New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT) (user search)
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  New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT) (search mode)
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Author Topic: New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)  (Read 51900 times)
It’s so Joever
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« on: February 08, 2020, 10:28:01 AM »

If Sanders doesn’t win by a 10% margin, that would be shocking.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #1 on: February 10, 2020, 12:09:58 PM »

Going to point out that Bernie has his highest vote share in the NH polling average of this entire primary cycle. Of the 21 polls of NH this February, Sanders has only not led one (Pete+1). It would be a shock if Buttigieg won NH, and there's a good chance Sanders wins and the narrative becomes that this was always his to lose and others didn't have a shot.

He could lose, but it would be a decent polling error and would damage his campaign.
It IS his to lose. If Bernie somehow does lose NH he is in hot water.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #2 on: February 10, 2020, 03:00:41 PM »

Deval Patrick and Michael Bennet will both go up there to campaign personally, and it ends up:

Deval Patrick: 2
Michael Bennet: 2
Trump: 1

Then Bennet and Patrick get huge media coverage from this and pick up so much momentum that they end up coming in 1st and 2nd in the NH primary overall. The final ticket after all the states are done voting ends up being Patrick/Bennet.
A Bennet win would be a dream tbh
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #3 on: February 10, 2020, 07:48:03 PM »

#Yangwillshocktheworld let’s get this trending atlas!
6-8% is his ceiling barring a miracle.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #4 on: February 11, 2020, 07:29:36 PM »

Bernie will win but his margin will be interesting.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #5 on: February 11, 2020, 07:59:26 PM »

Michael Bennet has 3 votes in Milton. The Bennet-surge is coming!!!
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #6 on: February 11, 2020, 08:25:41 PM »

Let’s not call the race for Sanders early until we get more of the Hillsborough votes in.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #7 on: February 11, 2020, 10:06:30 PM »

Still waiting on more Hillsborough results...
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #8 on: February 11, 2020, 10:10:56 PM »

I think it’s somewhat safe for networks to project Sanders as the winner at this point. Rockingham doesn’t have enough leftover votes and Pete would need some awesome Hillsborough surge to win.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #9 on: February 11, 2020, 10:21:30 PM »

I’m guessing Bernie wins by 1.5-2.0 percent. Bad night for camp Sanders, the honest winner is Klobuchar.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #10 on: February 11, 2020, 10:52:22 PM »

OSR unironically thinks that Obama probably wishes he had lost in 2012 to save the country from Trump. He’s an unwitting troll not worth engaging.
Heck sometimes I wish Obama had lost, but then I realize that Trump is a symptom and not a disease.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #11 on: February 11, 2020, 10:53:46 PM »

Genuinely curious if MissScarlet is happy Amy did so well, or frothing at the mouth that Pete almost won.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #12 on: February 11, 2020, 11:01:35 PM »

Man this is close. Bernie is getting destroyed in rural New Hampshire.

No, it's the rich Boston exurbs that are anti-Bernie. The rurals are pretty split.

The rurals aren’t really supposed to be split, though.

It’s pretty clear at this point that rural areas in Democratic primaries are essentially protest candidate favorable

I wonder who wins WV this year?
Richard Ojeda as a write in.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #13 on: February 11, 2020, 11:08:56 PM »

You are the living definition of a Bernie Bro.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #14 on: February 11, 2020, 11:16:13 PM »

Buttigieg wins 2-0.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #15 on: February 11, 2020, 11:20:03 PM »

If Buttigieg is somehow Macron, then Sanders is Corbyn, full stop.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #16 on: February 11, 2020, 11:24:34 PM »

I'm glad his victory margin is so underwhelming.

He doesn't have the suburban appeal to beat Trump.

This was the same argument made by Orange County Republicans in why Katie Porter couldn't win.

At the end of the day....people will vote their identity regardless of the nominee or their ideology

I wouldn't say Philly Romney-Clinton voters would safely identify themselves as Democrats though.
That’s what they want you to believe. Secretly, the wine guzzling soccer moms are hardcore proletariat advocates eagerly anticipating the revolution.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #17 on: February 11, 2020, 11:27:06 PM »

LOL at Buttigieg claiming he's won New Hampshire.
I know right?! Bernie would never claim victory in a State he lost! Gosh what a rat!
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #18 on: February 11, 2020, 11:29:48 PM »

LOL at Buttigieg claiming he's won New Hampshire.
I know right?! Bernie would never claim victory in a State he lost! Gosh what a rat!

Lmao. Are you talking about Iowa where Buttigieg went on TV to claim victory with about 60% of the vote in?
Lol Bernie still claimed victory in a State he lost.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #19 on: February 11, 2020, 11:32:25 PM »

Anyways the NH primary county map is basically a 2012 GE map (Pete=Romney & Bernie=Obama)
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #20 on: February 11, 2020, 11:36:42 PM »

Heart attack boi: 9
Ratman: 9
Snow women: 6
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