VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) (user search)
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  VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)  (Read 100510 times)
BudgieForce
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« Reply #25 on: November 07, 2017, 05:38:03 PM »
I dont trust early exit polls. Anybody remember the NY primary exit polls?
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #26 on: November 07, 2017, 05:42:45 PM »
Quote from: RFKFan68 on November 07, 2017, 05:41:22 PM
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on November 07, 2017, 05:38:03 PM
I dont trust early exit polls. Anybody remember the NY primary exit polls?
What did they say?

They under sampled NYC and showed a tied race between Hillary and Sanders.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #27 on: November 07, 2017, 05:46:45 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on November 07, 2017, 05:44:12 PM
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on November 07, 2017, 05:42:45 PM
Quote from: RFKFan68 on November 07, 2017, 05:41:22 PM
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on November 07, 2017, 05:38:03 PM
I dont trust early exit polls. Anybody remember the NY primary exit polls?
What did they say?

They under sampled NYC and showed a tied race between Hillary and Sanders.

Absolutely not. I cannot imagine how any poll would show Sanders remotely close to winning NYC especially against Hillary Friggen Clinton. She's like the patron saint of New York. They worship her there. Plus New Yorkers wouldn't stomach Sanders' economic policies.

You misunderstand. The exit polls for the state over-sampled Buffalo and Albany where it was somewhat close and under sampled NYC where Hillary performed strongly. Thats why the exit polls showed such a close race.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #28 on: November 07, 2017, 05:53:24 PM »
Quote from: TexArkana on November 07, 2017, 05:52:24 PM
Quote from: Castro on November 07, 2017, 05:51:06 PM
Quote from: TexArkana on November 07, 2017, 05:50:18 PM
Quote from: marty on November 07, 2017, 05:49:40 PM
So this is indeed looking like 2013 redux?


Yeah, a 2-3% Northam win is probably the most likely outcome.

I'm kind of thinking 5-6 still.

Anywhere from Northam +8 to Gillespie +2 is about what I think is reasonable.

Anything from Gillespie +10 to Northam +10 wouldnt surprise me.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #29 on: November 07, 2017, 05:58:07 PM »
Quote from: Yank2133 on November 07, 2017, 05:56:51 PM
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on November 07, 2017, 05:53:24 PM
Quote from: TexArkana on November 07, 2017, 05:52:24 PM
Quote from: Castro on November 07, 2017, 05:51:06 PM
Quote from: TexArkana on November 07, 2017, 05:50:18 PM
Quote from: marty on November 07, 2017, 05:49:40 PM
So this is indeed looking like 2013 redux?


Yeah, a 2-3% Northam win is probably the most likely outcome.

I'm kind of thinking 5-6 still.

Anywhere from Northam +8 to Gillespie +2 is about what I think is reasonable.

Anything from Gillespie +10 to Northam +10 wouldnt surprise me.

+10 for Ed would surprise me

Quote from: TexArkana on November 07, 2017, 05:54:53 PM
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on November 07, 2017, 05:53:24 PM
Quote from: TexArkana on November 07, 2017, 05:52:24 PM
Quote from: Castro on November 07, 2017, 05:51:06 PM
Quote from: TexArkana on November 07, 2017, 05:50:18 PM
Quote from: marty on November 07, 2017, 05:49:40 PM
So this is indeed looking like 2013 redux?


Yeah, a 2-3% Northam win is probably the most likely outcome.

I'm kind of thinking 5-6 still.

Anywhere from Northam +8 to Gillespie +2 is about what I think is reasonable.

Anything from Gillespie +10 to Northam +10 wouldnt surprise me.

Gillespie +10 is virtually impossible, and Northam +10 would absolutely shock me.

I dont think Ed getting +10 is likely, just that it wouldnt surprise me at this point.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #30 on: November 07, 2017, 06:08:18 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 07, 2017, 06:07:18 PM
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Don't trust early exits, but if this is accurate than Gillespie is toast.

That doesnt mean anything to me...
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #31 on: November 07, 2017, 06:34:37 PM »
Quote from: Governor dfwlibertylover on November 07, 2017, 06:34:02 PM
So......I just saw Donald Trump's approval rating in VA is 43% on the CNN exit poll? That seems higher than everyone expected.....

The Sienna poll has Trump at 43%.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #32 on: November 07, 2017, 06:45:25 PM »
Quote from: henster on November 07, 2017, 06:44:32 PM
The exit poll is gonna be brutal I have a feeling. Ugh

I hope you'll like your new governor, Jeb!.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #33 on: November 07, 2017, 06:59:34 PM »
120% sounds unlikely, unless some SW Virginia towns have experienced huge population increases.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #34 on: November 07, 2017, 07:01:04 PM »
It was a Jeb meme Henster.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #35 on: November 07, 2017, 07:09:52 PM »

To much information...


Huehuehue
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #36 on: November 07, 2017, 07:45:11 PM »
Did we...did we actually win something?
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #37 on: November 07, 2017, 07:49:33 PM »
Holy sh**t...Quinnipiac might not have been far off.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #38 on: November 07, 2017, 08:39:45 PM »
This is going to be the moral booster democrats desperately needed. It feels nice to win something big.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #39 on: November 07, 2017, 08:53:56 PM »
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on November 07, 2017, 10:55:42 AM
Would be funny if Quinnipiac is the most accurate pollster. Probably won't happen but...
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