New Hampshire Primary (January 23) Megathread

[wbrocks67]

I did not predict this race cause I'm not that into primaries. But These results are telling me to trust polls instead of vibes, which we have been told is more accurate than literal polling.

Indeed the Exit Polls do look wrong, this isn't the Trump +3-4 lead it looks like a Trump +12.

They overestimated Haley a bit in Iowa too, they might weight college whites to strongly in their samples.

A) these are early exits, i would wait at least for the 8pm update
B) can't really say they 'overestimated' Haley since we haven't even seen the breakdowns yet (will at 8pm)

[Horus]

There's a correlation between Haley's performance and how blue a town is, but what's an even slightly stronger correlation is a community's income and how Haley is doing. There are wealthier swing towns or lean-Republican towns that she's doing better in than some light blue mill towns. Trump truly is the candidate of the uneducated. Populism is cancer.

Elitist attitudes such as this are part of why he does so well with the uneducated...

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

There's a correlation between Haley's performance and how blue a town is, but what's an even slightly stronger correlation is a community's income and how Haley is doing. There are wealthier swing towns or lean-Republican towns that she's doing better in than some light blue mill towns. Trump truly is the candidate of the uneducated. Populism is cancer.

Haley is the candidate of the rich elite while Trump is the candidate of the poor and working class common man.

[Mike88]

George Santos, for some reason, is at Trump's election night party.

[Pres Mike]

I'm guessing results are about to start coming a lot sooner? At 7 central /8 eastern

[EastwoodS]

I did not predict this race cause I'm not that into primaries. But These results are telling me to trust polls instead of vibes, which we have been told is more accurate than literal polling.

Indeed the Exit Polls do look wrong, this isn't the Trump +3-4 lead it looks like a Trump +12.

They overestimated Haley a bit in Iowa too, they might weight college whites to strongly in their samples.

I mean like the pre-election day polls. I never trust early exit polls

[Senator Incitatus]

Haley +9 in Keene, even in partial results, is embarrassing, especially for George Hansel.

[Ferguson97]

There's a correlation between Haley's performance and how blue a town is, but what's an even slightly stronger correlation is a community's income and how Haley is doing. There are wealthier swing towns or lean-Republican towns that she's doing better in than some light blue mill towns. Trump truly is the candidate of the uneducated. Populism is cancer.

Elitist attitudes such as this are part of why he does so well with the uneducated...

If they want us to stop looking down on them, they should stop proving us right.

[NOVA Green]

ddhq has it now at 55-44 Trump with 57k PUB votes counted (Ahead of NYT numbers).

[jaichind]

I  wonder how many of "Unprocessed Write-Ins" are "ceasefire"

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

There's a correlation between Haley's performance and how blue a town is, but what's an even slightly stronger correlation is a community's income and how Haley is doing. There are wealthier swing towns or lean-Republican towns that she's doing better in than some light blue mill towns. Trump truly is the candidate of the uneducated. Populism is cancer.

Haley is the candidate of the rich elite while Trump is the candidate of the poor and working class common man.

And sadly poor working class people are more susceptible to falling into a cult, which is why we need to improve quality of and access to education. Populism is just enabling the delusional masses.

[EJ24]

There's a correlation between Haley's performance and how blue a town is, but what's an even slightly stronger correlation is a community's income and how Haley is doing. There are wealthier swing towns or lean-Republican towns that she's doing better in than some light blue mill towns. Trump truly is the candidate of the uneducated. Populism is cancer.

Elitist attitudes such as this are part of why he does so well with the uneducated...

Yeah I get really tired of liberals who fetishize Ivy League schools and worship people because they got college degrees. It totally ignores a lot of socio-economic barriers that prevent working class people from obtaining such education and puts blame on the individual for being a dumb dumb. Very elitist and ironically conservative position.

[Steve from Lambeth]

ddhq has it now at 55-44 Trump with 57k PUB votes counted (Ahead of NYT numbers).

Why are the GOP faithful voting out of taverns? Were alternative polling stations closed due to abysmal weather conditions?

[wbrocks67]

CNN interviews a man who wants someone closer to the "middle" and he decided to vote for Trump over Haley.

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

I really hope Phillips gets under 20%, I want to deny him "victory"

Phillips is easily clearing 20%. The question is more about 25% or 30% at this point.

He's at 21% right now. Why would he gain 5-10% by the end? You keep saying stuff with no evidence backing it up.

Honestly given the present Manchester votes I don't see him following below 20%

[Steve from Lambeth]

CNN interviews a man who wants someone closer to the "middle" and he decided to vote for Trump over Haley.

There are many correct opinions. This is one of them.

[NOVA Green]

Let's see what we get from Nashua here in a little bit...

Manchester is roughly currently tracking state averages with est 49% in.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

There's a correlation between Haley's performance and how blue a town is, but what's an even slightly stronger correlation is a community's income and how Haley is doing. There are wealthier swing towns or lean-Republican towns that she's doing better in than some light blue mill towns. Trump truly is the candidate of the uneducated. Populism is cancer.

Elitist attitudes such as this are part of why he does so well with the uneducated...

Yeah I get really tired of liberals who fetishize Ivy League schools and worship people because they got college degrees. It totally ignores a lot of socio-economic barriers that prevent working class people from obtaining such education and puts blame on the individual for being a dumb dumb. Very elitist and ironically conservative position.

It's not elitist to be anti-populist.

[Birdish]

The needle is live

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

DDNN PROJECTION: TRUMP & BIDEN WIN NH PRIMARY

[Roronoa D. Law]

GOP primary brain drain coming to full display in this primary.

[oldtimer]

Neddle is on, Trump +12.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

CNN interviews a man who wants someone closer to the "middle" and he decided to vote for Trump over Haley.

The median voter is astonishingly uninformed.

[emailking]

Too early to call. Trump leads. NBC

[emailking]

Biden projected winner, NBC.