Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1
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Author Topic: Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1  (Read 209508 times)
libertpaulian
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« Reply #3550 on: November 09, 2018, 06:46:14 PM »
Quote from: Lou Barletta's Teeth on November 09, 2018, 06:42:30 PM
Quote from: CellarDoor on November 09, 2018, 06:30:36 PM
Quote from: pppolitics on November 09, 2018, 06:22:05 PM




Sinema did very well in that last Yuma update.  She got almost 60% of the votes.

And McSally is 53-44 in Yuma 0_0
To put those Yuma County figures in perspective:

Romney won this county 56-43-1 in 2012.
Trump won it 48-47-5.

So, while McSally outperformed Trump here, it wasn't by much.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #3551 on: November 09, 2018, 06:51:33 PM »
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Xing
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« Reply #3552 on: November 09, 2018, 06:53:33 PM »
Quote from: pppolitics on November 09, 2018, 06:51:33 PM


Funny how it's only unfair when Trump doesn't get what he wants.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #3553 on: November 09, 2018, 06:53:40 PM »
Quote from: pppolitics on November 09, 2018, 06:51:33 PM

This is supposed to be the pro-McSally motherload, right?
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lfromnj
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« Reply #3554 on: November 09, 2018, 06:53:46 PM »
btw how  many of the largest 20 counties will vote for Trump in 2020?
It looks like 0 will after maricopa is probably Tilt D and Tarrant is tossup/Tilt R
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KingSweden
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« Reply #3555 on: November 09, 2018, 06:55:04 PM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on November 09, 2018, 06:53:40 PM
Quote from: pppolitics on November 09, 2018, 06:51:33 PM

This is supposed to be the pro-McSally motherload, right?


Define “mother lode”

Quote from: lfromnj on November 09, 2018, 06:53:46 PM
btw how  many of the largest 20 counties will vote for Trump in 2020?
It looks like 0 will after maricopa is probably Tilt D and Tarrant is tossup/Tilt R

Yeah probably.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #3556 on: November 09, 2018, 06:57:28 PM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on November 09, 2018, 06:53:40 PM
Quote from: pppolitics on November 09, 2018, 06:51:33 PM

This is supposed to be the pro-McSally motherload, right?

I think it's the last of Bucket A which is supposed to be pro-Sinema.
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Thatkat04
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« Reply #3557 on: November 09, 2018, 07:00:38 PM »
This is supposedly the late-early votes that favor McSally.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #3558 on: November 09, 2018, 07:01:12 PM »
Sinema leads by 21.1k now.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #3559 on: November 09, 2018, 07:01:40 PM »
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ajc0918
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« Reply #3560 on: November 09, 2018, 07:01:49 PM »
BOOM SINEMA UP 21k
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #3561 on: November 09, 2018, 07:03:07 PM »
Senator-elect Sinema.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #3562 on: November 09, 2018, 07:04:09 PM »
Goodbye!!!
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lfromnj
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« Reply #3563 on: November 09, 2018, 07:04:10 PM »
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rob in cal
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« Reply #3564 on: November 09, 2018, 07:05:52 PM »
   Don't know if this has already been mentioned, but whats the conventional wisdom on the Maine congressional elections, and the impact of Australian style ranked choice voting.  Did it help the independent candidates get more votes because their supporters knew they could still vote for a Dem or GOP candidate as well?
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #3565 on: November 09, 2018, 07:06:09 PM »
Looks like Democrats took the lead for one of the Corporation Commission (read: public utilities/service commission) spots too. That would turn it from a 5-0 R to a 4-1 R commission.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #3566 on: November 09, 2018, 07:06:10 PM »
How big of a lead would McSally need for comeback?
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American2020
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« Reply #3567 on: November 09, 2018, 07:06:36 PM »
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Pyro
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« Reply #3568 on: November 09, 2018, 07:08:14 PM »
And there goes the battle! Sinema wins!
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #3569 on: November 09, 2018, 07:08:26 PM »
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on November 09, 2018, 07:07:41 PM

OK, this is getting 10 million kinds of ridiculous now.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3570 on: November 09, 2018, 07:08:54 PM »
Republican lead in the SoS race has stunk to 9,560.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3571 on: November 09, 2018, 07:09:28 PM »
Quote from: rob in cal on November 09, 2018, 07:05:52 PM
   Don't know if this has already been mentioned, but whats the conventional wisdom on the Maine congressional elections, and the impact of Australian style ranked choice voting.  Did it help the independent candidates get more votes because their supporters knew they could still vote for a Dem or GOP candidate as well?

I've seen it suggested that it would indeed help the independent candidates for the reason you mentioned.   In the actual results, Bond got 5.8% and Hoar 2.4%.  Those seem like pretty good numbers, although Maine has a history of independents doing well, so who knows if these are really that much better than they would have been without RCV.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #3572 on: November 09, 2018, 07:10:04 PM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on November 09, 2018, 07:08:26 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on November 09, 2018, 07:07:41 PM

OK, this is getting 10 million kinds of ridiculous now.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #3573 on: November 09, 2018, 07:10:47 PM »
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on November 09, 2018, 07:07:41 PM


This is a farce
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3574 on: November 09, 2018, 07:13:25 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on November 09, 2018, 07:10:47 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on November 09, 2018, 07:07:41 PM


This is a farce

If this was a novel, it would have been rejected by the editors as too ridiculous to be believable.
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