Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[indietraveler]

Never change, Atlas lol.

To sum up - is it fair to say there are positives so far for both sides regarding turnout and there are no meaningful takeaways so far?

Wish I could be here tonight, I'll be watching on TV while I work on other things. I assume CNN will be doing returns all night?

[Non Swing Voter]

What’s the best outcome narrative-wise for Biden and Trump out of VA in terms of turnout/margins in areas/with demos and overall result?

Honestly, I think Trump could possibly have the BEST narrative tonight, because if rural SWVA turnout is so repressed it is proof that without Trump on the top of the ticket they can't get their people fired up.

[Wormless Gourd]

Never change, Atlas lol.

To sum up - is it fair to say there are positives so far for both sides regarding turnout and there are no meaningful takeaways so far?

Wish I could be here tonight, I'll be watching on TV while I work on other things. I assume CNN will be doing returns all night?

Yes there's not utterly one sided numbers coming out so far. Virginia Beach and Roanoke looks great for Youngkin, but so does NOVA for McAuliffe.
And yes CNN will have continuous coverage.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Never change, Atlas lol.

To sum up - is it fair to say there are positives so far for both sides regarding turnout and there are no meaningful takeaways so far?

This is correct.  Basically we will know almost nothing useful until actual results start coming in.

[Senator Incitatus]

Everyone is freaking out over high turnout relative to 2017 and 2020 when neither of those were competitive races and this clearly is.

[Non Swing Voter]

Never change, Atlas lol.

To sum up - is it fair to say there are positives so far for both sides regarding turnout and there are no meaningful takeaways so far?

This is correct.  Basically we will know almost nothing useful until actual results start coming in.

We know that the enthusiasm gap/Dems aren't going to turnout narrative was BUNK.

[soundchaser]

Everyone is freaking out over high turnout relative to 2017 and 2020 when neither of those were competitive races and this clearly is.

2017 was a competitive race until the results came in.

[Gass3268]

Never change, Atlas lol.

To sum up - is it fair to say there are positives so far for both sides regarding turnout and there are no meaningful takeaways so far?

This is correct.  Basically we will know almost nothing useful until actual results start coming in.

I disagree with this to a point. I think we can infer that neither side will lose tonight because their votes/areas didn't show up. Yet that's it. Differences in margin compared to 2020 and 2017 will decide the outcome.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Never change, Atlas lol.

To sum up - is it fair to say there are positives so far for both sides regarding turnout and there are no meaningful takeaways so far?

This is correct.  Basically we will know almost nothing useful until actual results start coming in.

We know that the enthusiasm gap/Dems aren't going to turnout narrative was BUNK.

It was bunk that was thrown about by the media to justify their particular view of why this was a horse-race, which is good for ratings.
Ds were probably always going to turn out.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/davebjerke/status/1455615361030688778

One thing is for sure.  Falls Church is absolutely killing it and their election administrator is very transparent and on the job reporting out.  Clearly they've created an environment where people want to vote. 

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/davebjerke/status/1455615361030688778

One thing is for sure.  Falls Church is absolutely killing it and their election administrator is very transparent and on the job reporting out.  Clearly they've created an environment where people want to vote.  

In case people are wondering, this is how Falls Church voted last time:

Northam: 4,770
Gillespie: 1,192

So with votes since 3pm, it's fair to say that Falls Church is well over 100% of its 2017 totals (not too surprising due to population growth) but the turnout percent seems on pace to be higher than the 62-65% expected earlier in the day.

[Gass3268]

Another good sign for African American turnout.

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455617366843404289?s=20

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Another good sign for African American turnout.

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455617366843404289?s=20

So Youngkin lives in Sussex County? Can we expect a small boost for him there?

[Chips]

Never change, Atlas lol.

To sum up - is it fair to say there are positives so far for both sides regarding turnout and there are no meaningful takeaways so far?

This is correct.  Basically we will know almost nothing useful until actual results start coming in.

I agree wholeheartedly. It seems as though McAuliffe might have a slight edge but no one will have any idea for sure of what's happening until votes start to come in. I honestly think it could very well be until 8PM or potentially even later before we have enough of the vote in key swing areas to truly get a grasp on what might happen.

[Non Swing Voter]

Another good sign for African American turnout.

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455617366843404289?s=20

So Youngkin lives in Sussex County? Can we expect a small boost for him there?

Given that Youngkin centered his campaign around a racist dog whistle (CRT), probably not.

Also, what do you mean?  Youngkin lives in Great Falls, the wealthiest zip code in the state.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Another good sign for African American turnout.

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455617366843404289?s=20

So Youngkin lives in Sussex County? Can we expect a small boost for him there?

Given that Youngkin centered his campaign around a racist dog whistle (CRT), probably not.

Also, what do you mean?  Youngkin lives in Great Falls, the wealthiest zip code in the state.

Ah, that's it.
I was misled by the tweet's specific word choices.
Glad that got cleared up.

[lfromnj]

Another good sign for African American turnout.

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455617366843404289?s=20

Doesn't show much. Its clear there is an important HOD race similar to the Giles/Montgomery district. However there the area is much more partisan with Blacksburg being quite blue and Giles being super red. In Sussex county it is pretty close to 55 D 45 R presidentially. Would be better to see an area like Petersburg.

[Roll Roons]

Another good sign for African American turnout.

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455617366843404289?s=20

So Youngkin lives in Sussex County? Can we expect a small boost for him there?

Given that Youngkin centered his campaign around a racist dog whistle (CRT), probably not.

Also, what do you mean?  Youngkin lives in Great Falls, the wealthiest zip code in the state.

HD-75 (hotly contested Delegate race) is in that area, and I assume the GOP candidate is from Sussex.

[Spectator]

Everyone is freaking out over high turnout relative to 2017 and 2020 when neither of those were competitive races and this clearly is.

false. This is a close race. Not a competitive race. The difference is that in a competitive race, the winner is in doubt. The winner is not in doubt in this race.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

How soon till polls close?

[soundchaser]

How soon till polls close?

3 hours, 25 minutes

[Non Swing Voter]

Another good sign for African American turnout.

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455617366843404289?s=20

So Youngkin lives in Sussex County? Can we expect a small boost for him there?

Given that Youngkin centered his campaign around a racist dog whistle (CRT), probably not.

Also, what do you mean?  Youngkin lives in Great Falls, the wealthiest zip code in the state.

Ah, that's it.
I was misled by the tweet's specific word choices.
Glad that got cleared up.

Not your fault at all, most of the GOP twitter accounts have been highly misleading to say the least.

[Non Swing Voter]

Everyone is freaking out over high turnout relative to 2017 and 2020 when neither of those were competitive races and this clearly is.

false. This is a close race. Not a competitive race. The difference is that in a competitive race, the winner is in doubt. The winner is not in doubt in this race.

go on...

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

How soon till polls close?

3 hours, 25 minutes

Thanks for the info good Sir.

[Non Swing Voter]

Biden just told audience in Scotland that he thinks T-Mac will win.