Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[MR DARK BRANDON]

My, my, is that really a D+20 poll?

Yes but the -1 was calculated after adjusting for the D overrepresentation.

Wonder what the original was

[THG]

My, my, is that really a D+20 poll?

Yes but the -1 was calculated after adjusting for the D overrepresentation.

Makes more sense. But that still isn’t good at all for Biden, as the sample is still indeed D+20.

[THG]

https://www.twitter.com/PollProjectUSA/status/1427792672660463618

I genuinely wonder what Biden’s approval would look like if the sample was D+4 or so- exactly the same as the 2020 electorate.

My guess would be 42-48% approval and a 48-56% disapproval currently. The Afghanistan situation definitely didn’t do him any favors.

[Calthrina950]

https://www.twitter.com/PollProjectUSA/status/1427792672660463618

I genuinely wonder what Biden’s approval would look like if the sample was D+4 or so- exactly the same as the 2020 electorate.

My guess would be 42-48% approval and a 48-56% disapproval currently. The Afghanistan situation definitely didn’t do him any favors.

You believe Biden's approvals are underwater now?

[THG]

https://www.twitter.com/PollProjectUSA/status/1427792672660463618
I genuinely wonder what Biden’s approval would look like if the sample was D+4 or so- exactly the same as the 2020 electorate.

My guess would be 42-48% approval and a 48-56% disapproval currently. The Afghanistan situation definitely didn’t do him any favors.

You believe Biden's approvals are underwater now?

ABSOLUTELY.

I frankly think his approvals have been between underwater to even for most of his tenure, but they’re almost certainly underwater now after this Afghan debacle. There’s no situation where he’s overwater at this present moment.

I would be shocked if his actual approval was above 46% or so.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol the Election is 500 days and Prez 1500 D's aren't in panic mode yet


Even if they're are 46, which they're not Gallup has them at 50/45 the same exact Approvals they are on Election nights Rs are gonna lose CA recall VA and NJ

D's performance matches their Party Prez and Newsom, TMac and Murphy are at 51%


Taliban are empowered they don't have Bin Laden and we have drone attacks if they harbor terrorists, the Afghanistan Govt was Mayor of Kabul, the Taliban controlled the other other provinces and it's gonna be run just like Iraq was after we withdrew


50/45, isn't that far from 46/43

[wbrocks67]

https://mobile.twitter.com/Cmkahn/status/1427740288961896450

And ipsos has been one of this friendliest this year

Huh, so as of 8/15, which included part of what was happening, his poll numbers were fine.

But then when the media absolutely whipped itself into an insane frenzy, they dropped. Not very shocking.

Also kind of irresponsible for Ipsos to compare a one day poll to a 3 day poll.

And don't even get me started on the ridiculous answers inside that poll.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs only come to this thread when they think Biden is vulnerable this isn't 2010/2014/ when Rs gained control of both Houses, when Rs campaigned against OBAMACARE and Kasich and Walker expanded Medicaid

It's a 2018 Election where Rs take H and D's hold the Senate based on a 304 map

Of anything it's sites up 304 blue wall for D's due to Clean Energy and Environment, the Gulf states and Persian Gulf both two if a kind FRACK in which needs to be curbed due to BRUSHFIRES ON WC AKIN RO AUSTRALIA

Trump Toupe already was in pbower2A Approvalls when Biden Approvals dropped and no longer here

[wbrocks67]

https://www.twitter.com/PollProjectUSA/status/1427792672660463618

I genuinely wonder what Biden’s approval would look like if the sample was D+4 or so- exactly the same as the 2020 electorate.

My guess would be 42-48% approval and a 48-56% disapproval currently. The Afghanistan situation definitely didn’t do him any favors.

I mean, you don't have to wonder.... Ipsos re-weighted the poll to a normal electorate and not the D+20 one, and that's how it was 46/47.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Polls showing Biden at 46% are nothing Rubio is tied or 2 pts ahead of Rubio

Lol, Biden is nothing like Trump whom was crying for impeachment during 2018 Midterms

Taliban in control doesn't mean nothing, There hasn't been an international terrorist attack since COVID, Taliban are gonna have their hands full with Covid

Just like Kim in North Korea has calmed down since COVID

[wbrocks67]

YouGov/Economist
August 14-17

(RV)

Biden favorability: 50/47 (+3)
Biden COVID-19 approval: 48/46 (+2)
Biden job approval: 47/47 (=)

Kamala Harris favorability: 45/49 (-4)
Kamala Harris job approval: 42/47 (-5)

