2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[NYSforKennedy2024]

https://www.instagram.com/p/CHI2JjEBVP-/?igshid=ph6jmxjtg5hz

Damn it, EDP.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Maybe we shift to the Discord server since the site will inevitably crash?

Anyone got a link?

[NYSforKennedy2024]

My apologies if already posted, but seems that JOMD and the team are projecting a good amount of confidence in early numbers in relation to how many paths they've built for Joe.

If I'm pulling for Joe I'd keep an eye on AZ + GA + TX + OH + IA + NV + MI + WI. Seems like these, though not all are equally important, will be the keys to a win. PA and FL appear inconsequential.

https://twitter.com/CharlotteAlter/status/1323666259993649157

[NYSforKennedy2024]

My apologies if already posted, but seems that JOMD and the team are projecting a good amount of confidence in early numbers in relation to how many paths they've built for Joe.

If I'm pulling for Joe I'd keep an eye on AZ + GA + TX + OH + IA + NV + MI + WI. Seems like these, though not all are equally important, will be the keys to a win.

https://twitter.com/CharlotteAlter/status/1323666259993649157

This sounds like the language of a campaign which is losing Florida and Pennsylvania.

FL, maybe? But I really haven't seen anything yet that makes me worried about PA.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

L O N E

S T A R

S T A T E

https://twitter.com/NoelRock/status/1323694732577509378?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7...

[NYSforKennedy2024]

After 27 pages or so, what’s the gist of how Election Day voting is looking for Biden?  Any reason for me to doom, or is it looking good for us?

TX - GOP has expressed worry, early #s look better than Beto's in '18
PA - GOP has expressed worry
Otherwise - GOP turnout not reaching the point where it needs to be to make a Trump win even probable.

Exit polls may indicate a nail in the coffin.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

On the topic of Georgia, for those interested:

Anecdotal

Spoke to a close friend who works in the Athens GOP.

Party is feeling fairly confident about their stance in the Special, but increasingly worried about the Perdue/Ossoff race, expecting an overperformance by Libertarian Shane Hazel. Noted that some prominent local Republicans themselves say they are a fan of him. They're generally worried about the Biden/Trump race on the state level, though Clarke went strong for Hillary in '16.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

On the topic of Georgia, for those interested:

Anecdotal

Spoke to a close friend who works in the Athens GOP.

Party is feeling fairly confident about their stance in the Special, but increasingly worried about the Perdue/Ossoff race, expecting an overperformance by Libertarian Shane Hazel. Noted that some prominent local Republicans themselves say they are a fan of him. They're generally worried about the Biden/Trump race on the state level, though Clarke went strong for Hillary in '16.

The special is going to a runoff regardless. What is there to feel optimistic about? Or is it that they expect the Republican they want to win will make the runoff?

They expect the Republican they want to win will make the runoff - poorly worded, my bad.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

I know it's probably just the MSNBC feed but the Biden campaign is killing it on the sign/flag game. Dozens per every location, completely covered in some cases.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

On the topic of Georgia, for those interested:

Anecdotal

Spoke to a close friend who works in the Athens GOP.

Party is feeling fairly confident about their stance in the Special, but increasingly worried about the Perdue/Ossoff race, expecting an overperformance by Libertarian Shane Hazel. Noted that some prominent local Republicans themselves say they are a fan of him. They're generally worried about the Biden/Trump race on the state level, though Clarke went strong for Hillary in '16.

The special is going to a runoff regardless. What is there to feel optimistic about? Or is it that they expect the Republican they want to win will make the runoff?

They expect the Republican they want to win will make the runoff - poorly worded, my bad.

Oh, ok. Collins?

My friend themselves is a Loeffler fan, but hasn't spoken about what stance their party is taking. Considering they're being paid I'm going to assume that it's her.

Definitely a stark difference in insecurity regarding the Perdue race, however.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

https://mobile.twitter.com/paulheintz/status/1323732725250088960

FF Phil Scott

ICON LIVING

[NYSforKennedy2024]

https://mobile.twitter.com/paulheintz/status/1323732725250088960

FF Phil Scott

FF, but he just lost his 2022 primary

Hot take: No.

I think, at least in Vermont and some other deep Dem states, you'll see the State GOPs move toward a more moderate position if Trump loses.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

MSNBC reporting some PA counties won't even start to process mail-in ballots until tomorrow.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

https://twitter.com/benyt/status/1323642175226286081

YES!

[NYSforKennedy2024]

tfw stopping Corona is polling higher than "stabilizing" the economy (which has never worked for anyone anyways and has always inspired oppression and injustice)

F*** the Stock Market

[NYSforKennedy2024]

If I can see the Rajin' Cajun' have one last laugh at the Dems stomping the GOP tonight, man, that would be heartwarming.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Trump plummeting in the betting markets.

Sherrod Brown still in a strong 17th place on PredictIt. I'm excited!

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Great. That cuck Van Jones whining on air now.

Can you not use words like that when criticizing an opponent. Criticize away, but don't use alt-right slurs.

My kink is not a slur. 😡😡

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Great. That cuck Van Jones whining on air now.

Can you not use words like that when criticizing an opponent. Criticize away, but don't use alt-right slurs.

My kink is not a slur. 😡😡

Ok... gotta admit... I laughed.

But was it a joke? 🤔🤔

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Trump lost Minnesota "handling of the economy" polls lmao.

The GOP can't even win exit polls in states that they pour a historic amount of resources in - this should tell you something about how tonight will go.

I'm thinking Biden reaches well into the 350s-370s at this point. 

[NYSforKennedy2024]

CARVILLE'S GOT THE MARDI GRAS COLORS ON

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Indiana...red?



No way!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! /s

[NYSforKennedy2024]

https://twitter.com/BoKnowsNews/status/1323756354062950401

>overperforming
>GA
>overperforming in GA

IT'S HAPPENING

[NYSforKennedy2024]

I walked away for like 15 minutes.

>Biden leading in Kentucky

b r u h

[NYSforKennedy2024]

lemme just