Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I say it before and say it again if Allred is down by 10 and Casey is leading by 10 then it's a 303 map

Ds aren't winning FL and TX and Rs aren't winning AZ and NV AZ may come down to 50 K votes like last time if Sienna runs, if not it's safe D, Lake needs Sinena to run


Conserv  polls are loading up the Database with hack Trump +4 numbers, watch Trafalgar come in a reaffirm the blue wall.

In that same YouGov poll Ds are +1 on GCB

[Redban]

https://news.gallup.com/poll/610988/biden-job-approval-edges-down.aspx

Gallup
38% approve
59% disapprove

"Biden’s approval rating has not risen above 44% since August 2021, and his 39.8% average rating for his third year in office was the second worst among post-World War II presidents elected to their first term."

[pbrower2a]

We can start over because the SOTU speech effectively starts the 2024 campaign.

[Senator Incitatus]

Given the continued decline in Biden’s approval polling, I think this can safely be called the worst SOTU (politically) since Ford or Carter.

[Electric Circus]

Whatever is happening, it's happening gradually. I wouldn't take the Gallup data point alone as evidence of anything. But if you look at other tracking polls (e.g. Reuters) they show recent deterioration in his already low approvals as well.

As far as what's moving the margin, I would put more weight on the foreign policy crises that have been escalating over the past several months and fatigue with high interest rates.

The economy isn't bad, and it's not getting worse. However, it's also not doing much to inspire hope in people who aren't already feeling comfortable, so Biden isn't seeing relief there yet.

The Gallup issue polling backs this up: Biden's numbers on Israel and foreign affairs in general are astoundingly bad. His rating on Ukraine is only slightly better - which is abysmal considering this was one of the few unifying issues in US politics not long ago. His rating on the economy is also terrible, and still marginally worse than his overall approval despite slight improvement.

It's also interesting that his approval rating on immigration continues to fall among Democrats. It's his second worst issue among those featured here, after "the Middle East situation." This is where Gallup and other pollsters show that the bottom is falling out for him.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Given the continued decline in Biden’s approval polling, I think this can safely be called the worst SOTU (politically) since Ford or Carter.

See the weird thing is initially after watching it, I thought it was a decent speech. But it appears he may have been a bit too divisive which left a bad taste in people's mouths in contrast to his 2020 campaign focused on unity.

Also I sometimes wonder how on earth was Biden able to have a pretty high approval rating for most of 2021? It seems Afghanistan threw him off a cliff he never managed to recover from.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Given the continued decline in Biden’s approval polling, I think this can safely be called the worst SOTU (politically) since Ford or Carter.

See the weird thing is initially after watching it, I thought it was a decent speech. But it appears he may have been a bit too divisive which left a bad taste in people's mouths in contrast to his 2020 campaign focused on unity.

Also I sometimes wonder how on earth was Biden able to have a pretty high approval rating for most of 2021? It seems Afghanistan threw him off a cliff he never managed to recover from.

The frustration continues for me. I am baffled at what was so "divisive" about the speech. There was a lot of red meat for the Democratic base, as that's what the speech was meant to shore up and reassure, but the goals, accomplishments, and concepts he espoused really weren't discussed in a firebrand Bernie Sanders sort of way that were meant to exclude anyone except Trump's most zealous supporters, perhaps.

Is promoting a raised minimum wage, affordable health care, reproductive access, a ceasefire for all sides in Israel-Palestine, better pay for teachers, tuition forgiveness, supporting a conservative bill to address the border issue, maintaining a free and fair republic, support for unions, voting rights, protection of earned benefits, and much more all really that alienating? It sounded like actual "populism" to me. But then again, I'm out-of-touch with "real America" apparently, even though they're supposed to care about and support all of this too.

If Biden can't make a dent with a campaign like this and ends up losing, it really will be the fault of an irrational electorate, I'm sorry.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Given the continued decline in Biden’s approval polling, I think this can safely be called the worst SOTU (politically) since Ford or Carter.

