Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread

[Pollster]

This has to be fake news, right? This is his one chance to be Majority Leader, he can't be that stupid to just let it slip. On the other hand, money doesn't matter anymore it seems, if this is true.
"Now, after the party performed poorly in down-ballot races, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., is no longer meeting with donors, a source familiar with the matter told NBC News.

Schumer is "pessimistic" about Warnock and Ossoff's chances in Georgia next week and doesn't want to ruin donor relationships, the source adds."
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/ossoff-warnock-warn-about-running-low-funds-seek-last-minute-n1252413

This reads a lot like the October 2017 “Northam is blowing it” articles.

[Pollster]

Not going to impact the race, but this audio clip is pretty incredible.

[Pollster]

On another note, are you doing polling work in Georgia?  If so, any hints you can drop for us?

We are doing tracking until election day, and this has been among the most stable races I've ever polled.

[Pollster]

On another note, are you doing polling work in Georgia?  If so, any hints you can drop for us?

We are doing tracking until election day, and this has been among the most stable races I've ever polled.

Any other hints you can throw us?

What is the implied meaning behind "this has been among the most stable races" ... Who does this statement favor?  Most all other polling would indicate this race has had a lead change or two along the way (or at least a few changes in momentum).

Stable in the sense that we haven't seen any candidate pull into a lead outside the margin of error (though the candidate with a nominal lead has changed a few times) nor have we seen any candidate gain/lose measurable support with any demographic group or in any regional area.

[Pollster]

My anecdote to contribute:

An old college friend of mine who lives in DeKalb County went to vote with her family at poll opening this morning and the line was already 3 hours long upon their arrival. She cast her ballot at 10:13. People who arrived after her brought chairs and laptops to work from, and multiple people started offering and using each others' mobile hotspots. She said that she's used to long lines at her polling place, but this one felt longer than usual, though she thinks that could be due to social distancing giving the illusion of longer length. She voted by mail for the November general so couldn't compare.

[Pollster]

My partner and daughter have been last-minute phone banking and have, combined, spoken to three Ossoff/Loeffler voters. One did so because he wants "younger leaders" and "doesn't vote for old people anymore." The other two did not specify.

[Pollster]

It is important to remember that the 5pm exit poll does not include the voters who cast ballots in the final two hours of voting, which can be consequential in a race anticipated to be as close as this one.

[Pollster]

https://twitter.com/ryanobles/status/1346565943393193988

Is Cherokee County rural? I was under the impression it was mostly suburban.

It's outer suburban/exurban.  But it's been a Republican stronghold for a long time.

Notably, GA-11 did go from 60/35 Trump to 57/42 this year.

[Pollster]

So we're probably only a week or so away from The Daily Beast breaking the story that Kelly Loeffler bet $500 million on Warnock on PredictIt.

[Pollster]

Kelly Loeffler is definitely one of the dumbest political occurrences of the contemporary era.

[Pollster]

Every single poll we conducted of these runoffs was accurate, and it looks like we nearly nailed turnout.

We adopted Ann Selzer's methodology.

[Pollster]

Email newsletter from PPP detailing some of the work they did on these runoffs.

Interestingly, their first polls saw Ossoff at a clear disadvantage, which we never picked up. However, their final polls and ours were nearly identical.