MI-GOV Megathread: 👵🏻 Gram died alone.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1565720326172016641

Jamie Harrison, Cal Cunningham, and Sara Gideon agree that Democrats raising more money is a sign they are winning

You gotta try harder man if thats the best you got.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1565720326172016641

Jamie Harrison, Cal Cunningham, and Sara Gideon agree that Democrats raising more money is a sign they are winning

You gotta try harder man if thats the best you got.

I mean don't get me wrong I expect all three of these people to win but I've seen Republicans get outspent and still win elections

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

This is totally somebody who should be put in charge of the state's elections!

https://twitter.com/sueonthetown/status/1565733963473321986?s=20&t=0FM040OPW...

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

This is totally somebody who should be put in charge of the state's elections!

https://twitter.com/sueonthetown/status/1565733963473321986?s=20&t=0FM040OPW...

Have you heard of Sandy Smith running in NC 01? She has Domestic violence allegations too

[GeorgiaModerate]

This is totally somebody who should be put in charge of the state's elections!

https://twitter.com/sueonthetown/status/1565733963473321986?s=20&t=0FM040OPW...

Have you heard of Sandy Smith running in NC 01? She has Domestic violence allegations too

Which has what to do with Michigan?

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

This is totally somebody who should be put in charge of the state's elections!

https://twitter.com/sueonthetown/status/1565733963473321986?s=20&t=0FM040OPW...

Have you heard of Sandy Smith running in NC 01? She has Domestic violence allegations too

Which has what to do with Michigan?

Sorry it was just the first thing that came to mind lol

[windjammer]

I'm genuinely confident MI state senate is going to flip

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I'm genuinely confident MI state senate is going to flip

Probably.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/CraigDMauger/status/1567189643451310082

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

I swear to God, Toulouse Oliver will lose first in NM before this lunatic wins

[Duke of York]

The Gretchening is an awesome name for this thread.

[Schiff for Senate]

I'm genuinely confident MI state senate is going to flip

How come?

[Real Texan Politics]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1565720326172016641

Jamie Harrison, Cal Cunningham, and Sara Gideon agree that Democrats raising more money is a sign they are winning

You gotta try harder man if thats the best you got.

I mean don't get me wrong I expect all three of these people to win but I've seen Republicans get outspent and still win elections

For example, MTG this year.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I'm genuinely confident MI state senate is going to flip

How come?

I think based on how effectively the map unpack Dems, a relatively strong slate of candidates with good fundraising, and 2 of the key narrow Biden seats they need to win generally being bluer downballot (Macomb County and Saginaw), and what's going on at the top of the ticket.

Imo pretty close to a pure tossup, but any sort of GOP suburban crossover doesn't really save the GOP here as basically all those seats are Biden +doubledigits or just not needed for a Dem majority.

[Schiff for Senate]

I'm genuinely confident MI state senate is going to flip

How come?

I think based on how effectively the map unpack Dems, a relatively strong slate of candidates with good fundraising, and 2 of the key narrow Biden seats they need to win generally being bluer downballot (Macomb County and Saginaw), and what's going on at the top of the ticket.

Imo pretty close to a pure tossup, but any sort of GOP suburban crossover doesn't really save the GOP here as basically all those seats are Biden +doubledigits or just not needed for a Dem majority.

I see.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I'm genuinely confident MI state senate is going to flip

How come?

I think based on how effectively the map unpack Dems, a relatively strong slate of candidates with good fundraising, and 2 of the key narrow Biden seats they need to win generally being bluer downballot (Macomb County and Saginaw), and what's going on at the top of the ticket.

Imo pretty close to a pure tossup, but any sort of GOP suburban crossover doesn't really save the GOP here as basically all those seats are Biden +doubledigits or just not needed for a Dem majority.

I see.

https://projects.cnalysis.com/21-22/state-legislative/michigan

CNanalysis is actually quite nice. A good way to think about is is Dems have to win all the Biden + double digits seats and 3 of the 5 Biden + single digit seats, one of which has a really strong incumbent, 2 of which tend to be bluer down ballot, and 2 of which are zooming left.

[Schiff for Senate]

I'm genuinely confident MI state senate is going to flip

How come?

I think based on how effectively the map unpack Dems, a relatively strong slate of candidates with good fundraising, and 2 of the key narrow Biden seats they need to win generally being bluer downballot (Macomb County and Saginaw), and what's going on at the top of the ticket.

Imo pretty close to a pure tossup, but any sort of GOP suburban crossover doesn't really save the GOP here as basically all those seats are Biden +doubledigits or just not needed for a Dem majority.

I see.

https://projects.cnalysis.com/21-22/state-legislative/michigan

CNanalysis is actually quite nice. A good way to think about is is Dems have to win all the Biden + double digits seats and 3 of the 5 Biden + single digit seats, one of which has a really strong incumbent, 2 of which tend to be bluer down ballot, and 2 of which are zooming left.

Pretty good resource.

[Splash]

https://twitter.com/MarkCavitt/status/1567536402966974464

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/CraigDMauger/status/1567854194765303808

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/MarkCavitt/status/1567536402966974464

Did they issue any rulings yesterday?

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/MarkCavitt/status/1567536402966974464

Did they issue any rulings yesterday?

MTE. I thought yesterday they were supposed to rule if the two ballot measures would end up officially on the ballot or not.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/CraigDMauger/status/1567923348352700416

[Calthrina950]

https://twitter.com/CraigDMauger/status/1567923348352700416

I'm not sure if this is delusion on their part or if they are trying to set expectations. Dixon is not in a good position, and I feel confident in saying that Whitmer will win reelection at this point, probably by mid to high single digits.

[Nyvin]

The deadline for changes to ballots is tomorrow and there's still nothing from the court about the abortion or voting rights questions.   Are they waiting till last minute or what's going on?

[soundchaser]

https://twitter.com/CraigDMauger/status/1567923348352700416

Wasn’t one of the downfalls of the Romney campaign their unskewing of polls?