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June 03, 2024, 03:43:01 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #100 on: October 03, 2008, 09:16:03 PM »
I don't know if KeyKeeper intends to keep doing this, but I'll try and pick it up if he doesn't mind; looking back on these maps is interesting.

October 3rd



Sen. Barack Obama/Sen. Joe Biden: 338
Sen. John McCain/Gov. Sarah Palin: 163
Toss-up: 37

Snapshot



Sen. Barack Obama/Sen. Joe Biden: 364
Sen. John McCain/Gov. Sarah Palin: 174

0-3 point lead = 30%, 3-6 point lead = 40%, 6-10 point lead = 60%, 10+ point lead = 80%
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Firefly
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« Reply #101 on: October 03, 2008, 10:50:05 PM »
Indiana is more Democratic than Missouri this year.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #102 on: October 04, 2008, 01:47:09 AM »
Quote from: Firefly on October 03, 2008, 10:50:05 PM
Indiana is more Democratic than Missouri this year.

It doesn't have a snowball's chance in hell of giving Obama more votes than Missouri will.
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??????????
StatesRights
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« Reply #103 on: October 04, 2008, 03:26:26 AM »
The fundamentals of this race make no sense. Tongue
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The Ex-Factor
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« Reply #104 on: October 04, 2008, 07:11:20 AM »
Quote from: StatesRights on October 04, 2008, 03:26:26 AM
The fundamentals of this race make no sense. Tongue

But are they strong?
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SPQR
italian-boy
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« Reply #105 on: October 04, 2008, 08:39:35 AM »
LMAO
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StatesRights
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« Reply #106 on: October 04, 2008, 09:03:51 AM »

Not for McCain. Tongue
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Firefly
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« Reply #107 on: October 04, 2008, 11:21:08 AM »
Quote from: ޒަހަރު) زَهَـرْ) on October 04, 2008, 01:47:09 AM
Quote from: Firefly on October 03, 2008, 10:50:05 PM
Indiana is more Democratic than Missouri this year.

It doesn't have a snowball's chance in hell of giving Obama more votes than Missouri will.

Actually, considering that Indiana has about half a million more people in it, it's pretty much guaranteed that it will give Obama more votes than Missouri.  Wink
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #108 on: October 04, 2008, 05:34:51 PM »
Quote from: Firefly on October 04, 2008, 11:21:08 AM
Quote from: ޒަހަރު) زَهَـرْ) on October 04, 2008, 01:47:09 AM
Quote from: Firefly on October 03, 2008, 10:50:05 PM
Indiana is more Democratic than Missouri this year.

It doesn't have a snowball's chance in hell of giving Obama more votes than Missouri will.

Actually, considering that Indiana has about half a million more people in it, it's pretty much guaranteed that it will give Obama more votes than Missouri.  Wink

Semantics. Tongue
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #109 on: October 04, 2008, 08:09:55 PM »
October 4th



Changes
In McCain's Favor:
Maine: Safe Dem to Likely Dem

In Obama's Favor:
None

Sen. Barack Obama/Sen. Joe Biden: 338
Sen. John McCain/Gov. Sarah Palin: 163
Toss-up: 37

Snapshot



Sen. Barack Obama/Sen. Joe Biden: 364
Sen. John McCain/Gov. Sarah Palin: 174

0-3 point lead = 30%, 3-6 point lead = 40%, 6-10 point lead = 60%, 10+ point lead = 80%
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #110 on: October 06, 2008, 06:58:46 PM »
October 5th



Changes
In McCain's Favor:
None

In Obama's Favor:
SOUTH CAROLINA from SAFE McCain to LIKELY McCain
MONTANA from LIKELY McCain to LEAN McCain
NEW HAMPSHIRE from LEAN Obama to LIKELY Obama
VIRGINIA from LEAN Obama to LIKELY Obama

Sen. Barack Obama/Sen. Joe Biden: 338
Sen. John McCain/Gov. Sarah Palin: 163
Toss-up: 37

Snapshot



Sen. Barack Obama/Sen. Joe Biden: 375 (+11)
Sen. John McCain/Gov. Sarah Palin: 163 (-11)

0-3 point lead = 30%, 3-6 point lead = 40%, 6-10 point lead = 60%, 10+ point lead = 80%
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Sensei
senseiofj324
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« Reply #111 on: October 06, 2008, 07:02:13 PM »
i wouldn't mind that map.... talk about mandate.
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Angel of Death
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« Reply #112 on: October 07, 2008, 09:43:19 AM »
Obama now 88.5% to win!

