Alcon's all-purpose EARLY VOTING & REGISTRATION thread

[Verily]

Oh, absentees.  Early FL absentees were, I believe, insanely Republican in 2004.  I may be wrong, but we'll see.

No, you're right. Absentees in Florida were close to 80% Republican in 2004, I think. I'm not really sure why, although the Republicans did win the early vote in every state (even Massachusetts) in 2004, except Iowa for some reason. Probably for the most part on the back of heavily Republican absentee ballots everywhere, especially in states that don't have no-excuse absentee voting (so the absentee ballots are almost all the elderly and military).

[Alcon]

Hmm, thanks. I wonder if anyone knows why?

I remember some people suggested ca. 2006 that it was because of Florida's tax laws, and many people retained residency address there to avoid NY taxes.  Still seems amazingly high, and seems odd that they would vote there too.  Not like anyone cross-checks that kind of thing.  Even among New York tax-dodgers, I doubt the crowd is that Republican.

(Where'd you find that information?)

[J. J.]

Hmm, thanks. I wonder if anyone knows why?

I remember some people suggested ca. 2006 that it was because of Florida's tax laws, and many people retained residency address there to avoid NY taxes.  Still seems amazingly high, and seems odd that they would vote there too.  Not like anyone cross-checks that kind of thing.  Even among New York tax-dodgers, I doubt the crowd is that Republican.

(Where'd you find that information?)

I remember discussing it.

[Alcon]

Hmm, thanks. I wonder if anyone knows why?

I remember some people suggested ca. 2006 that it was because of Florida's tax laws, and many people retained residency address there to avoid NY taxes.  Still seems amazingly high, and seems odd that they would vote there too.  Not like anyone cross-checks that kind of thing.  Even among New York tax-dodgers, I doubt the crowd is that Republican.

(Where'd you find that information?)

I remember discussing it.

Wish I could find a link.  Did we reach any definite conclusions?  I had only a vague memory of the ultra-GOP absentee thing (I think some red avatars panicked) so it's nice to know it wasn't just déjà vu.

[J. J.]

Here is Colorado:

Party
   
Dem
   38.6%
Rep
   37.9%
No/Oth
   23.5%
Ballot
   
Absentee
   85.0%
In-person
   15.0%
   

[Alcon]

Here is Colorado:

Party
   
Dem
   38.6%
Rep
   37.9%
No/Oth
   23.5%
Ballot
   
Absentee
   85.0%
In-person
   15.0%
   

That's actually (if the first story in this thread is to be believed) more Democratic than the beginning, which kind of goes against expected pattern.  Weird.

[J. J.]

Here is Colorado:

Party
   
Dem
   38.6%
Rep
   37.9%
No/Oth
   23.5%
Ballot
   
Absentee
   85.0%
In-person
   15.0%
   

That's actually (if the first story in this thread is to be believed) more Democratic than the beginning, which kind of goes against expected pattern.  Weird.

I don't have a link on the military retirees. 

Here is the link to the data:  http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

The initial story said that some ballots had not been separated by party.

[Alcon]

The initial story said that some ballots had not been separated by party.

Well...there are always nonpartisan ballots, Colorado allows that.  There's non-partisan ballots in the statistics you posted, too.  I don't see the relevance.

[J. J.]

The initial story said that some ballots had not been separated by party.

Well...there are always nonpartisan ballots, Colorado allows that.  There's non-partisan ballots in the statistics you posted, too.  I don't see the relevance.

No, in the first story, some counties were not separating them by party.

[Alcon]

The initial story said that some ballots had not been separated by party.

Well...there are always nonpartisan ballots, Colorado allows that.  There's non-partisan ballots in the statistics you posted, too.  I don't see the relevance.

No, in the first story, some counties were not separating them by party.

Can you quote where in the story you're reading that?

[J. J.]

The initial story said that some ballots had not been separated by party.

Well...there are always nonpartisan ballots, Colorado allows that.  There's non-partisan ballots in the statistics you posted, too.  I don't see the relevance.

No, in the first story, some counties were not separating them by party.

Can you quote where in the story you're reading that?

"Some counties, such as Jefferson and El Paso, said they do not have 2004 mail-in ballots separated by party."

I thought you were referring to the comparison.

[Alcon]

Ja, but it seems to be happening in every county (nearly)...so I don't think missing Jeffco & El Paso...co...are a big deal

[Josh/Devilman88]

As of 8:30 this morning, 930,516 has cast their ballot in NC. That is 69,484 shy of 1 million.

They updated it: As of 10/24 5:15pm: 1,058,992 people have voted. That is 128,476 more then 8:30 this morning.

As of 10/24 8:00 pm:

TOTALS:
ONESTOP: 980,036                       Total Absentee Ballots Cast: 1,088,825
CIVILIAN: 102,104                        Total Registered Voters: 6,202,721
MILITARY: 4,550
OVERSEAS: 2,135

[Josh/Devilman88]

As of 8:30 this morning, 930,516 has cast their ballot in NC. That is 69,484 shy of 1 million.