Approve of the plan to withdraw U.S. forces from Afghanistan by September 11th? 47/36 (+11)
Biden approval on 'handling the war in Afghanistan': 35/45 (-10)
Do you think the US made a mistake by recently withdrawing troops from Afghanistan? 36/36 (=)

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/oacaip2ls4/econTabReport.pdf

What also continue to skew these numbers a bit is that on every single one, more Biden voters pick 'not sure' than Trump voters, especially in the Afghanistan approval question. 21% Biden voters picked not sure, versus 9% of Trump voters

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

So much for Rs listening to Fox news and Sean Hannity thinking Taliban takeover will be Biden Waterloo, I said it too but the Rs said it the the polls clearly indicated that was not the case and Trump negotiated the Taliban too

[pbrower2a]

This is the first bad news to happen that happened entirely while Joe Biden has been President.   

[wbrocks67]

Interestingly enough, despite Biden's approval taking a hit in the YouGov poll, his favorability did not change.

I say interesting given many Dems online(TM) calling him a 'monster' over this

[GeorgiaModerate]

It's already been mentioned, but here's the usual information on the weekly Economist/YouGov tracker.  Aug. 14-17, 1500 adults including 1250 RV.


Adults:

Approve 44 (-2)
Disapprove 44 (+1)

Strongly approve 22 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 33 (nc)


RV:

Approve 47 (nc)
Disapprove 47 (+2)

Strongly approve 25 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 37 (+1)

[wbrocks67]

It's already been mentioned, but here's the usual information on the weekly Economist/YouGov tracker.  Aug. 14-17, 1500 adults including 1250 RV.


Adults:

Approve 44 (-2)
Disapprove 44 (+1)

Strongly approve 22 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 33 (nc)


RV:

Approve 47 (nc)
Disapprove 47 (+2)

Strongly approve 25 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 37 (+1)

Given recent events, not much of a change. Though YouGov has been on the lower end for him recently for a while now.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is the first bad news to happen that happened entirely while Joe Biden has been President.   

It's still a 304 map, our military is in the red wall states not in blue wall except for AZ, GA and VA

[HisGrace]

Just to reiterate my earlier point, woke twitter calling mainstream pundits "out of touch" for bashing this has aged like milk. No, you're the ones who are out of touch, step out of your little online bubble and talk to some real people.

Interestingly enough, despite Biden's approval taking a hit in the YouGov poll, his favorability did not change.

I see this as purely a job performance thing. This isn't going to change anyone's view of his character. Ultimately job performance running ahead of personal favorability is better than the other way around so Biden could still be in trouble here.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah pbower2A had Strong NC and GA going R that's not gonna happen and Rs have a veto proof Majority in the state Legislature, D's aren't gonna net gain H or Senate seats in NC while Biden is at 47

NC and PPP told us Last time Biden was gonna win and Harris was gonna max out Afro American vote, she did in GA but not NC Blks aren't moving to NC they are moving to GA


They still haven't released a Ryan lead in OH like they did in March when 14oo checks were passed and Biden was at 55 approvals along with right track wrong track, Lol right track and wrong track numbers have been negative ever since then due to rise in Covid, Biden promised to contain

[GeneralMacArthur]

Just to reiterate my earlier point, woke twitter calling mainstream pundits "out of touch" for bashing this has aged like milk. No, you're the ones who are out of touch, step out of your little online bubble and talk to some real people.

Interestingly enough, despite Biden's approval taking a hit in the YouGov poll, his favorability did not change.

I see this as purely a job performance thing. This isn't going to change anyone's view of his character. Ultimately job performance running ahead of personal favorability is better than the other way around so Biden could still be in trouble here.

No, what's happening is people are getting inundated with MSM calling it a "disaster" and insisting it "could have been done much better" without offering any specifics, and tons of misleading or false information.  So they hear all this crap and believe it and adjust their opinions accordingly without giving it much thought.

We've already got the situation under control and are conducting a smooth evacuation, and instead of giving Biden credit, the media has moved on to the next news cycle.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Unfortunately, HISTORY BOOKS WILL REMEMBER BIDEN AS RHE ONE THAT BROUGHT TALIBAN BACK TO POWER, and 2022 Election will dictate it. Of course Biden is getting reelected, he doesn't need a Southern Strategy

LOL, the Afghanistan is gonna have to change it's flag to white and women aren't gonna have freedoms that that had under American occupation

Of course, we got everything under control, we have oil contracts with the Taliban, this is a Persian Gulf OPEC state like all the others

We won't know how this damages Biden 2o21 Election are blue wall states, 2022 states are Red wall states and we will know then, but it hurts Biden credibility in Trump states that's where our military are

But at 47/50 Approvals he's gonna win the same states he won last time not add to them

[DS0816]

This is the first bad news to happen that happened entirely while Joe Biden has been President.   

