VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[The Other Castro]

So this is indeed looking like 2013 redux?

Yeah, a 2-3% Northam win is probably the most likely outcome.

I'm kind of thinking 5-6 still.

[swf541]

NBC exit poll plurality of trump county voters say things have gotten worse since trump became president (Saw it on msnbc a min ago)

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

NBC exit poll plurality of trump county voters say things have gotten worse since trump became president (Saw it on msnbc a min ago)

Yep. Rip Gillespie.

If Northam significantly over performs in SWVA then we have concrete evidence that the working class is turning on Trump.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

So this is indeed looking like 2013 redux?

Yeah, a 2-3% Northam win is probably the most likely outcome.

I'm kind of thinking 5-6 still.

Anywhere from Northam +8 to Gillespie +2 is about what I think is reasonable.

[Roronoa D. Law]

NBC exit poll plurality of trump county voters say things have gotten worse since trump became president (Saw it on msnbc a min ago)

Yep. Rip Gillespie.

That's nationally though.

[swf541]

NBC exit poll plurality of trump county voters say things have gotten worse since trump became president (Saw it on msnbc a min ago)

Yep. Rip Gillespie.

That's nationally though.

EDIT never mind

[OSR stands with Israel]

Really low conservative ideology number for Virginia.

People who may have called themselves Conservative a few years ago may identify as Moderate in Trump's America?

Like me

[BudgieForce]

So this is indeed looking like 2013 redux?

Yeah, a 2-3% Northam win is probably the most likely outcome.

I'm kind of thinking 5-6 still.

Anywhere from Northam +8 to Gillespie +2 is about what I think is reasonable.

Anything from Gillespie +10 to Northam +10 wouldnt surprise me.

[libertpaulian]

How do things bode for the state legislature?

[Ebsy]

How do things bode for the state legislature?

I have noticed a lot of precincts in competitive HoD seats have very, very high turnout.

[The Other Castro]

Melissa J. Hipolit‏ @MelissaCBS6  37m37 minutes ago
Richmond Registrar says turnout so far is at a "respectable" 37% @CBS6

https://twitter.com/MelissaCBS6/status/928023056789983232

[LimoLiberal]

How do things bode for the state legislature?

Looks like Dems will gain 2 open seats in NOVA but lose two there as well. So net zero gain. If PWC turnout wasn't so poor, it would've been much better.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

So this is indeed looking like 2013 redux?

Yeah, a 2-3% Northam win is probably the most likely outcome.

I'm kind of thinking 5-6 still.

Anywhere from Northam +8 to Gillespie +2 is about what I think is reasonable.

Anything from Gillespie +10 to Northam +10 wouldnt surprise me.

Gillespie +10 is virtually impossible, and Northam +10 would absolutely shock me.

[TheSaint250]

What I'm interested in seeing is if a lower result for Hyra vs. Sarvis in 2013 will help Gillespie in the long run.

[Hydera]

How do things bode for the state legislature?

Hoping Danica roem gets in along with the other dems.

[swf541]

Melissa J. Hipolit‏ @MelissaCBS6  37m37 minutes ago
Richmond Registrar says turnout so far is at a "respectable" 37% @CBS6

https://twitter.com/MelissaCBS6/status/928023056789983232

This is for richmond city not county fyi

[Yank2133]

So this is indeed looking like 2013 redux?

Yeah, a 2-3% Northam win is probably the most likely outcome.

I'm kind of thinking 5-6 still.

Anywhere from Northam +8 to Gillespie +2 is about what I think is reasonable.

Anything from Gillespie +10 to Northam +10 wouldnt surprise me.

+10 for Ed would surprise me

[Hindsight was 2020]

Ben Tribbett is back on the Northam train

[BudgieForce]

So this is indeed looking like 2013 redux?

Yeah, a 2-3% Northam win is probably the most likely outcome.

I'm kind of thinking 5-6 still.

Anywhere from Northam +8 to Gillespie +2 is about what I think is reasonable.

Anything from Gillespie +10 to Northam +10 wouldnt surprise me.

+10 for Ed would surprise me

So this is indeed looking like 2013 redux?

Yeah, a 2-3% Northam win is probably the most likely outcome.

I'm kind of thinking 5-6 still.

Anywhere from Northam +8 to Gillespie +2 is about what I think is reasonable.

Anything from Gillespie +10 to Northam +10 wouldnt surprise me.

Gillespie +10 is virtually impossible, and Northam +10 would absolutely shock me.

I dont think Ed getting +10 is likely, just that it wouldnt surprise me at this point.

[swf541]

How do things bode for the state legislature?

Looks like Dems will gain 2 open seats in NOVA but lose two there as well. So net zero gain. If PWC turnout wasn't so poor, it would've been much better.

Jesus f----ing Christ why would they lose seats in nOVA? Explain that one to me plz

Id stop listening to him tbh

[GlobeSoc]

How do things bode for the state legislature?

Looks like Dems will gain 2 open seats in NOVA but lose two there as well. So net zero gain. If PWC turnout wasn't so poor, it would've been much better.

Jesus f----ing Christ why would they lose seats in nOVA? Explain that one to me plz

99.9% chance he's trolling

[History505]

1 hour to go!

[Roronoa D. Law]

So votes come in like this.
1. Rural VA
2. Richmond
3. Hampton Roads
4. Loudon/Prince William/Stafford
5. Arlington/Alexandria
5. Fairfax

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

1 hour to go!

My body is ready.

[MT Treasurer]

Based on the exits this is shaping up to be a very bad night for the GOP in general. We'll see what happens, though. Exit polls aren't always reliable, though I'd be shocked if Gillespie somehow managed to win.