LA-04 Runoff, Predictions and Results
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Author Topic: LA-04 Runoff, Predictions and Results  (Read 20285 times)
Lunar
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« Reply #50 on: December 06, 2008, 09:35:15 PM »
Quote from: North Carolina Yankee on December 06, 2008, 09:33:22 PM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on December 06, 2008, 09:30:44 PM
With 31/640 precincts in, Carmouche has a very slight lead.
Now with 35/640 precincts in, Fleming has regained the lead.
And with 39/640 in, Carmouche is back on top. Whee.

What site do you see this on?

Where do you think?

http://dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/12/6/211425/147/1022/670216
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #51 on: December 06, 2008, 09:36:52 PM »
Quote from: Lunar XVII on December 06, 2008, 09:35:15 PM
Quote from: North Carolina Yankee on December 06, 2008, 09:33:22 PM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on December 06, 2008, 09:30:44 PM
With 31/640 precincts in, Carmouche has a very slight lead.
Now with 35/640 precincts in, Fleming has regained the lead.
And with 39/640 in, Carmouche is back on top. Whee.

What site do you see this on?

Where do you think?

http://dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/12/6/211425/147/1022/670216



Thanks cause the LA SOS page is slower then hell.
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Lunar
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« Reply #52 on: December 06, 2008, 09:37:34 PM »
I mean, I didn't know either, but as soon as you asked I knew which site to check Tongue
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Meeker
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« Reply #53 on: December 06, 2008, 09:38:11 PM »
DeSoto 11/51 in and Carmouche at 66%. Landrieu received 52%
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Ronnie
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« Reply #54 on: December 06, 2008, 09:38:53 PM »
Carmouche is doing excellently so far.  I put him at a 2-1 favorite at this point.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #55 on: December 06, 2008, 09:39:41 PM »
Too early to comment much; might be mostly black areas in. Wait.

Doesn't look bad for him though. But wait anyway.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #56 on: December 06, 2008, 09:41:09 PM »
Quote from: North Carolina Yankee on December 06, 2008, 09:36:52 PM
Quote from: Lunar XVII on December 06, 2008, 09:35:15 PM
Quote from: North Carolina Yankee on December 06, 2008, 09:33:22 PM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on December 06, 2008, 09:30:44 PM
With 31/640 precincts in, Carmouche has a very slight lead.
Now with 35/640 precincts in, Fleming has regained the lead.
And with 39/640 in, Carmouche is back on top. Whee.

What site do you see this on?

Where do you think?

http://dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/12/6/211425/147/1022/670216



Thanks cause the LA SOS page is slower then hell.

How ironic, that's what I've been using.

Carmouche is up 3.24 points with 94/640 in.
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Meeker
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« Reply #57 on: December 06, 2008, 09:41:29 PM »
Red River 6/18 in, Carmouche at 69%, Landrieu won 58%

Is it common for the black areas in every county to come in early?
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Ronnie
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« Reply #58 on: December 06, 2008, 09:42:25 PM »
Quote from: Sibboleth on December 06, 2008, 09:39:41 PM
Too early to comment much; might be mostly black areas in. Wait.

Doesn't look bad for him though. But wait anyway.

Nope, Caddo Parish has hardly reported.  When that comes in, Carmouche should open his lead even more.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #59 on: December 06, 2008, 09:43:10 PM »
Carmouche is up 2.18 points with 108/640 in.
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Meeker
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« Reply #60 on: December 06, 2008, 09:44:17 PM »
Nothing from LA-02, of course.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #61 on: December 06, 2008, 09:44:45 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on December 06, 2008, 09:41:09 PM
Quote from: North Carolina Yankee on December 06, 2008, 09:36:52 PM
Quote from: Lunar XVII on December 06, 2008, 09:35:15 PM
Quote from: North Carolina Yankee on December 06, 2008, 09:33:22 PM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on December 06, 2008, 09:30:44 PM
With 31/640 precincts in, Carmouche has a very slight lead.
Now with 35/640 precincts in, Fleming has regained the lead.
And with 39/640 in, Carmouche is back on top. Whee.

What site do you see this on?

Where do you think?

http://dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/12/6/211425/147/1022/670216



Thanks cause the LA SOS page is slower then hell.

How ironic, that's what I've been using.

Carmouche is up 3.24 points with 94/640 in.

Now the LA SOS page is moving at a fair pace. It juist stayed at 19 precincts for so long I though they would be slow compared to others like in the MN recount where the SOS page is slower then the media sources. I guess I was wrong. 
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #62 on: December 06, 2008, 09:46:36 PM »

With 22 precincts, Jefferson is losing by 18 points. Haha, that won't last.

For the interesting race, Fleming retook the lead, he's up 0.72 points with 141/640 precincts in.
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Meeker
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« Reply #63 on: December 06, 2008, 09:46:45 PM »
Jefferson losing 56-39 in LA-02 with 22 precincts in

ROFL
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #64 on: December 06, 2008, 09:48:40 PM »
Carmouch up big now.
52.07-44.65 with 171/640 precincts in. I'm guessing that some decent sized city just reported.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #65 on: December 06, 2008, 09:49:53 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on December 06, 2008, 09:48:40 PM
Carmouch up big now.
52.07-44.65 with 171/640 precincts in. I'm guessing that some decent sized city just reported.

Shreveport
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #66 on: December 06, 2008, 09:50:40 PM »
Wow, Carmouche is at 67% in Caddo with 22/158 in. Maybe I was being too pessimistic.

Although, it would be hilarious if Carmouche and Cao won.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #67 on: December 06, 2008, 09:51:53 PM »
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on December 06, 2008, 09:50:40 PM
Wow, Carmouche is at 67% in Caddo with 22/158 in. Maybe I was being too pessimistic.

Although, it would be hilarious if Carmouche and Cao won.

That would probably be the best outcome for the Democratic party. They can just win back LA-02 in 2010.
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Meeker
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« Reply #68 on: December 06, 2008, 09:53:55 PM »
Huh. Red River 100% in, Carmouche got 53%. Landrieu got 59% there last month.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #69 on: December 06, 2008, 09:53:59 PM »
237/640 in. It has tightened a fair amount, but Carmouche is still up 3.32 points.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #70 on: December 06, 2008, 09:57:54 PM »
A gap of only 418 votes now with 272/640 in.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #71 on: December 06, 2008, 09:59:00 PM »
Vernon is coming in... 67% for Fleming. McCain got about 75% there.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #72 on: December 06, 2008, 09:59:56 PM »
Carmouche's lead is down to 25 votes, or 0.07% with 290/640 in.
The numbers didn't change with precinct 291.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #73 on: December 06, 2008, 10:00:07 PM »
Fleming better pray for Carmouche's lead in Caddo to move under 60%.  Rural Caddo might be okay for Fleming, but he will continued to be massacred in Shreveport.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #74 on: December 06, 2008, 10:00:43 PM »
Fleming now up 198 votes, 0.52% with 300 precincts reporting.
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