Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1
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Author Topic: Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1  (Read 211209 times)
Cashew
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« Reply #4100 on: November 12, 2018, 07:01:04 PM »
« edited: November 12, 2018, 07:04:05 PM by Cashew »
Quote from: The Inevitable Kevin Stitt on November 12, 2018, 06:25:32 PM
Weird that Hobbs did so much better in the Pima dump than Sinema did. Unless it was McSally’s old district in that dump



Hobbs didn't have a Green candidate peeling off a bit of votes.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #4101 on: November 12, 2018, 07:01:06 PM »
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #4102 on: November 12, 2018, 07:02:36 PM »
Sinema +38K

The networks can call this race.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #4103 on: November 12, 2018, 07:02:49 PM »

I think maybe Sinema is going to win...
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4104 on: November 12, 2018, 07:03:54 PM »
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pppolitics
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« Reply #4105 on: November 12, 2018, 07:04:17 PM »

You think?
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #4106 on: November 12, 2018, 07:04:26 PM »
Hobbs up by 5,667 now also.
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ltomlinson31
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« Reply #4107 on: November 12, 2018, 07:04:39 PM »


Tilt Sinema maybe. We might need 10 more Sinema leaning drops and McSally needing 101% of the remaining vote before calling this
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #4108 on: November 12, 2018, 07:05:09 PM »

Maybe so!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #4109 on: November 12, 2018, 07:06:15 PM »
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Sestak
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« Reply #4110 on: November 12, 2018, 07:08:02 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 12, 2018, 07:06:15 PM


...which means nothing, really.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #4111 on: November 12, 2018, 07:08:20 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 12, 2018, 07:06:15 PM


Is that enough to flip the State House? Wasn't it either the State House or Senate that was 1 away from being tied?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4112 on: November 12, 2018, 07:10:09 PM »
Quote from: INCUMBENT Cruz Did Win, By a Shockingly Narrow Margin 👁 on November 12, 2018, 07:08:20 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 12, 2018, 07:06:15 PM


Is that enough to flip the State House? Wasn't it either the State House or Senate that was 1 away from being tied?

Every house district elects two representatives. That just means that the Democrat got more votes than the Republican, but they were both elected.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4113 on: November 12, 2018, 07:10:38 PM »
Greg Stanton is winning 61-39.

Reminder that Republicans actually lit money on fire in this district.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #4114 on: November 12, 2018, 07:11:43 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 12, 2018, 07:06:15 PM


Which means dems F***ed up here, since they only had one nominee instead of two (you get two votes for the MMD house districts). If they had two nominees who both won, then the house would be 30 - 30.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #4115 on: November 12, 2018, 07:13:00 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on November 12, 2018, 07:11:43 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 12, 2018, 07:06:15 PM


Which means dems F***ed up here, since they only had one nominee instead of two (you get two votes for the MMD house districts). If they had two nominees who both won, then the house would be 30 - 30.
Their nominee only got 34% of the vote!
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4116 on: November 12, 2018, 07:16:27 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on November 12, 2018, 07:11:43 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 12, 2018, 07:06:15 PM


Which means dems F***ed up here, since they only had one nominee instead of two (you get two votes for the MMD house districts). If they had two nominees who both won, then the house would be 30 - 30.

That's what happened with Republicans in 2010 when they failed to flip the Arkansas state House because they left many Democratic districts uncontested.
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henster
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« Reply #4117 on: November 12, 2018, 07:21:42 PM »
Why is AP dragging it out with their call?
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lfromnj
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« Reply #4118 on: November 12, 2018, 07:24:59 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on November 12, 2018, 07:16:27 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on November 12, 2018, 07:11:43 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 12, 2018, 07:06:15 PM


Which means dems F***ed up here, since they only had one nominee instead of two (you get two votes for the MMD house districts). If they had two nominees who both won, then the house would be 30 - 30.

That's what happened with Republicans in 2010 when they failed to flip the Arkansas state House because they left many Democratic districts uncontested.

woah its the exact same situation too.
Trending state towards one party.
Senate Seat flips
Incumbent governor wins by a landslide.
Houses don't flip.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4119 on: November 12, 2018, 07:26:48 PM »
Quote from: henster on November 12, 2018, 07:21:42 PM
Why is AP dragging it out with their call?

They were already wrong about the SoS race, so I guess they're being more cautious this time.
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henster
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« Reply #4120 on: November 12, 2018, 07:30:04 PM »
Quote from: Senator Rosen on November 12, 2018, 07:26:48 PM
Quote from: henster on November 12, 2018, 07:21:42 PM
Why is AP dragging it out with their call?

They were already wrong about the SoS race, so I guess they're being more cautious this time.

They haven’t even uncalled that race.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4121 on: November 12, 2018, 07:35:51 PM »
Young Kim campaign goes full Trump. Saying any new batches that are too Democratic means there is foul play. They must know that things coming up won't look too good.
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Pollster
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« Reply #4122 on: November 12, 2018, 07:39:30 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on November 12, 2018, 07:35:51 PM
Young Kim campaign goes full Trump. Saying any new batches that are too Democratic means there is foul play. They must know that things coming up won't look too good.






Such a shame that a palatable Republican with a potential future is selling their soul.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4123 on: November 12, 2018, 07:41:58 PM »
I wonder if she got tipped off about the upcoming batch of vote coming from Orange County in 18 minutes and knows it won't look great.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4124 on: November 12, 2018, 07:44:32 PM »
AP official

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