Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

The aftermath of nov 2nd will be intense and there is no reason not to expect mass violence throughout the state.  Several state national guards will have to be called in.

Saving this post in the likely event that, at most, we see rallies with over 10 people attending.

Or cops get called to a precinct and the incident is so minor that they don't arrest anyone.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

The aftermath of nov 2nd will be intense and there is no reason not to expect mass violence throughout the state.  Several state national guards will have to be called in.

Also, has anyone else noticed that the cyber attacks which caused mass shortages on the east coast just so happened to “coincidentally” happen as Youngkin won the nomination. I really do think he was behind the cyber attacks and paid people off to help his campaign.

Are you alright? I'm getting a little worried about you.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Virginia will reject trumpkin

As will Virginia Beach & Chesterfield County

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Hot take: This is a sleeper race, and Youngkin has about a 30% chance of winning. We've barely goten any polling, and what we do have are Youngkin internals. McAuliffe hasn't released any internals, which is a sign of weakness.

Honest question: Why are you how you are?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Can't tell which has been the bigger waste of money this year: Youngkin ads, Billionaires flying into space, the CA recall, or the Arizona audit.

I definitely think the CA recall for its short-term & long-term implications.

- Little to no gains in GOP support while solidifying post-2016 Dem trends in places like Orange County
- Shed off whatever semblance of moderate/centrist politics the CA GOP hoped to have
- Looks to have greatly divided the establishment/grassroots wings of the CA GOP
- Wiped out the statewide GOP bench
- Increased the statewide Democrats war chest
- Gave Newsom & Sacramento Dems more power/influence than ever
- Set the stage for possibly more CA GOP downballot losses with Larry Elder at the top of the ticket.
- Created a blueprint for Dems to still win using Trumpism & mask/vax mandates (Virginia may also play a role in this too)
- All of the above occurring less than 14 months before Newsom's re-election & the midterms where 5-7 CA House races could very well decide House control.


In comparison, Youngkin ads & billionaire spacemen just seems to be rich guys doing rich guy things. Whereas $300 million were spent to pretty much broadcast to California & the country that the CA GOP is not gonna be getting 40% support anytime in the next decade.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

It's going to be incredibly embarrassing if Democrats lose this race wins the race by 3 points 6 points single-digits but fortunately for Democrats, Youngkin is doing all he can to throw away (his admittedly slim) chances. At this point, I just don't think the votes for a GOP win exist in Virginia.

Fixed for moving goalposts

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

For an outsider looking in, what are some other House of Delegate districts to follow besides the ones LimoLiberal mentioned?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

This article provides literally zero proof that the GOP message on education is or isn't working with Suburban moderates. If anything, the few legitimate data points it includes points to no. But let's not get in front of the narrative we're trying to achieve!

https://twitter.com/NBCNews/status/1449755843403124739

MS-13 all over again

https://wamu.org/story/17/10/23/gillespie-northam-ms-13-gang-matters-virginia-voters/

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

This race just feels different than 2017.

I am smelling a Mcauliffe +2-4 result.

If anything, this feels exactly like 2017.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

All it takes is for some vague message from Trump about Virginia for people here to lose their mind and rationality. Yes, that's totally going to move the race 10 points towards the Democrats overnight. Safe D now (well, a lot of you believe that anyway).

I'm not sure why you're being immature and disingenuous. No one is saying this.

The bottom line is that if this race is as much of a squeaker as the polls say, neither side can deal with anything at this point that might hurt them. A "Trump might come to Virginia for Youngkin" storyline, whether it's true or not, is bad news for Youngkin, and only goes to shore up the allegedly "sleepy" Democratic base.

It is far more disingenuous to suggest that some message that Trump may come to Virginia (unrelated to this election) at some point is going to persuade people to not vote for Youngkin. Anybody who falls for that was already voting for McAuliffe, who mentions Trump dozens of times in his speeches/ads. The fact that people (including Republicans) believe that crap shows this place lives in a TDS bubble that needs bursting every once in a while.

You seem really bent out of shape about this. Perhaps take a breather?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Maybe the Virginia GOP'S revival in 2021 was all dumb luck and a fluke.

I thought this was already the conventional wisdom?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

https://twitter.com/L2political/status/1717932899880546788

Correct me if I'm wrong, but those numbers don't look great for Democrats...

You never think anything is good news or good numbers for Democrats. What's your basis for this statement?

The AA and 18-29 percentages look lower than what Democrats would like.

as I said before you never think anything is positive for Democrats.

If Biden won reelection in a 1984-like sweep, he'd say that the future was ominous for Democrats because they still lost one state.

"Reagan got one of the biggest landslides in US history and the GOP still lost Senate control during the next midterms. Biden is screwed."

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

https://twitter.com/BruneElections/status/1724202870851903653

No, this can’t be true! Young people have abandoned the Democratic Party because Genocide Joe supports Israel!

There's far more Democrats that are abandoning young people than there are young people that are abandoning Democrats