MI-GOV Megathread: 👵🏻 Gram died alone.
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 04:49:27 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  MI-GOV Megathread: 👵🏻 Gram died alone.
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 23
Author Topic: MI-GOV Megathread: 👵🏻 Gram died alone.  (Read 35890 times)
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,085


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 25, 2021, 06:57:13 AM »
« edited: October 03, 2022, 03:18:53 PM by Brittain33 »


Logged
Grumpier Than Thou
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,322
United States
Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 25, 2021, 07:11:24 AM »

Just as I said for Donna Shalala...

Logged
beesley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,140
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 25, 2021, 07:14:12 AM »

I wonder what word the DMT would use to describe Susan Collins with if James' campaign is considered formidable. He should run for the House, he may have a shot there.
Logged
KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,619
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 25, 2021, 09:37:08 AM »

Please run and please lose. Therefore it will be even funnier when Republicans still are obsessed with him becoming President.
Logged
Pink Panther
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 25, 2021, 09:49:26 AM »

You know, I actually feel kind of bad for him, as he made the 2018 race with Stabenow much more competitive than it should have been, and in the 2020 race with Peters, he probably ran the better and more exciting campaign, and made the race the most competitive Senate Race in 2020, but he still lost, probably due to Biden carrying Peters over the finish line. However, I don't think he's the favorite against Whitmer at the moment, since she's the popular incumbent, but who knows?
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,645
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 25, 2021, 09:55:10 AM »

LOL. MI's version of McSally?

Lean D anyways, BUT, Dems are well avised not too take Whitmer's reelection for granted. James came closer than expected last year and 2022 is very likely a less D-friendly cycle than 2020 was. Whether Trump's lack of presence on the ballot will help Dems in MI is another question that is about to be tested. As always, turnout will decide the outcome.
Logged
DaleCooper
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,993


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: March 25, 2021, 10:00:25 AM »

I don't think James is a shoo-in for the nomination. Whitmer is vulnerable and a lot of rightwing politicians want to replace her, and Republican voters desperately want her gone too. James is a loser and I don't think his potential opponents are eager to let him say "third times the charm".
Logged
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,278


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: March 25, 2021, 10:01:25 AM »

Why not ? It's not like if the GOP has many other/better options anyway.

The GOP House delegation members are either unelectable statewide or can't win a primary. As for Candice Miller she has alreay anounced that she won't run.

Besides it's not like if James was a bad candidate, he is just unlucky and as 2022 should be more R friendly than 2018 or 2020 he has a real chance.



Logged
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,278


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: March 25, 2021, 10:04:47 AM »


Shalala ran 5 points behind Biden while James overperformed Trump by 2...
Logged
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,577
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: March 25, 2021, 10:06:50 AM »

It is imperative that Whitmer win re-election. Otherwise the GOP will further suppress the vote in Michigan.
Logged
brucejoel99
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,677
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: March 25, 2021, 10:06:58 AM »

At this point, it feels like he just wants to keep humiliating himself. Let it go, John! Live your life in peace!!
Logged
DaleCooper
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,993


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: March 25, 2021, 10:22:58 AM »

At this point, it feels like he just wants to keep humiliating himself. Let it go, John! Live your life in peace!!

If John James had run against Stabenow in a hypothetical Clinton midterm, he probably would've won. If anything Whitmer should hope that James isn't her opponent, but I'm skeptical that he will be able to win the primary after failing twice in the Senate, regardless of whether that's a charitable way to describe his losses.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,490
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: March 25, 2021, 10:26:45 AM »

Whitmer wins
Logged
If my soul was made of stone
discovolante
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,261
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.13, S: -5.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: March 25, 2021, 10:31:31 AM »

I'd say that he's fixing to be the new Harold Stassen, but Stassen actually won an election once.
Logged
The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
slightlyburnttoast
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,050
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.43

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: March 25, 2021, 10:39:23 AM »

I know it's fun to clown on him for losing twice, but I really don't think there's anything to suggest that he's a uniquely bad candidate. In fact, I still think he's probably better than most of the MI GOP. Remember that he outran Trump last year and outperformed the gubernatorial and SOS nominees in 2018 (and he presumably would have outran the AG candidate as well had Nessel not incurred the "controversies" that she did).

That being said, Whitmer's unpopularity seems to be significantly overstated on this forum. Her detractors may be particularly vocal, but polling has consistently shown that a majority of the state approves of her COVID response.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,764


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: March 25, 2021, 10:57:46 AM »

He should really try to run for a Congressional seat to get a win under his belt.
Logged
JoeInator
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 389
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: March 25, 2021, 11:45:46 AM »

For now if he goes against Whitmer it looks like he's headed for the anti-hat trick.
Logged
Galeel
Oashigo
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 991
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: March 25, 2021, 02:14:39 PM »
« Edited: March 25, 2021, 06:39:25 PM by Oashigo »

Honestly he's not that bad of a candidate but I still hope he runs because it will be funny for him to get a 3rd statewide loss in 6 years (watch me have to eat my words in 2022 lol)
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,817
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: March 25, 2021, 02:43:48 PM »

I agree with most of you that Whitmer is favored at this point, but some of my fellow red avatars shouldn't get overconfident here. James isn't that much of a poor candidate and he'd be running in a more favorable environment compared to 2018 and 2020, when he did reasonably well. If Whitmer can maintain a +10 approval rating, she's fine, but we don't know how that looks like in November of next year.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: March 25, 2021, 02:56:05 PM »

James really shouldn’t be underestimated. He could absolutely win under the right conditions, and while Whitmer isn’t a “weak incumbent”, this forum has generally been overconfident about Michigan. I remember when thinking James had a chance against Peters was “ridiculous.” Toss-Up for now.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,490
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: March 25, 2021, 03:21:33 PM »

James really shouldn’t be underestimated. He could absolutely win under the right conditions, and while Whitmer isn’t a “weak incumbent”, this forum has generally been overconfident about Michigan. I remember when thinking James had a chance against Peters was “ridiculous.” Toss-Up for now.


Rs have lost supermajorities in MI, WI and PA state Legislature, that's the difference why James is gonna lose, since they peaked out in 2016 due to Hillary and she only lost due to Gary Johnson
Logged
Oregon Eagle Politics
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,282
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: March 25, 2021, 03:23:07 PM »

James really shouldn’t be underestimated. He could absolutely win under the right conditions, and while Whitmer isn’t a “weak incumbent”, this forum has generally been overconfident about Michigan. I remember when thinking James had a chance against Peters was “ridiculous.” Toss-Up for now.
TBF John James only outperformed RCP by 2% in 2018 and 3% in 2020.
Logged
Oregon Eagle Politics
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,282
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: March 25, 2021, 03:24:20 PM »

You know, I actually feel kind of bad for him, as he made the 2018 race with Stabenow much more competitive than it should have been, and in the 2020 race with Peters, he probably ran the better and more exciting campaign, and made the race the most competitive Senate Race in 2020, but he still lost, probably due to Biden carrying Peters over the finish line. However, I don't think he's the favorite against Whitmer at the moment, since she's the popular incumbent, but who knows?
Eh, the 2020 GA Regular Senate election was the closest Senate Race, and the most expensive Senate race in history.
Logged
Oregon Eagle Politics
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,282
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: March 25, 2021, 03:26:18 PM »

James and Trump both received 48%. 3rd Parties just caused Peters to do worse.
Logged
Oregon Eagle Politics
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,282
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: March 25, 2021, 03:27:45 PM »

Danny Tarkanian and Jim Oberweis must have adopted a child.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 23  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.059 seconds with 12 queries.