PA-SN 2022 megathread: Shrek vs. The Wizard of Oz

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I still think Fetterman will have an easier time defining himself as an outsider than Dr. Oz, if that’s the route this campaign takes.

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https://doctoroz.com/issues/

These are all generic Republican talking points couched in platitudes. As I said: I don’t see a lot of “outsider” rhetoric that’ll really stick based on this website.

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Almost certain this'll be within 1000 votes, very likely within 500, could even be within 100.

How likely is this being within 10 votes?

I saw someone with a bit of PA info put things at McCormick by around 20 votes based on what has already been tabulated of the same vote baskets in each county. He needs to win what is out by about 7%, not hard given the geography of the outstanding vote, but still a bit of a ask. So nobody can say for certain other than it will be close, and the campaigns are playing as such:

https://twitter.com/JosephSzymanski/status/1527036892755243008?s=20&t=t0-txa...

I’ve been a poll worker for a number of elections, and I can confidently say there is no bigger waste of cash than poll watchers.

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Not only is Oz keeping the BS memes, he's also re-using them:

https://twitter.com/DrOz/status/1552348843622244353?cxt=HHwWgoC9-Y3DhosrAAAA

A very topical reference for the year 2005.

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That supermarket ad is one of the most embarrassing missteps by a campaign in recent memory. Talk about falling right into the narrative set for you.

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"I'm not a witch" also came to mind (although that race was arguably less winnable).

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What are these from? I know Land was the 2014 Michigan nominee

Land's 2014 "Really?" ad was notoriously awful and probably cost her the race.

Christine O'Donnell decided to face accusations that she had dabbled in witchcraft as a teen head on. It didn't end well.

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If I didn't know better, I'd say Fetterman's team had somehow gotten control of Oz's Twitter account.

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Big news here, Fetterman will NOT attend the first senate debate
https://twitter.com/DrOz/status/1564734464353345544?s=20&t=a348MBD0oWYH4P6pn...

Can someone call me “a liar, a liberal, and a coward” so I can put it in my signature? What an epithet.

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https://twitter.com/DrOz/status/293023437268598785?t=zb6WzmDR_UFORlvn0fz04Q&...

This race is now Safe D.

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Even if the momentum is (theoretically) shifting because of the environment, I don’t know how you can objectively call the Oz campaign anything but an unmitigated disaster.

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The combination of this thread the GA-SEN title right below it is *chef’s kiss*

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https://t.co/GtcZ5CcSGn

 NBC confirming the story as well.

Lol.  Got so excited to post this, you didn't even bother clicking on the link I guess.

Works fine 

Then I guess I was being too charitable.  You’re illiterate.

When you see Dr. Oz across the room.

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Oh boy, we're in the season where I just stay home on my days off from my residency awaiting those glorious polls.  

I miss those NYT/Siena polls form 2018 where you could watch the responses live. I definitely had those running on my phone while I was supposed to be working a couple of times.

Genuinely the peak of polling as an art.

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https://twitter.com/SawyerHackett/status/1578091674945089536

My first thought was: "my prissy ass flies first-class on a semi-regular basis. That looks like coach."

Truly a woman of the people right here.  

The width of those headrests? No way that's coach!

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Also Republican internals aren't guaranteed to be good or to show good numbers for Republicans. They're far behind Democrats on evolving.

This joke writes itself.

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Fetterman is gross, he's wearing a hoodie and looks dirty. I'm not saying that if you're a democrat or a leftist, you shouldn't be voting for him for that reason but come on look at him and compare him to Dr Oz. At least, he's well-dressed and looks sophisticated.

Maybe I'm wrong but Fetterman's appearance will hurt him in the philly suburbs. Romney country club never trumper republicans especially who will vote for him will hold their nose while doing it.

I seriously doubt he'll be in a hoodie tonight. Not that I think it *really* matters.

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The abortion line was pretty stupid in a state like Pennsylvania. Obviously Roe isn't going to be the only issue in the election, but saying abortion should be "between a woman, her doctor, and local political leaders" is very stupid. Got to imagine that gem ends up in some late ads.

In a just world, that would be the takeaway tonight.

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https://twitter.com/politics_polls/status/1587031682422644736?s=46&t=9EMTBE_...

It looks like the attacks backfired

Per the article, most of this was pre-debate. We have yet to see a fully post-debate poll. (Although I suspect the results wouldn't be all that different.)

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The “Mean” Joe ad is an all-time classic — I’ve never even been to Philadelphia and I immediately knew what the Fetterman one was riffing on. This will hit, at least a little.

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Private dinners like that are usually a high-ticket fundraiser. It’s at the very least a WEIRD choice this late in the campaign.

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Dammit, it's not increasing quickly enough.

This is always the lull. Expect a jump at 4-6 when people get off work.

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Does the fact that Oz still did much better than Mastriano mean there's a lot of voters who don't care if a candidate denies the 2020 election as long as they weren't at the 1/6 rally? Or is there something else I'm missing?

I certainly don’t think it can be said that Oz was a 2020 denialist. 

He didn't have to be one to get Trump's endorsement? My apologies if he's not one.

His campaign talked out of both sides of its mouth about this issue.

Here he is saying "we cannot move on" from the 2020 election.

And here's his campaign saying they accept the results of the 2020 election but insinuating that PA's current laws are responsible.