Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Landslide Lyndon]

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Remember when Weak Candidate™ Lucy McBath made that race likely/safe R? LOL!

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Remember when Weak Candidate™ Lucy McBath made that race likely/safe R? LOL!

[Politician]

Remember when Weak Candidate™ Lucy McBath made that race likely/safe R? LOL!

i am reasonably sure, that [McBath being nominated] increased Republican chances of holding these districts. Exactly because in this case "stronger, grassroots-backed women" are "bold progressives" in non-progressive districts.

LMAO

[lfromnj]

Honestly the Ga 6th special election looking back on it was easily the worst competetive federal special election for the dems(The utah and texas one were worse but the dems didn't care) The fact they couldn't win a special election in a trump +1 district was kind of embarrassing and it should have been a freebie. I feel like the dems got whiffed and didn't want to try again until this late.

[ajc0918]

Honestly the Ga 6th special election looking back on it was easily the worst competetive federal special election for the dems(The utah and texas one were worse but the dems didn't care) The fact they couldn't win a special election in a trump +1 district was kind of embarrassing and it should have been a freebie. I feel like the dems got whiffed and didn't want to try again until this late.

Scalise shooting shifted GA-6 special

[Comrade Funk]

Honestly the Ga 6th special election looking back on it was easily the worst competetive federal special election for the dems(The utah and texas one were worse but the dems didn't care) The fact they couldn't win a special election in a trump +1 district was kind of embarrassing and it should have been a freebie. I feel like the dems got whiffed and didn't want to try again until this late.

This was before the healthcare and tax bill debacles.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The AZ and FL GOPs sound... nervous.

[MillennialModerate]

The AZ and FL GOPs sound... nervous.

Arizona GOP might have a reason to be

Florida on the other hand... I don’t get it

[Xing]

The AZ and FL GOPs sound... nervous.

Arizona GOP might have a reason to be

Florida on the other hand... I don’t get it

They went from being 100% sure that Scott had it to... at the very least, less than 100%, even if it's 98-99%. Even if Nelson needs a miracle to win, the fact that it's gone from being over to not quite being over definitely warrants Republicans at least being nervous. They seem much more nervous in Arizona, though, which makes sense.

[Gass3268]

The AZ and FL GOPs sound... nervous.

Arizona GOP might have a reason to be

Florida on the other hand... I don’t get it

They went from being 100% sure that Scott had it to... at the very least, less than 100%, even if it's 98-99%. Even if Nelson needs a miracle to win, the fact that it's gone from being over to not quite being over definitely warrants Republicans at least being nervous. They seem much more nervous in Arizona, though, which makes sense.

I think they really want to avoid a hand recount in Florida, because anything can happen at that point.

[Pandaguineapig]

The AZ and FL GOPs sound... nervous.

Arizona GOP might have a reason to be

Florida on the other hand... I don’t get it

They went from being 100% sure that Scott had it to... at the very least, less than 100%, even if it's 98-99%. Even if Nelson needs a miracle to win, the fact that it's gone from being over to not quite being over definitely warrants Republicans at least being nervous. They seem much more nervous in Arizona, though, which makes sense.

I think they really want to avoid a hand recount in Florida, because anything can happen at that point.

Not really, there is a limit to how many votes can be picked up in a recount, the record was 1200 and that was almost 20 years ago

[Gass3268]

Democrat took the lead in the Agricultural Commissioner race:

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/1060609182544642048

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

FL Governor’s race officially at the recount threshold-

https://www.reddit.com/r/VoteBlue/comments/9vctfa/andrew_gillum_officially_going_to_recount/?st=JO8YRUL2&sh=51b43844

[Tintrlvr]

Senate race margin is now down to 17,344 votes; Nelson netted around 4,500 from this dump. Broward and Palm Beach are still showing as not being done counting.

[Tintrlvr]

The AZ and FL GOPs sound... nervous.

Arizona GOP might have a reason to be

Florida on the other hand... I don’t get it

They went from being 100% sure that Scott had it to... at the very least, less than 100%, even if it's 98-99%. Even if Nelson needs a miracle to win, the fact that it's gone from being over to not quite being over definitely warrants Republicans at least being nervous. They seem much more nervous in Arizona, though, which makes sense.

I think they really want to avoid a hand recount in Florida, because anything can happen at that point.

Not really, there is a limit to how many votes can be picked up in a recount, the record was 1200 and that was almost 20 years ago

Yeah, but there's always a risk of a machine error somewhere that would only be caught by a hand recount. The undervotes in the FL-24 part of Broward County are the sort of thing that could be exactly that.

Anyway, we'll find out. The Senate race is now in hand recount territory (margin is 0.22%).

[InheritTheWind]

Democrat took the lead in the Agricultural Commissioner race:

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/1060609182544642048

If it holds, this would be the first statewide office win for the FL Dems since Nelson in 2012, no?

[YE]

Democrat took the lead in the Agricultural Commissioner race:

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/1060609182544642048

Looks like we’ll at least have 1 statewide office holder in the sunshine state.

[user12345]

Democrat took the lead in the Agricultural Commissioner race:

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/1060609182544642048

Looks like we’ll at least have 1 statewide office holder in the sunshine state.

How does an unknown Ag Commissioner candidate beat out two high profile races with well-known candidates?!

[Gass3268]

Democrat took the lead in the Agricultural Commissioner race:

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/1060609182544642048

Looks like we’ll at least have 1 statewide office holder in the sunshine state.

How does an unknown Ag Commissioner candidate beat out two high profile races with well-known candidates?!

I'm gonna take a shot in the dark and say she did ever so slightly better with the DINOS in the panhandle.

[ajc0918]

Democrat took the lead in the Agricultural Commissioner race:

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/1060609182544642048

Looks like we’ll at least have 1 statewide office holder in the sunshine state.

How does an unknown Ag Commissioner candidate beat out two high profile races with well-known candidates?!

Unknown to who? Nikki got publicity for her stances on marijuana and on standing up to the NRA. She got a lot of press after multiple banks shut down her campaign accounts due to her stances on medical marijuana. Her opponent was more unknown.

[Tender Branson]

Nelson might actually win this ...

Most counties have not even started their provisional vote count yet.

[Dereich]

Democrat took the lead in the Agricultural Commissioner race:

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/1060609182544642048

Looks like we’ll at least have 1 statewide office holder in the sunshine state.

How does an unknown Ag Commissioner candidate beat out two high profile races with well-known candidates?!

I wouldn't really call her unknown. I got campaign emails from her on email accounts that have nothing to do with politics. I also got my only Democratic robocall of the race for her. Plus, I think I saw more Fried signs than for anyone other than MAYBE Gillum here. I'd argue that she easily ran the best Democratic campaign in Duval county. If she did that well elsewhere the only surprise is that she isn't leading by more.

[ajc0918]

Nelson might actually win this ...

Most counties have not even started their provisional vote count yet.

Not to mention, Palm Beach (VBM) and Broward (VBM and EV) are still counting votes. The only countries who have counted provisional ballots are small rural counties.

The deadline to cure ballots is 5PM today and let me tell you, Dems are out in force knocking and calling every provisional ballot to get it fixed. They've organized in every urban county to go door to door in the past 36 hours.

[Sestak]

Nelson is in hand recount margin now, so if there is a machine error with FL-24/Broward, it will hopefully be found.