Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

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I don't understand how Youngkin became so rich to begin with.  He doesn't seem very bright.

Are you familiar with the last President of the United States?

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Bruh... If this is true... I wish
https://twitter.com/nedryun/status/1455555600990056452?s=20

Where are the numbers coming from on this?

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Early turnout reports are fantastic and accurate when they support my narrative/what I want to happen, and completely anecdotal and not trustworthy when they don't.

*How to define NSV in one sentence

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https://twitter.com/lion_politics/status/1455577405251334146?s=20

My uncle who works at Nintendo told me Rayman was going to be in Smash.

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For the love of Christ, Terry McAuliffe, please stop sending me fundraising emails.

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Everyone is freaking out over high turnout relative to 2017 and 2020 when neither of those were competitive races and this clearly is.

2017 was a competitive race until the results came in.

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How soon till polls close?

3 hours, 25 minutes

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Yup, Republican turnout looks to be off the charts. Not good at all.

Democratic turnout is also off the charts. Republicans matching Dem % of 2017 will not do them any good because they lost that race by 9 points.

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As with seemingly every exit poll, conflicting messages:

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1455643925188907010

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I'd like to see McAuliffe favorables - have they mentioned holding them back until the next hour?

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27 % of Voters are Senior Citizens in VA per CNN. Youth Vote only 9 %.

But we know that's probably not true based on turnout, so skepticism is warranted.

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27 % of Voters are Senior Citizens in VA per CNN. Youth Vote only 9 %.

YoungKing YoungKing YoungKing!!!!

2017 VA Electorate

67 % White
20 % AA
6 % Latino
3 % Asian
3 % Other

NOW

73 % White
17 % AA
5 % Latino

NOW*

(*maybe, depending on whether this exit poll is accurate)

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If Biden really is 43/56 in VA, it means he's in Hoover after the stock market crash territory nationally, so that's actually pretty important, possibly the most important part here for longer term implications. 

Which makes me more skeptical of the exit poll than it does anything else.

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If you think Biden approvals are lower in a state he won by 10 points than they are nationally, I have a bridge, etc.

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The Fox poll was right.
https://twitter.com/toomertastic/status/1455652508739768323?s=21

How does this not discredit the exit poll, if anything?

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So I think it is safe to assume these exit polls are complete horses**t?

It was safe to assume that two hours ago.

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Wish AP Vote Cast released theres...

This has Whites at Youngkin +24 which would be wow.

Also McAuliffe only winning 18-29 by a few % would be horrific if that were true.

Seems like every outlet is having trouble modeling the electorate.

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At least it looks like Danica Roem will keep her seat. Small, small victories.

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Are we expecting a vote dump from Essex any time soon?

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UMW poll has generic ballot at D+3, 40-37

https://www.umw.edu/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/7/2023/09/Release-1-Topline.pdf

What poll has this many undecideds when early voting has already started? Come on.