2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 657848 times)
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #300 on: November 08, 2020, 03:03:07 PM »

If the Maricopa drop isn't enough, will Az be called?
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #301 on: November 08, 2020, 05:27:35 PM »

Wait... did Biden *increase* his AZ lead?
was from a blue county, maricopa should be dropping in half an hour. If it aint enough, all the networks will call it. It will be close but no cigar
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #302 on: November 08, 2020, 05:28:57 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2020, 05:35:39 PM by Bootes Void »

A friend of mine just posted a video from the area formerly known as CHOP, and people there are dancing, cheering, and flying American flags. Is this not what you wanted, conservatives?
watch them find a way to be upset over people being patriotic.Anyway, they are all acting like sore losers especially Trump who hasnt conceded
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #303 on: November 08, 2020, 05:31:07 PM »

From NyTimes:Michael Grynbaum in New York

Fox News’s audience plummeted yesterday after Biden became president-elect. During the Biden/Harris speeches, Fox had 3 million viewers, the lowest total of any network.


https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/11/08/us/election-results?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage#christian-conservatives-reflect-on-trumps-loss-and-look-ahead
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #304 on: November 08, 2020, 07:56:22 PM »

MariCOPEa county has disappointed some
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #305 on: November 08, 2020, 10:29:38 PM »

Hes gonna end up over 80 million votes. Anyways, california and some of the west coast states. are tightening, if this continues then the NPV and the tipping point state will not be as large as it was in 2016.
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #306 on: November 08, 2020, 10:52:39 PM »

https://www.axios.com/trump-administration-iran-sanctions-january-3951f776-09c9-4e55-b0f5-4a9c80e9e974.html
some last minute sanctions
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #307 on: November 08, 2020, 10:53:50 PM »


a few autocrats are finally breaking through
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #308 on: November 08, 2020, 11:38:16 PM »

Friendly reminder that the electoral college is still the dumbest system around for electing a President.

You speak facts. Weird how so many Americans care more about corn than people.

California shouldn't dictate to the other 49 states who gets to be president.
California doesnt dictate who gets to be president, remember one person, one vote
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #309 on: November 09, 2020, 12:35:57 AM »

 how much vote is even left such as pa, ga and ariz?
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #310 on: November 09, 2020, 01:43:17 AM »
« Edited: November 09, 2020, 01:50:44 AM by Bootes Void »

Trump has 4.8 million votes in California easily beating 2016 and 2012, he will easily John McCain's 5 million vote total of 2008, I wonder if he passes Bush's 2004 total 5.5million(unlikely)
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #311 on: November 09, 2020, 02:48:01 AM »

We are up past 149.3 million votes on the cook popular vote tracker and Biden has not even reached 3% in the popular vote, Nate Silver tweeted out recently maybe he could win by 5 or even 6 points with late ballots, I doubt it, in California Biden's margin has gone from +33 to +31.3 as more votes have come in, New York should give a big boost to Biden but since election day Biden has only been winning votes by 16.5%, if we assume turnout of 160 million, a 16.5% advantage among the remaining vote would get Biden to a 3.9% margin in the popular vote.

Biden can net about 250k from Maryland, 1 mil from NY (only mail-in vote remaining, massive Dem advantage) and Cali respectively which should get around to 4.5%
California seems to more friendly to republicans as the votes come in however the net votes may be greater for Biden
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #312 on: November 09, 2020, 11:43:57 AM »

When will the next vote dump be?
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #313 on: November 09, 2020, 12:35:02 PM »

why are republicans stalling by they want every "legal" vote to count and deal with election disputes? The election's over man, what are they doing
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #314 on: November 09, 2020, 03:13:40 PM »

I think this most recent batch from Clark County means Nevada has officially swung to the Dems from 2016.
But mah conservative Latinos narrative!

Trump is still doing 2.3% better in Clark County than in 2016- the county has still swung R.
I mean there is still late VBM out that will pad onto Biden's margin. Ralston think Biden's wins Nevada by 4
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #315 on: November 09, 2020, 04:16:20 PM »




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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #316 on: November 09, 2020, 05:22:28 PM »

Poll: 70 percent of Republicans don’t think the election was free and fair
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/09/republicans-free-fair-elections-435488

Lots of Cope
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #317 on: November 09, 2020, 05:26:36 PM »

LIL JON FF!!!
https://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/in-the-know/525194-lil-jon-slams-paul-gosar-dont-quote-my-songs




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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #318 on: November 09, 2020, 07:29:56 PM »

Thats great Joe Biden will be the next president
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #319 on: November 09, 2020, 08:07:48 PM »

In the mirror universe known as PredictIt, Trump's price in PA has surged to 25 cents because RCP changed the state to uncalled for no logical reason.
Seriously tho what is going on there? Is there something I missed?
Nah they're just idiots
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #320 on: November 09, 2020, 11:01:45 PM »

I think the polling error was caused by higher turnout. Higher turnout means alot more of noncollege educated people voted skewing the electorate to be more noncollege educated as noncollege educated voted Trump.

The polls werent entirely terrible however they was working on a 2016 electorate but this year because of higher turnout there will be a higher composition of a noncollege educated electorate.Thats what I think caused the polling miss as well.

-Also seniors are notorious liars, Biden hardly improved with them or somethings up
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #321 on: November 10, 2020, 11:08:57 AM »


 Confused

Is it because of Trump being a first Dove President in modern history of US och because of Muslims being more conservative than average American (abortion etc). Just don't start with racist "They like Macho" thing.
This is mostly an exit poll issue. It's hard to get 1% of the population down but we may have too look to results in Michigan and my to see if he gained
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #322 on: November 10, 2020, 11:31:09 AM »




It's so obsvious that this guy is gifting at this point
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #323 on: November 10, 2020, 02:06:46 PM »

It appears Philly has finished as 1703 out of 1703 divisions have reported.

96% of these 3,937 votes just reported are from Philly

The breakdown was Biden 86.5% / 13.5% Trump

Biden's Pennsylvania lead now 47,613

Philly has finished election day votes*

Biden is at 573,000. He needs about 23k to break Obama's 2008 record. Trump is stuck in 128k, 2k votes shy.
He likely won't this time, we'll see if he does in 2024
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #324 on: November 10, 2020, 03:01:04 PM »

Will Biden's margin of victory be closer to 10 million or 5 million votes?

I expect 51-47 so maybe 7 million. 10 million is too much
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