2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 617591 times)
Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
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« Reply #750 on: November 03, 2020, 03:56:36 PM »
Quote from: You Reap What You Sow on November 03, 2020, 03:37:07 PM
Biden continues to rise on PredictIt. I’m also continuing to rise...

As excited as I am about a Biden presidency, I still find sexual arousal a fundamentally weird response.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #751 on: November 03, 2020, 03:56:50 PM »
So far of reporting counties there have been 1.4M Election Day votes in Florida.

In terms of registration, they have split
47 R - 26 D - 27 NPV/O
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Xing
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« Reply #752 on: November 03, 2020, 03:57:09 PM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on November 03, 2020, 03:54:02 PM
Quote from: Thunder98 on November 03, 2020, 03:29:50 PM
Our Progress election forecast has Trump only getting 60% of the vote in Forsyth! Biden also very close to 40%.

https://www.ourprogress.org/president/georgia





Trump win or Biden win - either way let’s give up the Georgia pipe dream.

Jacky Rosen should give up her pipe dream of defeating Dean Heller as well.
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Rocky Rockefeller
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« Reply #753 on: November 03, 2020, 03:57:26 PM »
Quote from: 2,868,686 on November 03, 2020, 03:55:43 PM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 03, 2020, 03:53:47 PM
Seems like GOP turnout advantage will end up being about 200k in Florida.  What does this mean?

Biden is 46!

No he's 77.
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WD
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« Reply #754 on: November 03, 2020, 03:57:40 PM »
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musicblind
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« Reply #755 on: November 03, 2020, 03:57:56 PM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on November 03, 2020, 03:55:50 PM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 03, 2020, 03:53:47 PM
Seems like GOP turnout advantage will end up being about 200k in Florida.  What does this mean?

No one knows for sure. 

And that's not me being facetious.  We really can't know for sure until we know how the NPA's break. 

^This^

*Regarding everything
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Horus
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« Reply #756 on: November 03, 2020, 03:58:00 PM »
Quote from: Blairite on November 03, 2020, 03:56:36 PM
Quote from: You Reap What You Sow on November 03, 2020, 03:37:07 PM
Biden continues to rise on PredictIt. I’m also continuing to rise...

As excited as I am about a Biden presidency, I still find sexual arousal a fundamentally weird response.

You say weird as if weird is a bad thing.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #757 on: November 03, 2020, 03:58:09 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 03, 2020, 03:53:47 PM
Seems like GOP turnout advantage will end up being about 200k in Florida.  What does this mean?

Hard to say, but this guy seems to think Republicans would need about 400K? Unless I'm interpreting this wrong.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #758 on: November 03, 2020, 03:58:22 PM »
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on November 03, 2020, 03:57:40 PM


Watch it be something like he bought a new fiddle.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #759 on: November 03, 2020, 03:58:39 PM »
https://mobile.twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1323728126053130250
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #760 on: November 03, 2020, 03:58:44 PM »
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ExSky
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« Reply #761 on: November 03, 2020, 03:59:06 PM »
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on November 03, 2020, 03:57:40 PM


Another riveting Ralston NV update incoming
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Gracile
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« Reply #762 on: November 03, 2020, 03:59:18 PM »
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on November 03, 2020, 03:57:40 PM


Probably trolling or a fiddle tune.
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NYSforKennedy2024
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« Reply #763 on: November 03, 2020, 03:59:47 PM »
On the topic of Georgia, for those interested:

Anecdotal

Spoke to a close friend who works in the Athens GOP.

Party is feeling fairly confident about their stance in the Special, but increasingly worried about the Perdue/Ossoff race, expecting an overperformance by Libertarian Shane Hazel. Noted that some prominent local Republicans themselves say they are a fan of him. They're generally worried about the Biden/Trump race on the state level, though Clarke went strong for Hillary in '16.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #764 on: November 03, 2020, 03:59:56 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 03, 2020, 03:58:22 PM
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on November 03, 2020, 03:57:40 PM


Watch it be something like he bought a new fiddle.

"The Sasquatch voting bloc is turning out in unusually strong numbers around Portland and Seattle.  WA and OR might be closer than expected, folks."  
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Torrain
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« Reply #765 on: November 03, 2020, 04:00:05 PM »
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on November 03, 2020, 03:57:40 PM


Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news

If this is a troll, or footage of his dog or something....
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #766 on: November 03, 2020, 04:02:37 PM »
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on November 03, 2020, 03:57:40 PM


Has... has he seen enough?
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« Reply #767 on: November 03, 2020, 04:02:52 PM »
R/woosh
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Statilius the Epicurean
Thersites
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« Reply #768 on: November 03, 2020, 04:03:12 PM »
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on November 03, 2020, 03:57:40 PM


Just tell us. F***k you.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #769 on: November 03, 2020, 04:03:40 PM »
Quote from: Statilius the Epicurean on November 03, 2020, 04:03:12 PM
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on November 03, 2020, 03:57:40 PM


Just tell us. F***k you.

lmao Angry
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MplsDem
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« Reply #770 on: November 03, 2020, 04:03:50 PM »
Quote from: Torrain on November 03, 2020, 04:00:05 PM
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on November 03, 2020, 03:57:40 PM


Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news
Please don't be bad news

If this is a troll, or footage of his dog or something....

I don't think he'd phrase it as "you're going to want to hear" if it was bad news.
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #771 on: November 03, 2020, 04:03:55 PM »
Quote from: Monstro Still Believes in a Blue Texas & a Blue Georgia on November 03, 2020, 03:51:32 PM
I don't want to be overly optimistic, but I'm getting strong Super Tuesday vibes
You crossed that line long ago.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #772 on: November 03, 2020, 04:03:58 PM »
Wasserman is just begging for clicks with that "stay tuned" tweet.. lmao.
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GP270watch
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« Reply #773 on: November 03, 2020, 04:04:08 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on November 03, 2020, 03:53:20 PM
Quote from: Young Conservative on November 03, 2020, 03:49:22 PM
I think people need to be careful about Florida. It is likely there will be a surge from 5-7 in voting.

Wouldn't this just increase the Democrats' lead since they tend to vote after work and Republicans vote before?

 Not if Trump is appealing to the white working class to carry him through.
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TopShelfGoal
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« Reply #774 on: November 03, 2020, 04:04:12 PM »
« Edited: November 03, 2020, 04:09:02 PM by TopShelfGoal »
Quote from: new_patomic on November 03, 2020, 03:51:33 PM

Gain of just 16K versus 230

I feel much better now about FL than I did in the morning when the GOP was gaining 0.3-0.5 points per hour.  And the GOP partisans were claiming that they were going to keep that pace up all day and that electorate may even get more R as the workday kicked into gear.

Their pace has slowed down to about 0.2 points per hour since lunchtime and this latest update is them gaining only 0.1. If this keeps up, the GOP registration lead may be held down to under R+2.5 which I'd take. If the post work electorate is more D then maybe they can even claw back more.

The Gillum/Nelson electorate in 2018 was R+4 by party ID (not the same as registration that we are talking about but for the sake of discussion)
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