NY-23 Special Election: November 3, 2009
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Author Topic: NY-23 Special Election: November 3, 2009  (Read 116649 times)
CultureKing
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« Reply #500 on: November 03, 2009, 10:07:52 PM »
51-43-5 right now, Owens leading.
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Jacobtm
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« Reply #501 on: November 03, 2009, 10:08:33 PM »
Sarah Palin loses to Bill Owens
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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #502 on: November 03, 2009, 10:10:29 PM »
« Edited: November 03, 2009, 10:12:35 PM by Linus Van Pelt »
Jefferson is the biggest McCain county in the district, and it's neither in Scozzafava's district nor is it Owens's home - for Hoffman to be losing there is bad news.

Edit: False, part of it is in Scozzafava's district. But still.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #503 on: November 03, 2009, 10:10:58 PM »
Politico predicted Christie!
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Hash
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« Reply #504 on: November 03, 2009, 10:11:18 PM »
Quote from: Linus Van Pelt on November 03, 2009, 10:10:29 PM
and it's neither in Scozzafava's district nor is it Owens's home

I"m pretty sure part of it is.
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cinyc
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« Reply #505 on: November 03, 2009, 10:12:23 PM »
29.71% in:

Owens 49.48%
Hoffman 45.36%
Scozzafava 5.16%   

Spreadsheet:
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Frodo
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« Reply #506 on: November 03, 2009, 10:15:51 PM »
Quote from: Senator Tmthforu94 on November 03, 2009, 10:07:26 PM
I almost think those New York conservatives deserve this. It will teach Conservatives all across America that splitting the party, like they are threatening to do, will only hurt us.

It won't -they care nothing about what happens to the Republican Party.  If it splits apart and fractures, oh well.  Good riddance to bad rubbish.  And to a certain extent, I understand where they are coming from.  They are fed up with the GOP, which -when it was in power- had rewarded their loyalty with an expanded, more intrusive federal government, with deficits as far as the eye can see.  
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Ronnie
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« Reply #507 on: November 03, 2009, 10:16:25 PM »
Sheesh!  It's not looking good.
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cinyc
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« Reply #508 on: November 03, 2009, 10:16:46 PM »
33.28% in:
Owens 49.87%   
Hoffman 45.08%
Scozzafava 5.05%   
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ajc0918
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« Reply #509 on: November 03, 2009, 10:17:54 PM »

wrong thread...
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cinyc
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« Reply #510 on: November 03, 2009, 10:21:55 PM »
36.69%+ in:
Owens 49.95%   
Hoffman 44.90%
Scozzafava 5.15%   
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #511 on: November 03, 2009, 10:22:26 PM »
only 33% in, Hoffman can still win
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Beet
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« Reply #512 on: November 03, 2009, 10:23:08 PM »
If this holds up, PPP has some 'splainin to do.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #513 on: November 03, 2009, 10:24:34 PM »
Quote from: Beet on November 03, 2009, 10:23:08 PM
If this holds up, PPP has some 'splainin to do.

Quite so.  Honestly, even if Hoffman wins, it will be narrow and not at all the teaslide that PPP predicted.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #514 on: November 03, 2009, 10:26:00 PM »
Hoffman down to 10% on Intrade.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #515 on: November 03, 2009, 10:26:09 PM »
Looks like to me Owens should be favored right now.  But we need to see full counties before I can make this a 100% sure observation.
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Meeker
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« Reply #516 on: November 03, 2009, 10:27:24 PM »
I tried to warn ya'll against believing special election polling.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #517 on: November 03, 2009, 10:28:32 PM »
Remember 1 in 20 on pollsters.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #518 on: November 03, 2009, 10:29:02 PM »
I think it looks good, based on what ares are reporting.
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cinyc
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« Reply #519 on: November 03, 2009, 10:29:56 PM »
45.29%+ in:
Owens 49.56%   
Hoffman 45.07%
Scozzafava 5.37%   

This has been pretty stable for a while.
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HappyWarrior
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« Reply #520 on: November 03, 2009, 10:30:35 PM »
At lest we still have one more hope.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #521 on: November 03, 2009, 10:33:20 PM »
Hoffman is losing? Okay, between this and NYC, this night is getting quite a bit better.
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cinyc
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« Reply #522 on: November 03, 2009, 10:36:26 PM »
55.68% in:
Owens 49.35%   
Hoffman 45.47%
Scozzafava 5.17%   
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #523 on: November 03, 2009, 10:37:21 PM »
Hoffman is still slowly gaining ground
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ag
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« Reply #524 on: November 03, 2009, 10:38:01 PM »
Hamilton County is fully in. It did less than I expected for Hoffman - he only got 50%. Owens at 38%. Apparently, they either don't watch the news or are hyper-partisan - Scozzafava at 12%!
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