

No, they're saying undecided or third party (like in the PPP Mississippi poll).
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Person Man
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« Reply #15 on: August 11, 2014, 08:46:35 PM »

Only  8% are.  If they are mostly conservative,  we have an explanation.  If no, this poll is BS.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #16 on: August 11, 2014, 09:52:19 PM »

AFP needs to let the nukes and negative ads fly now......I'm surprised they haven't already.

The RGA is, though.

lol, what a pathetic ad.
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Landon1993
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« Reply #17 on: August 12, 2014, 01:54:19 PM »

"Don't delegate Kansas to an Obama Liberal" 

I wonder if Republicans will keep attacking Obama, after he is out of office in 2017.

Republican campaign slogan in 2034... It was Obama who led us here (even though our party won half of the elections in the interim)
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #18 on: August 12, 2014, 01:58:17 PM »

Just butthurt Tea Partiers saying they won't vote straight ticket Republican when they obviously will. This seems to be a trend lately.

What are they say they're going to do? Vote democrat?

No, they're saying undecided or third party (like in the PPP Mississippi poll).

Haha, no way they vote for a libertarian or a moderate third-way candidate. They'll be undecided for a few months, think real hard about it in October, and be Roberts voters in November.
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SWE
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« Reply #19 on: August 12, 2014, 02:09:16 PM »

TIL Barack Obama is running for Kansas governor
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #20 on: August 12, 2014, 08:17:55 PM »

"Don't delegate Kansas to an Obama Liberal" 

I wonder if Republicans will keep attacking Obama, after he is out of office in 2017.

Republican campaign slogan in 2034... It was Obama who led us here (even though our party won half of the elections in the interim)

I could see this, especially in Southern states like Arkansas and Louisiana.  Obama will be a theme for a very, very long time.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #21 on: August 12, 2014, 10:01:28 PM »

Right.

Back in the real world, Roberts wins comfortably and Brownback wins fairly easily, too.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #22 on: August 12, 2014, 11:21:26 PM »

Right.

Back in the real world, Roberts wins comfortably and Brownback wins fairly easily, too.

Why should we expect Brownback to win easily?
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #23 on: August 12, 2014, 11:38:09 PM »

Right.

Back in the real world, Roberts wins comfortably and Brownback wins fairly easily, too.

I'm curious, what exactly leads you to believe that Brownback will win easily? I've had a hard time accepting that this race could very well go Democratic, just because it's Kansas, so I definitely see where you're coming from. But at the same time, Brownback has not led in a single poll since April (other than that crank YouGov poll), and Davis's leads tend to be outside the MOE as well.

I think what we're seeing here is that far-right agendas and a lack of substantive policy plans can win reelection easily in Congress because you are voting as one of many and aren't directly tied as an individual to results, but as Governor you are held accountable for the direction of the state so when that "agenda" hurts the state (as it has in Kansas), you pay the political price.

I do agree that Roberts will win reelection easily though. Ideologically, he hasn't done anything to alienate enough voters (even if his lack of Kansas ties are pretty embarrassing), and Taylor is clearly a weak campaigner considering how close the primary was.
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Mopsus
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« Reply #24 on: August 13, 2014, 09:06:35 AM »

Both Roberts and Brownback are likely to receive more than 41% of the vote. I suppose that one might consider that a victory, if one were so inclined.
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