They updated it: As of 10/24 5:15pm: 1,058,992 people have voted. That is 128,476 more then 8:30 this morning.

As of 10/24 8:00 pm:

TOTALS:
ONESTOP: 980,036                       Total Absentee Ballots Cast: 1,088,825
CIVILIAN: 102,104                        Total Registered Voters: 6,202,721
MILITARY: 4,550
OVERSEAS: 2,135

2008 General Election Absentee Stats as of 10/25/2008 01:00pm

TOTALS:
ONESTOP 1,033,273                   Total Absentee Ballots Cast: 1,144,655
CIVILIAN 104,500                       Total Registered Voters: 6,202,721
MILITARY 4,715
OVERSEAS 2,167

[J. J.]

CO:

Dem
   38.6%
Rep
   37.9%
No/Oth
   23.5%
Ballot
   
Absentee
   83.0%
In-person
   17.0%
   

FL:

    
Party
   
Dem
   44.3%
Rep
   40.9%
No/Oth
   14.8%
Ballot
   
Absentee
   50.2%
In-person
   49.8%
   

[Lunar]

North Carolina

Party

Dem 55.0%   
Rep 27.8%   
None 17.2%   


Age

18-29 11.7%   
30-44 19.8%   
45-64 41.8%   
65+ 26.7%   

Race

White 67.9%   
Black 28.2%   
Other 3.9%   

Iowa

Party

Dem 50.1%
Rep 28.2%
No/Other 21.7%

[Lunar]

Florida now has 2 million early/absentee voters

Party

Dem 44.3%
Rep 40.5%
No/Oth 15.2%

[Sam Spade]

Texas still hasn't updated Friday or Saturday, but if you look around the county websites for the big counties, you can find the numbers for those two days.  Bexar County has a similar system, but I don't know the county *that* well.

For example, Harris is now up to 16.90% of RV as of Saturday.

More importantly, this table and map can tell you where the strong points of voting are if you know the county as well as I do.    That's kinda what I was talking about couple of days ago.

http://harrisvotes.org/docs/EVPA.pdf

http://harrisvotes.org/docs/earlyvotinglocations_schedule_Nov2008_ENG.pdf

[ucscgaldamez]

wow. 2 million people already.

[J. J.]

FL:

Party
   
Dem
   44.7%
Rep
   40.0%
No/Oth
   15.2%
Ballot
   
Absentee
   50.1%
In-person
   49.9%
   
GA:

Race
   
White
   61.0%
Black
   35.1%
Other/Unk
   2.6%
Sex
   
Men
   41.2%
Women
   55.9%
Unk
   1.6%
Ballot
   
Absentee
   14.8%
In-person
   85.2%

CO:

Party
   
Dem
   38.6%
Rep
   37.9%
No/Oth
   23.5%
Ballot
   
Absentee
   81.6%
In-person
   18.4%
   
NC:

2008              2004
Party
      
Dem
   55.1%    48.6%
Rep
   27.7%    37.4%
None
   17.2%    14.1%
Age
      
18-29
   11.9%    
30-44
   19.9%    
45-64
   41.8%    
65+
   26.3%    
Race
      
White
   67.7%    
Black
   28.3%    
Other
   4.0%    
Sex
      
Men
   43.0%    42.9%
Women
   56.2%    56.6%
Unk
   0.3%    0.4%
Ballot
      
Absentee
   9.4%    13.1%
One-Stop
   90.6%    86.9%
   
http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

[Tender Branson]

TX also hits 2 Mio. early voters:

2,069,331 in the 15 largest counties as of yesterday, to be exact.

http://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/earlyvoting/2008/oct27.shtml

[Josh/Devilman88]

NC:

2008 North Carolina General Election Absentee Stats as of 10/28/2008 03:30pm
TOTALS:
ONESTOP 1,400,789                       Total Absentee Ballots Cast: 1,537,495
CIVILIAN 128,591                           Total Registered Voters: 6,220,485
MILITARY 5,542                               Turnout: 25%
OVERSEAS 2,573

[TheresNoMoney]

Georgia Update, 10/28/08

Total Ballots Cast: 1,206,891

35.39% Black Voters
60.59% White Voters

[ucscgaldamez]

good numbers

[Lunar]

No one's following the early vote numbers in Nevada more closely than Jon Ralston.  One of the reasons I've decided that Nevada leans to Obama is this:
 
In the urban counties, which represents about 85 percent of the vote, the Democrats could well have close to a 100,000-voter lead over the GOP by the close of early voting Friday. Unless the independents (16 percent in turnout so far) are overwhelmingly going for John McCain, which seems unlikely, Barack Obama has a chance to win Clark and Washoe by enough votes to win the state, unless the GOP Election Day turnout so overwhelms the Ds as to make up the difference -- an almost impossible task.

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/10/the_daily_ralston_gop_faces_al.php