Alcon's all-purpose EARLY VOTING & REGISTRATION thread

[Lunar]

Your Georgia numbers are off.

What're the right numbers?

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

[Lunar]

Crap, I think you're right.  Georgia's Secretary of  State has it at %35.522454972372594510384093787476

[Sam Spade]

Crap, I think you're right.  Georgia's Secretary of  State has it at %35.522454972372594510384093787476

That's correct.

[Alcon]

Georgia ~890k
Sex
Men 44.3%
Women 60.6%
Unk 2.1%

I am impressed

[Lunar]

Georgia ~890k
Sex
Men 44.3%
Women 60.6%
Unk 2.1%

I am impressed

Black female to black male ratio:  1.6551672139937001541451645332082

White female to white male ratio: 1.2286328216654111661335934895094

might be a bit off on that quoted number above though since their black number was 3% off.

[Alcon]

Georgia ~890k
Sex
Men 44.3%
Women 60.6%
Unk 2.1%

I am impressed

Black female to black male ratio:  1.6551672139937001541451645332082

White female to white male ratio: 1.2286328216654111661335934895094

I more meant that I was impressed that it adds to 107%

[Lunar]

Yeah I don't know, shucks.  This site I will still frequent, but it's dropping the ball.  It probably just had a typo somewhere in the numbers.

[J. J.]

FL was reported this afternoon to be 47% R and 39% D.

[Alcon]

FL was reported this afternoon to be 47% R and 39% D.

That seems rather unlikely.  Source?

[??????????]

FL was reported this afternoon to be 47% R and 39% D.

That seems rather unlikely.  Source?

JJ's 75th law of elections.

[Lunar]

The ultimate compilation: http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

Current numbers:

Florida 470k votes
Dem   54.5%
Rep   30.5%
No/Oth   15.0%

Georgia ~890k
Race

White 65.5%
Black 38.4% (some GOP operatives told MAmbinder that many of these voters were "unlikely voters")
Other/Unk 3.1%

Sex
Men 44.3%
Women 60.6%
Unk 2.1%

North Carolina

Party

Dem 56.3%
Rep 27.1%
None 16.6%

Age

18-29 11.0%   
30-44 18.0%   
45-64 41.3%   
65+ 29.7%   

Race

White 67.4%   
Black 28.8%   
Other 3.8%

Emailed the site owner and he has it fixed.  The new numbers are:


Race
White 60.7%
Black 35.5%
Other/Unk 2.9%

Sex

Men 41.0%
Women 56.1%
Unk 2.0%

[Alcon]

FL was reported this afternoon to be 47% R and 39% D.

That seems rather unlikely.  Source?

JJ's 75th law of elections.

Well, actually, Democrats are barely outpacing Republicans in Florida, so it's possible.  I wonder what explains this (obviously something.)

[??????????]

FL was reported this afternoon to be 47% R and 39% D.

That seems rather unlikely.  Source?

JJ's 75th law of elections.

Well, actually, Democrats are barely outpacing Republicans in Florida, so it's possible.  I wonder what explains this (obviously something.)

The grim reality of an Obama presidency. I really really hate the sign analogy but if it means anything Obama has little visible support in my community.

[Alcon]

Well, actually, Democrats are barely outpacing Republicans in Florida, so it's possible.  I wonder what explains this (obviously something.)

The grim reality of an Obama presidency. I really really hate the sign analogy but if it means anything Obama has little visible support in my community.

The grim reality of an Obama presidency seems to be affecting only Florida early voting, and not even your public polling, or public polling or early voting in any other state. 

It's a bit odd

[J. J.]

FL was reported this afternoon to be 47% R and 39% D.

That seems rather unlikely.  Source?

MSNBC, but I'm not sure it was yesterday's or today's numbers.

I was surprised.

[J. J.]

Here is the link:  http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

The first day heavily Democratic, but the GOP bounce back with absentees.

Party
   
Dem
   41.2%
Rep
   41.1%
No/Oth
   17.6%
Ballot
   
Absentee
   59.4%
In-person
   40.6%
   
(I'd be that McCain holds FL)

[Alcon]

Oh, absentees.  Early FL absentees were, I believe, insanely Republican in 2004.  I may be wrong, but we'll see.

[daboese]

Hmm. I read:

Party
   
Dem
   43.7%
Rep
   41.8%
No/Oth
   14.6%
Ballot
   
Absentee
   53.9%
In-person
   46.1%

It looks like the absentee were really strong Rep.

[Josh/Devilman88]

As of 8:30 this morning, 930,516 has cast their ballot in NC. That is 69,484 shy of 1 million.

[Tender Branson]

Update:

TX: 1.113.000
GA: 967.000
TN: 807.000

[J. J.]

As of 8:30 this morning, 930,516 has cast their ballot in NC. That is 69,484 shy of 1 million.

Current Black percentage is 29%.

[Sam Spade]

Just running through Harris County places:

Early voting is much higher in the black parts of town and the one or two liberal white parts.  Ok, but not great in the white Republican areas.  Pathetic in the Hispanic areas.

About what I would expect.

[Brittain33]

As of 8:30 this morning, 930,516 has cast their ballot in NC. That is 69,484 shy of 1 million.

3.5 million total votes cast in 2004, for comparison, when the state was both less populous and not seriously contested.

[Josh/Devilman88]

As of 8:30 this morning, 930,516 has cast their ballot in NC. That is 69,484 shy of 1 million.

They updated it: As of 10/24 5:15pm: 1,058,992 people have voted. That is 128,476 more then 8:30 this morning.

[Lief 🗽]

Just running through Harris County places:

Early voting is much higher in the black parts of town and the one or two liberal white parts.  Ok, but not great in the white Republican areas.  Pathetic in the Hispanic areas.

About what I would expect.

If I remember correctly, Hispanic turnout wasn't that great during early voting in the primary either. They still came out in force on election day though.