See the weird thing is initially after watching it, I thought it was a decent speech. But it appears he may have been a bit too divisive which left a bad taste in people's mouths in contrast to his 2020 campaign focused on unity.

Also I sometimes wonder how on earth was Biden able to have a pretty high approval rating for most of 2021? It seems Afghanistan threw him off a cliff he never managed to recover from.

The frustration continues for me. I am baffled at what was so "divisive" about the speech. There was a lot of red meat for the Democratic base, as that's what the speech was meant to shore up and reassure, but the goals, accomplishments, and concepts he espoused really weren't discussed in a firebrand Bernie Sanders sort of way that were meant to exclude anyone except Trump's most zealous supporters, perhaps.

Is promoting a raised minimum wage, affordable health care, reproductive access, a ceasefire for all sides in Israel-Palestine, better pay for teachers, tuition forgiveness, supporting a conservative bill to address the border issue, maintaining a free and fair republic, support for unions, voting rights, protection of earned benefits, and much more all really that alienating? It sounded like actual "populism" to me. But then again, I'm out-of-touch with "real America" apparently, even though they're supposed to care about and support all of this too.

If Biden can't make a dent with a campaign like this and ends up losing, it really will be the fault of an irrational electorate, I'm sorry.

So I took another skim through the speech and I can start to see that the problem was he didn't attempt to do it in a unifying manner. SOTU should try to bring the nation together to tackle priorities facing the country. It should not be utlized like a campaign rally. Unlike Obama, Biden specifically tried to attack the GOP and wanted to exclude them from working with him. That doesn't leave a good taste in people's mouths especially coming from a guy who wanted bipartisanship 4 years ago.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Given the continued decline in Biden’s approval polling, I think this can safely be called the worst SOTU (politically) since Ford or Carter.

See the weird thing is initially after watching it, I thought it was a decent speech. But it appears he may have been a bit too divisive which left a bad taste in people's mouths in contrast to his 2020 campaign focused on unity.

Also I sometimes wonder how on earth was Biden able to have a pretty high approval rating for most of 2021? It seems Afghanistan threw him off a cliff he never managed to recover from.

The frustration continues for me. I am baffled at what was so "divisive" about the speech. There was a lot of red meat for the Democratic base, as that's what the speech was meant to shore up and reassure, but the goals, accomplishments, and concepts he espoused really weren't discussed in a firebrand Bernie Sanders sort of way that were meant to exclude anyone except Trump's most zealous supporters, perhaps.

Is promoting a raised minimum wage, affordable health care, reproductive access, a ceasefire for all sides in Israel-Palestine, better pay for teachers, tuition forgiveness, supporting a conservative bill to address the border issue, maintaining a free and fair republic, support for unions, voting rights, protection of earned benefits, and much more all really that alienating? It sounded like actual "populism" to me. But then again, I'm out-of-touch with "real America" apparently, even though they're supposed to care about and support all of this too.

If Biden can't make a dent with a campaign like this and ends up losing, it really will be the fault of an irrational electorate, I'm sorry.

So I took another skim through the speech and I can start to see that the problem was he didn't attempt to do it in a unifying manner. SOTU should try to bring the nation together to tackle priorities facing the country. It should not be utlized like a campaign rally. Unlike Obama, Biden specifically tried to attack the GOP and wanted to exclude them from working with him. That doesn't leave a good taste in people's mouths especially coming from a guy who wanted bipartisanship 4 years ago.

blaj, blah blah

Lol we haven't voted yet and no body supports Trump 2T dollar tax cuts how many times do Ds have to tell you this wait til we vote

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Even if Trump gets reelected the 2T dollar tax cut he passed has to be renewed in 25 and it's gonna be a govt shutdown if Rs get the Trifecta because there is still a Filibuster in the S, that's why we need to raise taxes on wealthy that's why I call it blah, blah blah

[Redban]

PA: 40 approve / 60 disapprove
MI: 35 approve / 64 disapprove

CNN

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's nothing but Redban talking pts and DS POINT OUT THESE ARE POLLS NOT VOTES