Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[wbrocks67]

McAuliffe outraised Youngkin by nearly $6M in September. Feel like that's not getting a lot of attention.

https://twitter.com/vpapupdates/status/1449292223670063109

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/Jaaavis/status/1450199344863399939

[jamestroll]

Alright we are at page 67.. Can we get to 100 on election night? Nov 2nd?

[It’s so Joever]

https://twitter.com/BradMossEsq/status/1450189108761010176

The sleeping giant is waking up.

That's a sign of voter suppression. Nobody should have to wait that long to vote.

While true, it also means people are turning out.

[Matty]

https://mobile.twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1450199027795042305

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Poll after poll shows CRT is not popular.

Parents want their kids learning the 3 Rs and basic history

Polls show Obamacare is much less popular then the affordable care act.

People aren’t as informed at we like to think

[Matty]

Roger stone says youngkin is leading in internal polling

[BoiseBoy]

Roger stone says youngkin is leading in internal polling

Roger Stone is an idiot, and since when have internal polls from a losing candidate been trustworthy?

[jamestroll]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1450204330053840902

Youngkin has had his own school gaffe.. lmaooo

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/BradMossEsq/status/1450189108761010176

The sleeping giant is waking up.

That's a sign of voter suppression. Nobody should have to wait that long to vote.

This is what I've been telling you guys for weeks.  The reason Fairfax (and thus NOVA's) numbers are artificially low right now is because they haven't opened satellite sites yet.  They've got a couple of locations for a county of like 1.3 million people.  In a few days that expands to like 13 sites at every geographic corner of the county where residents can wait on line or drop off mail ballots. 

If you notice, the early voting numbers suggest there are a ton of NOVA residents holding onto mail ballots that haven't turned them in.  That's for a reason, they are about to drop them off once early voting sites open. 

This is also why this year isn't apples to apples in NOVA compared to 2020... satellite sites were already open a week ago this time last year. 

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1450204330053840902

Youngkin has had his own school gaffe.. lmaooo

Right? How is this not a bigger gaffe than T-Mac's? Youngkin is literally calling the entire VA school system sh**t, offending not just the students but all of the teachers and schoolworkers.

[wbrocks67]

How will Youngkin spin this?

https://twitter.com/GrantWoods/status/1450489815917420548

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Morning Consult has Biden approval at 48/49 for Sept. 14-Oct. 13, 2021.

https://morningconsult.com/2021/10/18/biden-approval-rating-virginia-gubernatorial-race/

This is actually better than I expected for Biden and if those numbers hold I think McAuliffe is winning this.

Glenn Youngkin and the GOP really needs Biden to being doing a lot worse in that state because voters being split down the middle when it comes to the president's approval is not going to cut it for Youngkin if actually wants to win this.

also, this goes back to 9/14, when his position was a bit worse, so I wonder what the data is showing for the last week or so and if it has improved.

Whose position was  a bit worse? Biden's? If so, his (national) approvals was a bit better at 9/14 according to 538 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1450204330053840902
Youngkin has had his own school gaffe.. lmaooo

How's that a gaffe?

[wbrocks67]

Morning Consult has Biden approval at 48/49 for Sept. 14-Oct. 13, 2021.

https://morningconsult.com/2021/10/18/biden-approval-rating-virginia-gubernatorial-race/

This is actually better than I expected for Biden and if those numbers hold I think McAuliffe is winning this.

Glenn Youngkin and the GOP really needs Biden to being doing a lot worse in that state because voters being split down the middle when it comes to the president's approval is not going to cut it for Youngkin if actually wants to win this.

also, this goes back to 9/14, when his position was a bit worse, so I wonder what the data is showing for the last week or so and if it has improved.

Whose position was  a bit worse? Biden's? If so, his (national) approvals was a bit better at 9/14 according to 538 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1450204330053840902
Youngkin has had his own school gaffe.. lmaooo

How's that a gaffe?

Youngkin is literally taking a sh**t on the entire VA education system. That has direct and indirect implications. You can't honestly say that T-Mac's words out of context are somehow a gaffe and not Youngkin saying that the entire VA educational system is horrific.

[Non Swing Voter]

Alright we are at page 67.. Can we get to 100 on election night? Nov 2nd?

Hot take.  It gets to 100 before election night.

[Matty]

So, question for those of you who are arguing mcauliffe's "parents and education" statement wasn't problematic....why is mcauliffe spending time and resources producing an ad saying it was "taken out of context"?

They know it didn't play well. It probably won't matter, but it didn't help either.

Also....lmfao at a poster above trying to tie youngkin to trump's heartless powell statement.

When you have literally nothing else to run on, you make it all trump trump trump.

the people of va deserve a better campaign.

[wbrocks67]

So, question for those of you who are arguing mcauliffe's "parents and education" statement wasn't problematic....why is mcauliffe spending time and resources producing an ad saying it was "taken out of context"?

They know it didn't play well. It probably won't matter, but it didn't help either.

Also....lmfao at a poster above trying to tie youngkin to trump's heartless powell statement.

When you have literally nothing else to run on, you make it all trump trump trump.

the people of va deserve a better campaign.