In the next map here the congressional districts of Maine and Nebraska should also stand out like in the website now.
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Angel of Death
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« Reply #113 on: October 07, 2008, 12:49:39 PM »


375-163 for Obama if each state goes according to the projection, but the global projection is 343.8-194.2.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #114 on: October 07, 2008, 01:46:58 PM »
Quote from: Angel of Death on October 07, 2008, 12:49:39 PM


375-163 for Obama if each state goes according to the projection, but the global projection is 343.8-194.2.

Because Obama is currently only narrowly ahead in Indiana, Missouri and North Carolina according to the projection, but all of the remaining McCain states look relatively safe.
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Angel of Death
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« Reply #115 on: October 07, 2008, 02:20:01 PM »
Obama's winning percentage is now 89.2.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #116 on: October 07, 2008, 03:16:02 PM »
Stupid Nate Silver, updating for today before I get the chance to update for yesterday.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #117 on: October 07, 2008, 06:04:37 PM »
Things are getting Clinton-Dole ugly.
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Alcon
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« Reply #118 on: October 08, 2008, 02:17:18 PM »
Today's update brings Obama's win chance to 90.5%.
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Angel of Death
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« Reply #119 on: October 08, 2008, 03:24:49 PM »
Nate Silver on The Colbert Report
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #120 on: October 10, 2008, 11:48:48 AM »
The question has become- "When will John McCain squeel like a pig?"
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Ronnie
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« Reply #121 on: October 10, 2008, 05:23:07 PM »
"Their [McCain Campaign's] electoral hand is so poor right now that it doesn't much matter in which states they're deciding to bide their time. Remember, any world in which McCain has a chance to win on Election Day is a world that looks very different from this one -- some significant event will have to have occurred to fundamentally change the momentum of the race. We don't know which states might be affected disproportionately by such an event, and so a lot of states are conceivably worth attacking or defending, which could become more important in the face of unknown unknowns."

You hear that, folks?  At least there will be no more talk about McCain winning this thing.
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agcatter
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« Reply #122 on: October 10, 2008, 08:33:33 PM »
McCain won't win of course  but  Indiana won't go Obama.  I don't know where he got that.
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tokar
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« Reply #123 on: October 11, 2008, 01:35:54 AM »
Quote from: Gun on October 10, 2008, 11:48:48 AM
The question has become- "When will John McCain squeel like a pig?"

EEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE
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tokar
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« Reply #124 on: October 11, 2008, 02:21:57 AM »
October 10th



Changes
In McCain's Favor:
NEW MEXICO from LIKELY Obama to LEAN Obama

In Obama's Favor:
KANSAS from SAFE McCain to LIKELY McCain
KENTUCKY from SAFE McCain to LIKELY McCain
MAINE from LIKELY Obama to SAFE Obama
NORTH CAROLINA from TOSS-UP to LEAN Obama
NORTH DAKOTA from LIKELY McCain to LEAN McCain
TENNESSEE from SAFE McCain to LIKELY McCain
WEST VIRGINIA from LEAN McCain to TOSS-UP

Sen. Barack Obama/Sen. Joe Biden: 353
Sen. John McCain/Gov. Sarah Palin: 158
Toss-up: 27

Snapshot



Sen. Barack Obama/Sen. Joe Biden: 375 (+11)
Sen. John McCain/Gov. Sarah Palin: 163 (-11)

0-3 point lead = 30%, 3-6 point lead = 40%, 6-10 point lead = 60%, 10+ point lead = 80%
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