2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Splash]

https://twitter.com/IntelDoge/status/1323758292322144257?s=20

I don't know if these numbers are real or a test, but this is the type of range Trump probably would need to be in to win the Rust Belt again.

The results disappeared. They had the GOP Congressional candidate getting 100% of the vote there too so it was obviously wrong lol

[ExSky]

This has been the best 4 year period of my life and I’ve grown nothing but more liberal in that time. I’m now on path to have a very lucrative career in a few years here. I’m not going to let a few percentages on a tax bill ruin this country for everyone else.

Just wait and see what Biden's policies will do to this country.

I literally can’t wait

[wbrocks67]

CNN NC exit poll showing Trump with a +2 approval, but whites at only 63%. The 2016 NC exit poll was 70% white/30% nonwhite. It's 63% white/37% nonwhite this time but still has Trump at +2 approval... not sure how you square that

[BudgieForce]

Decision Desk back down to 0 votes in Indiana.

[Roll Roons]

Why is Indiana releasing results before 6? Isn't that like, illegal? Must be a test.

Yeah I just checked and they were gone. Must have been a test.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/BoKnowsNews/status/1323756354062950401

[Badger]

This has been the best 4 year period of my life and I’ve grown nothing but more liberal in that time. I’m now on path to have a very lucrative career in a few years here. I’m not going to let a few percentages on a tax bill ruin this country for everyone else.

Just wait and see what Biden's policies will do to this country.

I for one look forward to our overlords requiring mandatory abortion and cross-dressing

[demoman1596]

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1323758217772617739?s=20

Not enough. Trump’s going down, Bugs Bunny can spare Florida.

Not even close. Biden +2-3.

Biden will not win NPA's by 10%

Again, that isn't necessary.  Where are you getting these numbers from?

[ultraviolet]

CNN NC exit poll showing Trump with a +2 approval, but whites at only 63%. The 2016 NC exit poll was 70% white/30% nonwhite. It's 63% white/37% nonwhite this time but still has Trump at +2 approval... not sure how you square that

The answer is exit polls are trash

[NYSforKennedy2024]

https://twitter.com/BoKnowsNews/status/1323756354062950401

>overperforming
>GA
>overperforming in GA

IT'S HAPPENING

[TopShelfGoal]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter99/status/1323759400364974081

R lead 1.89,% up 0.1 in the last hour well short of the margins they need to hit to end up with R+3 or higher. At this point they will barely trickle over R+2 if this pace keeps up.

This dump also includes the 5-5:30 pm post work half hour, no GOP surge so far.

[DrScholl]

Lol at blue avatars getting excited over that Indiana error.

[Yeahsayyeah]

Is there a precinct map without paywall available anywhere?

[Roronoa D. Law]

https://twitter.com/ians_india/status/1323690655231586305

What's going on in MD.

[wbrocks67]

So polls close in an hour and Reps can only get +200K in FL? Though I'm surprised Reps are increasing at all, since Dems seem to vote closer at night

[Wisconsin+17]

Not enough. Trump’s going down, Bugs Bunny can spare Florida.

Well, you're still 150k up assuming an exactly 14 point swing in independents.

[G_Master]

(IN)

Biden has an outside chance of winning Indiana (unlikely but still possible)

Watch out for these counties/regions:


Hamilton


Northwest Indiana (Lake, Portage, LaPorte)* (*7:00pm)

Other Counties in Midsized Cities

1.     Allen
2.   St. Joseph
3.   Tippecanoe
4.   (Vigo)
5.   Vanderburgh* (*7:00pm)
6.   Madison
7.   Delaware

Suburbs of Louisville and Cincinnati??

1.   Floyd and Scott (Louisville)
2.   Dearborn (Cincinnati)


Turnout in Marion County needs to be large for Biden to have an outside chance of winning


(KY)

What to watch for:

•   Northern Kentucky
o   Boone
o   Kenton
o   Campbell

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1323758217772617739?s=20

Not enough. Trump’s going down, Bugs Bunny can spare Florida.

NPAs will not break for Biden by double digits.

I feel like I've seen this exact post elsewhere.  A double-digit margin among NPAs is not necessary for Biden to win.

Not necessary, but more than sufficient.

[Pick Up the Phone]

https://twitter.com/BoKnowsNews/status/1323756354062950401

The Sun Belt revolution is happening!

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

https://twitter.com/BoKnowsNews/status/1323756354062950401

>overperforming
>GA
>overperforming in GA

IT'S HAPPENING

Yep GA is flipping. I expected this to happen ever since the 2018 Midterms.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/1323759672743006208?s=20

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter99/status/1323759400364974081

R lead 1.89 up 0.1 in the last well short of the margins they need to hit to end up with R+3 or higher. At this point they will barely trickle over R+2 if this pace keeps up.

This dump also includes the 5-5:30 pm post work half hour, no GOP surge so far.

does this dump even include Miami Dade?

[Hassan 2022]

https://twitter.com/BoKnowsNews/status/1323756354062950401

Kara. Eastman.

[Splash]

https://twitter.com/JocelynBenson/status/1323760518335782915

[Crumpets]

This has been the best 4 year period of my life and I’ve grown nothing but more liberal in that time. I’m now on path to have a very lucrative career in a few years here. I’m not going to let a few percentages on a tax bill ruin this country for everyone else.

Just wait and see what Biden's policies will do to this country.

Whatever he's planning, I doubt it will result in hundreds of people dying every day, and I'm guessing most of the country is feeling the same way right now.