Fox: PA Trump +2 AZ Trump +4

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's MOE, it surely doesn't stack up with Rassy +9, Rassy had Trump +7 in AZ wrong

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Post-SOTU speech

BOOOOOOOOOOM!!!!

It doesn't line up with Trump +9 in Rassy and we haven't voted yet the 3o3 map is in play, it's March 2024 not Nov 24

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol we already know polls are gonna show like DS said an R pickup of Prez of 3 but we have to vote and we know it's a blue wall not red wall that has to be won by either Trump or Biden

But, Rassy +9 was obnoxious

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's called voting

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Biden wins I can see MI PA GA being what saves him.

We know the blue wall is

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No State of the Union bump, evidently.

I must admit, I'm finally getting discouraged.

Still, there is a lot of time to go and I'm not entirely certain that polls are accurately reflecting how unpopular Trump really is.

Lol we haven't voted yet relax these are polls that Pred a Red wave

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Biden wins I can see MI PA GA being what saves him.

Swap WI for GA and IMO that is Bidens best path.

Biden will win 290 and GA isn't make or Break

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No State of the Union bump, evidently.

I must admit, I'm finally getting discouraged.

Still, there is a lot of time to go and I'm not entirely certain that polls are accurately reflecting how unpopular Trump really is.

Actually there does seem to be a SOTU bump. Trump had pretty consistent leads in polls for the past few months and the leads he has now tend to be more marginal.

It's a pretty weak bump if so, and almost barely moces the needle at all. He'll need to significantly build upon it.

I was never expecting a SOTU bump directly as only about 10% of people watched the SOTU (hell even I haven't yet) and I bet most of those are locked-in partisans. The benefit from it is that it apparently (again I haven't watched it yet) showed that Biden did not come across as some senile old man and has the strength for a campaign. The campaign is just gearing up now.

The problem with these partisan polls we haven't voted yet, we know Biden is gonna win

These don't measure up to Rassy +9 and he said Trump was up 7 in AZ

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden won't win any of the Sunbelt States. The Blue Wall of MN, WI, MI and PA will save Biden.
270-268 Biden. Maybe Joe also keeps Nevada and it's 276-262. That's where this is headed folks.

Yeah sure Fox had Lake ahead last time lol just be patient it's only 6 months til we vote

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's only March users need to chill out

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Looks accurate.

It's a mirror image of 2022 pollings, when Trump-candidates were ahead by 1-5 in both states, then Hobs and Fetterman won relatively easily.

Maybe it's not the same with Biden vs. Trump, but it's a scenario.

That's been a thought of mine, and definitely what I'm hoping for.

Same.

We haven't voted yet and many of the polls keep showing a Trump bias

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Considering Biden led by so much in 2020 and it was that close - the fact Trump is leading is making me feel like this is over before it begins

It's not over no one agrees with you anymore