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Crucial Waukesha
nloeb
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Posts: 40
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 08:44:25 PM » |
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Prediction from Tender:
Biden might actually lose this election.
No, he's almost certainly going to improve over Hillary well enough to win. Miami is not the pattern but the exception.
Look at the border counties of Texas. There is a pattern |
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Crucial Waukesha
nloeb
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Posts: 40
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 10:57:27 PM » |
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Trump has this game won unless Biden can win PA + WI.
That's, uh, a really big "unless".
WI, maybe, but PA is starting to run out of votes left to catch up, unless the mail in is predominantly Democrat.
It would appear the entire election will come down to PA.
The mail in is definitely predominantly Democrat |
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Crucial Waukesha
nloeb
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Posts: 40
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2020, 08:50:03 PM » |
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Whoops. Looks like I offended some people with my La Follette comment. I shall go read up on him now. Apologies
La Follette was a true FF |
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Crucial Waukesha
nloeb
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Posts: 40
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2020, 12:30:22 PM » |
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More votes in from Columbia, PA. Trump's lead now stands at 115,069 votes.
The county went Trump 64.4-33.5, not sure how this specific batch broke down
Mail-in vote in Columbia per the state went Biden 5339 Trump 2724.
Even in these ruby red counties Biden is just dominating with the mail in vote |
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Crucial Waukesha
nloeb
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Posts: 40
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2020, 12:40:08 PM » |
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Will NV be called today? or is everyone sh**tting their pants hoping PA does the job for everyone?
NV being called before PA would be terrifying because only AP and Fox have called AZ, but Trump could come back there.
I sincerely hope either PA/GA is called first, or another org calls AZ.
GA would only get Biden to 269.
No, Biden would have 270 due to capturing both NE-2 and ME-2.
Trump won ME-2 |
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Crucial Waukesha
nloeb
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Posts: 40
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2020, 04:31:56 PM » |
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Time mangement post; is there a chance of any significant news in the next 10 hours? (aka when I'm in bed)
Maybe PA but Philly is processing 10,000 votes per hour and Allegheny won't count again until tomorrow so it's definitely iffy it'll happen |
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Crucial Waukesha
nloeb
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Posts: 40
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« Reply #17 on: November 07, 2020, 11:38:32 AM » |
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has anyone explained why they called it?
The lead in PA went over recount territory |
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Crucial Waukesha
nloeb
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Posts: 40
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« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2020, 08:20:46 PM » |
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97% in. It's over and they should call it for Biden by now.
for alex.github.io, Trump is in the way for take AZ, he needs 56.8% and is averaging 59%
The math on his site assumes all provisionals will be counted. When only about half usually are |
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Crucial Waukesha
nloeb
Rookie
Posts: 40
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« Reply #19 on: December 02, 2020, 03:57:07 PM » |
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As bad as NYC is, Suffolk and Winchester still have more than 100,000 votes each to report
Total number of votes in New York probably hovers around 8.5-8.6 Million. In contrast to Florida which has about 11.4 Million votes. Why such big discrepancy in turnout between the 2 states with approximately the same population size?
Not really, there are safe states with arguably very high turnout e.g. Washington, Oregon, Massachusetts.
Oregon and Washington mail ballots to every voter. NY has an antiquated system that makes it difficult for people to vote, especially absentee |
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