NY-03 Special Election Megathread

[GeorgiaModerate]

Inb4 the right-wing conspiracy theorists start saying Pilip was a Democratic plant.

[Rand]

BOOOOOOOOOOM!!!!

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Suozzi was Santos' immediate predecessor. Kinda funny that you could look at this as Suozzi going "okay, I'm back. Let's just agree to forget about that little weirdo from last year, okay?"

Watch us find out that this was a Brazilian drag queen dressed as Tom Suozzi

[GoTfan]

"Here's how this solid Democratic win actually is bad news for Democrats . . ."

[wbrocks67]

If this election tells me anything it's that the immigration issue isn't that important politically. NY-3 is ground zero for immigration fearmongering

Yep, if this flopped in New York, where the most fear mongering has gone on about this issue, then I don't see how it works nationally.

[wbrocks67]

From CNN, since NYT stopped updating

Suozzi (D) 56% — 70,846
Pilip (R) 44% — 56,557

69% in

[JMT]

I wonder if Pilip runs again in November? And if so, do other Republicans run as well?

[Ferguson97]

If this election tells me anything it's that the immigration issue isn't that important politically. NY-3 is ground zero for immigration fearmongering

I'm going to have to disagree with this assessment. Suozzi's campaign made it very clear that he was very moderate on immigration - just watch any of his ads. If they aren't talking about abortion, they're talking about immigration.

[wbrocks67]

LMAO, right on cue, Jeff Zeleny on CNN talks about how its a low turnout election and only means anything in the "short term" and somehow ... confirms ... that immigration will be a huge issue for Ds this fall.

What did I just watch? I swear these people could not be more disconnected from actual results

Now Audi is saying that abortion was not an issue here, even though Ds spent nearly $5M on this issue in this district on ads

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

In addition to immigration being an apparent nothingburger issue for the Republicans, another important thing to remember here is that New York is a solidly pro-choice state where abortion remains legal, and where there is no danger of it being banned (with anything other than a national ban, anyway, which would be very difficult for Republicans to enact).

So any Dobbs effect in this race is likely less powerful than it would be in a state where abortion was actually made illegal as a result of Dobbs.

[Ferguson97]

A bunch of pro-Hamas protesters disrupting Suozzi's victory speech.

[wbrocks67]

NYT:

Nassau — 70% in, Suozzi 54-46

Overall — 73% in, Suozzi 55-45

133k total

Yeah, Suozzi is likely winning Nassau

[GP270watch]

A bunch of pro-Hamas protesters disrupting Suozzi's victory speech.

 They were not saying anything about Hamas, stop lying.

[GAinDC]

So if Republicans can’t run on the economy or immigration this year, what can they run on?

[wbrocks67]

A bunch of pro-Hamas protesters disrupting Suozzi's victory speech.

Yelling "you support genocide" at a man who literally isn't even an elected official right now is truly ... something

[GeorgiaModerate]

So if Republicans can’t run on the economy or immigration this year, what can they run on?

Hunter, of course.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Palestine genocide protesters storm onto the stage at Suozzi's victory party. Cringe.

[Pres Mike]

In addition to immigration being an apparent nothingburger issue for the Republicans, another important thing to remember here is that New York is a solidly pro-choice state where abortion remains legal, and where there is no danger of it being banned (with anything other than a national ban, anyway, which would be very difficult for Republicans to enact).

So any Dobbs effect in this race is likely less powerful than it would be in a state where abortion was actually made illegal as a result of Dobbs.

I some what disagree. Even in blue states, there is pressure to elect Democrats in swing districts with the hope of a federal law allowing abortion everywhere

[Horus]

Pilip was a very poor recruit and the district is still recovering from the beautifully toxic glitter bomb they had for the past year and a half. A solid result, but I don't think we can tell a whole lot from this race.

[Torie]

Philip was a pathetically weak candidate while souzzi was a very strong one.

[Crumpets]

https://twitter.com/DougJBalloon/status/1757585845710971038

[wbrocks67]

Pilip was a very poor recruit and the district is still recovering from the beautifully toxic glitter bomb they had for the past year and a half. A solid result, but I don't think we can tell a whole lot from this race.

Immigration was the #1 issue based on ads in this race. We can gleam it flopped.

[GAinDC]

Where are all the blue avatars this evening??

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1757610997672484979

[Atlas Force]

Great news for November!

That said, how much did the snow impact things?

Not much

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1757574306454700198