Not tying Youngkin, but given that he got Trumps endorsement and Trump is out there doing rallies for him, he needs to respond to what the leader of his party is saying.

Also, McAuliffe is clearly doing the teachers ad to not let the GOP control the narrative. Regardless if it's hurting him or not, Youngkin keeps on trying to make it a central part of the campaign, so T-Mac going right after the comment and putting an ad out blunts Youngkin from pushing it constantly.

[Woody]

So, question for those of you who are arguing mcauliffe's "parents and education" statement wasn't problematic....why is mcauliffe spending time and resources producing an ad saying it was "taken out of context"?

They know it didn't play well. It probably won't matter, but it didn't help either.

Also....lmfao at a poster above trying to tie youngkin to trump's heartless powell statement.

When you have literally nothing else to run on, you make it all trump trump trump.

the people of va deserve a better campaign.

Well, after Youngkin clapped Terrance in the debates, it was only a matter of time they would go back to muh Trump.. it's because they know they don't have anything good to offer.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Morning Consult has Biden approval at 48/49 for Sept. 14-Oct. 13, 2021.

https://morningconsult.com/2021/10/18/biden-approval-rating-virginia-gubernatorial-race/

This is actually better than I expected for Biden and if those numbers hold I think McAuliffe is winning this.

Glenn Youngkin and the GOP really needs Biden to being doing a lot worse in that state because voters being split down the middle when it comes to the president's approval is not going to cut it for Youngkin if actually wants to win this.

also, this goes back to 9/14, when his position was a bit worse, so I wonder what the data is showing for the last week or so and if it has improved.

Whose position was  a bit worse? Biden's? If so, his (national) approvals was a bit better at 9/14 according to 538 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1450204330053840902
Youngkin has had his own school gaffe.. lmaooo

How's that a gaffe?

Youngkin is literally taking a sh**t on the entire VA education system. That has direct and indirect implications. You can't honestly say that T-Mac's words out of context are somehow a gaffe and not Youngkin saying that the entire VA educational system is horrific.

It's you who is saying this.

He says in this tweet "Glenn Youngkin will highlight the failure of Virginia's school system and offer his vision to make our schools worthy of our children."

IMO, it's a generic message. I'll tell you about a failure of X and offer a vision of how to fix XYZ.

[wbrocks67]

Morning Consult has Biden approval at 48/49 for Sept. 14-Oct. 13, 2021.

https://morningconsult.com/2021/10/18/biden-approval-rating-virginia-gubernatorial-race/

This is actually better than I expected for Biden and if those numbers hold I think McAuliffe is winning this.

Glenn Youngkin and the GOP really needs Biden to being doing a lot worse in that state because voters being split down the middle when it comes to the president's approval is not going to cut it for Youngkin if actually wants to win this.

also, this goes back to 9/14, when his position was a bit worse, so I wonder what the data is showing for the last week or so and if it has improved.

Whose position was  a bit worse? Biden's? If so, his (national) approvals was a bit better at 9/14 according to 538 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1450204330053840902
Youngkin has had his own school gaffe.. lmaooo

How's that a gaffe?

Youngkin is literally taking a sh**t on the entire VA education system. That has direct and indirect implications. You can't honestly say that T-Mac's words out of context are somehow a gaffe and not Youngkin saying that the entire VA educational system is horrific.

It's you who is saying this.

He says in this tweet "Glenn Youngkin will highlight the failure of Virginia's school system and offer his vision to make our schools worthy of our children."

IMO, it's a generic message. I'll tell you about a failure of X and offer a vision of how to fix XYZ.

How is this not sh**tting all over all of VA's teachers and staff?

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Jesus Christ. Stop it.

When Bernie Sanders is talking about failure of healthcare (or any other) system of US, no sane person would say, he's sh**tting on doctors and nurses.

Jesus effing Christ.

[Pericles]

So, question for those of you who are arguing mcauliffe's "parents and education" statement wasn't problematic....why is mcauliffe spending time and resources producing an ad saying it was "taken out of context"?

They know it didn't play well. It probably won't matter, but it didn't help either.

Also....lmfao at a poster above trying to tie youngkin to trump's heartless powell statement.

When you have literally nothing else to run on, you make it all trump trump trump.

the people of va deserve a better campaign.

Politicians are always paranoid, McAuliffe has to run as if he's down by a point but he isn't actually.

[Skill and Chance]

So, question for those of you who are arguing mcauliffe's "parents and education" statement wasn't problematic....why is mcauliffe spending time and resources producing an ad saying it was "taken out of context"?

They know it didn't play well. It probably won't matter, but it didn't help either.

Also....lmfao at a poster above trying to tie youngkin to trump's heartless powell statement.

When you have literally nothing else to run on, you make it all trump trump trump.

the people of va deserve a better campaign.

Politicians are always paranoid, McAuliffe has to run as if he's down by a point but he isn't actually.

Can't decide if he's tied/losing in his internals and genuinely panicking or he's still up 2-4 and is trying to scare Dems into turning out so he can have a chance at a 2017 result.

[Matty]

This race just feels different than 2017.

I am smelling a Mcauliffe +2-4 result.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/databyler/status/1450104657167011844