2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Splash]

More votes in from Columbia, PA. Trump's lead now stands at 115,069 votes.

how did this area vote?

It looks like Trump won the county 64-34 overall. He won it 63-31 in 2016.

[BudgieForce]

Does anyone seriously think Biden has a chance in AK? Why aren’t they calling it?

The vast vast vast majority of ballots are Vote by Mail. While its a pretty safe call to assume the vast majority of them will go to Trump, it's not something you can predict 100% of the time. So they wont call it yet.

I get the "no idea what he's talking about" award.

[rhg2052]

Does anyone seriously think Biden has a chance in AK? Why aren’t they calling it?

Because they're not even starting to count mail ballots for a week. Biden is very unlikely to win, but there's not enough in to call it.

[n1240]

More votes in from Columbia, PA. Trump's lead now stands at 115,069 votes.

how did this area vote?

The county went Trump 64.4-33.5, not sure how this specific batch broke down

Mail-in vote in Columbia per the state went Biden 5339 Trump 2724.

[Hnv1]

Will NV be called today? or is everyone sh**tting their pants hoping PA does the job for everyone?

[Platypus]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324401527663058944

What an excellent idea.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Does anyone seriously think Biden has a chance in AK? Why aren’t they calling it?

AK doesn't start counting mail ballots until a week after Election Day, and there are enough of them to hypothetically put Biden ahead.  Not that anyone expects this to happen, but given the circumstances it is reasonable for the networks to hold off calling it.

[BudgieForce]

Will NV be called today? or is everyone sh**tting their pants hoping PA does the job for everyone?

I can see everybody not named Fox or AP calling NV.

[Holmes]

You hate to see it.

https://mobile.twitter.com/jeremymbarr/status/1324400156758953984?s=20

Trump and everyone who associates with him are completely toxic.

[Crucial Waukesha]

More votes in from Columbia, PA. Trump's lead now stands at 115,069 votes.

how did this area vote?

The county went Trump 64.4-33.5, not sure how this specific batch broke down

Mail-in vote in Columbia per the state went Biden 5339 Trump 2724.

Even in these ruby red counties Biden is just dominating with the mail in vote

[RI]

Does anyone seriously think Biden has a chance in AK? Why aren’t they calling it?

The vast vast vast majority of ballots are Vote by Mail. While its a pretty safe call to assume the vast majority of them will go to Trump, it's not something you can predict 100% of the time. So they wont call it yet.

About 150k mail ballots were cast, so it's actually a minority of AK ballots, not "the vast vast vast majority."

[Ferguson97]

Does anyone seriously think Biden has a chance in AK? Why aren’t they calling it?

Because they haven't counted mail-in votes yet and hypothetically Biden could win with enough of them, even if it's extremely unlikely.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

More votes in from Columbia, PA. Trump's lead now stands at 115,069 votes.

This is a community along the Susquehanna river in Lancaster County, PA, which was 56-37 Trump in 2016.

[BudgieForce]

Does anyone seriously think Biden has a chance in AK? Why aren’t they calling it?

The vast vast vast majority of ballots are Vote by Mail. While its a pretty safe call to assume the vast majority of them will go to Trump, it's not something you can predict 100% of the time. So they wont call it yet.

About 150k mail ballots were cast, so it's actually a minority of AK ballots, not "the vast vast vast majority."

Okay, then not sure what I'm talking about.

[compucomp]

More votes in from Columbia, PA. Trump's lead now stands at 115,069 votes.

how did this area vote?

The county went Trump 64.4-33.5, not sure how this specific batch broke down

All absentee ballots from any county in PA have been heavily blue. Even the ones in deep red counties. The absentee ballots counted so far statewide have been something like 75-25 for Biden. I watched some CNN coverage yesterday and they were not picking up on this point, still saying "there are absentee ballots but some are from red counties, they may favor Trump." 

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Washoe posted. Numbers practically unchanged.

[Bojack Horseman]

I really don’t know if Trump and his handlers realize that by parroting this “voter fraud” bullsh**t that he’s like a toddler standing in a pool of gasoline playing with matches.

[wbrocks67]

Not sure what places like Erie, Lehigh, etc. in PA are doing. They haven't really reported any new mail ins in a while.

[Ferguson97]

Will NV be called today? or is everyone sh**tting their pants hoping PA does the job for everyone?

NV being called before PA would be terrifying because only AP and Fox have called AZ, but Trump could come back there.

I sincerely hope either PA/GA is called first, or another org calls AZ.

[cg41386]

More votes in from Columbia, PA. Trump's lead now stands at 115,069 votes.

This is a community along the Susquehanna river in Lancaster County, PA, which was 56-37 Trump in 2016.

Columbia County, north central PA.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Will NV be called today? or is everyone sh**tting their pants hoping PA does the job for everyone?

NV will not be called today.  PA may be called today, but Biden at this point is certain to win it in the end.  Biden will overtake Trump in GA today too, but the margin is going to be within recount range so they might not call it.  (ABC, for one, has a policy of not calling any state with a margin <1% until the results are official.)

In short: it's really all but over.  Trump's chances are like an ice cube on a hot sidewalk in the summer.  It's melting as we watch, and will soon be gone.

[Alben Barkley]

If we end up with 306 EVs and flip the Senate with the run-offs, this is gonna feel MUCH more like a win than it did the other night. Yeah we lost some good House seats, but not the House.

I’ll sure as hell take it.

[forsythvoter]

For both GA and PA, it's becoming very clear the mail-in votes are going to be significantly more Democratic than the counted vote so far - something on the order of 50-60% more in PA and maybe 20-30% more in GA (in counties where the D vote isn't already 80%+). You can tell how the votes might lean by looking at the 2016 results - most counties in PA are either flat are even more D this election so if the current totals show the opposite trend, you can bet the difference is the outstanding mail-in votes.

It's pretty safe to say Biden is going to end up winning PA and it's probably not going to be all that close either.

[cp]

Will NV be called today? or is everyone sh**tting their pants hoping PA does the job for everyone?

NV will not be called today.  PA may be called today, but Biden at this point is certain to win it in the end.  Biden will overtake Trump in GA today too, but the margin is going to be within recount range so they might not call it.  (ABC, for one, has a policy of not calling any state with a margin <1% until the results are official.)

In short: it's really all but over.  Trump's chances are like an ice cube on hot sidewalk in the summer.  It's melting as we watch, and will soon be gone.

That's the most Georgia simile I've ever heard.

[SPQR]

I don't see any reason to worry about Nevada - slim margin, but incoming votes will be democratic and Biden's already ahead.

AZ, GA and PA are the states to watch.
Also NC, if only they were counting.