Support for Joe Biden has been falsely manufactured by corporate news media.

Biden’s 2020 Democratic pickup of the presidency, with unseating Republican incumbent Donald Trump due to COVID–19, was an unimpressive +4.45 percentage points and 25 carried states—which are only 50 percent of the nation’s rates—and 306 electoral votes (the lowest for a Democratic presidential pickup winner since 1976 Jimmy Carter).

The 60-or-so-percent “approval” for Biden, earlier, in 2021…was not believable in relation to electoral politics. That level was…Honeymoon Approval.

The 2022 Republicans have just about the easiest path to flipping the U.S. House of Representatives that could be asked for. Come to think—needing only +5 pickups is something that some may not have thought to ask for.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is the first bad news to happen that happened entirely while Joe Biden has been President.  

Support for Joe Biden has been falsely manufactured by corporate news media.

Biden’s 2020 Democratic pickup of the presidency, with unseating Republican incumbent Donald Trump due to COVID–19, was an unimpressive +4.45 percentage points and 25 carried states—which are only 50 percent of the nation’s rates—and 306 electoral votes (the lowest for a Democratic presidential pickup winner since 1976 Jimmy Carter).

The 60-or-so-percent “approval” for Biden, earlier, in 2021…was not believable in relation to electoral politics. That level was…Honeymoon Approval.

The 2022 Republicans have just about the easiest path to flipping the U.S. House of Representatives that could be asked for. Come to think—needing only +5 pickups is something that some may not have thought to ask for.

Lol they gave people with PENSIONS making 2400 Stimulus checks last time and as soon as people filed their income taxes, they continue to give out stimulus payments but haven't given our refunds


Now, they talk about passing a 3T Reconciliation package and public option for Seniors and they qualify for both Medicare and Medicaid that already pays for Dental but doesn't pay for false teeth due to Cosmetic surgery. If Dental passes for Medicare it's only gonna pay 70 percent and dentures cost 1400 you still gonna pay out of pocket


That's why Moderates say don't pass Reconciliation we can't afford 3 T Stimulus right now, and the Ds are gonna run up against the Debt ceiling Medicare doesn't even pay for Nursing Homes they only pay partial, Seniors even if they are over income must apply for Medicaid when they go to Nursing Homes

Biden was at 60 percent Approvals, he took people's income tax monies and gave people with pensions 2400, 1400 checks Stimulus

They're not even talking about another Stimulus now that most have ran out

Guess what food pantries are still full, and where is Harris, she isn't Cheney or Pence, she has pulled a disappearing act now that things for rough with Afghanistan and the border

Putting up false polls in NC and OH, in Biden Approvals yes, they were never gonna to win those states, and made it more impossible for them to win with Biden withdrawal, if s were gonna win them, QU and PPP showed last time KY and SC within reach for D's and in the final weekend out Biden ahead of Trump in OH

The funny part is, that Carville team supported Hillary and Biden over
Bernie and WI not OH, NC or FL was always the tipping pt. Biden with Hunter Biden whom haven't been seen since inauguration day due to Ukraine isn't Landslide Biden, he is 304 Biden

Bernie would of been a better Prez like Mike Moore said

[wbrocks67]

This is the first bad news to happen that happened entirely while Joe Biden has been President.   

Support for Joe Biden has been falsely manufactured by corporate news media.

Biden’s 2020 Democratic pickup of the presidency, with unseating Republican incumbent Donald Trump due to COVID–19, was an unimpressive +4.45 percentage points and 25 carried states—which are only 50 percent of the nation’s rates—and 306 electoral votes (the lowest for a Democratic presidential pickup winner since 1976 Jimmy Carter).

The 60-or-so-percent “approval” for Biden, earlier, in 2021…was not believable in relation to electoral politics. That level was…Honeymoon Approval.

The 2022 Republicans have just about the easiest path to flipping the U.S. House of Representatives that could be asked for. Come to think—needing only +5 pickups is something that some may not have thought to ask for.

And somehow those 25 states represented 7 million more voters! What a terrible way of looking at the numbers. The # of states makes no difference.

[THG]

https://www.twitter.com/OneNationCon/status/1428421471211335683
Civitas overestimated Roy Cooper by 5 points in 2020, and also had Biden and Cheatin’ Cal narrowly winning my state.

Either way, if this poll is even remotely accurate this time, this isn’t golly news for Biden whatsoever.