McConnell aligned poll - Manchin leads Mooney and Morrisey, down double digits to Justice.
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  McConnell aligned poll - Manchin leads Mooney and Morrisey, down double digits to Justice.
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Author Topic: McConnell aligned poll - Manchin leads Mooney and Morrisey, down double digits to Justice.  (Read 1127 times)
AncestralDemocrat.
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« on: February 15, 2023, 07:45:58 AM »

"Justice has near-universal name ID in West Virginia, according to the poll, and would start with an early lead in a potential three-way primary among Morrisey and Mooney. The survey shows Justice with 53 percentage points in the primary, Morrisey with 21 percent and Mooney with 16 percent. The poll was taken in early February and has a 4.1 percentage point margin of error."

"And in a race against Manchin, Justice leads 52-42, according to the poll, while the Democrat leads Mooney in a potential head-to-head 55-40 and Morrisey 52-42. Manchin defeated Morrisey by about 3 points in 2018."


https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/15/gop-poll-justice-manchin-00082899
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #1 on: February 15, 2023, 08:57:47 AM »

I'm just laughing at the Mooney and Morrisey numbers. There's no way Manchin wins, no matter who his opponent is.
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Pollster
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« Reply #2 on: February 15, 2023, 09:16:17 AM »

Not a very good pollster but this basically shows why we don't have a definitive answer from Manchin on whether he's running yet.
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Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
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« Reply #3 on: February 15, 2023, 09:39:43 AM »

Manchin is screwed one way or the other. Justice may be the safest bet for the GOP, sure, but even Morrisey should win quite handily in a rematch.
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: February 15, 2023, 10:11:20 AM »

It'll be pretty funny if Republicans spend enormously on this race and completely ignore races like Michigan.
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Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
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« Reply #5 on: February 15, 2023, 10:16:37 AM »

It'll be pretty funny if Republicans spend enormously on this race and completely ignore races like Michigan.

The most likely reason for GOP candidates to be sunk in other competitive semi-competitive races is not necessarily money and ressources from their campaign operatives, but nominating horrible candidates. See 2022.
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Woody
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« Reply #6 on: February 15, 2023, 10:17:59 AM »

While Manchin is losing either way, it would be nice for Justice to run just to seal the deal.

He's also a pretty governor.
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BenjiG98
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« Reply #7 on: February 15, 2023, 10:35:26 AM »

He's pretty something alright...

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Ferguson97
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« Reply #8 on: February 15, 2023, 10:44:40 AM »

It'll be pretty funny if Republicans spend enormously on this race and completely ignore races like Michigan.

Republicans are not winning the Michigan race
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #9 on: February 15, 2023, 11:44:26 AM »

What is Justice waiting for seriously ?
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Classic Liminal
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« Reply #10 on: February 15, 2023, 11:49:04 AM »

My moneys on Trump endorsing Mooney or Morrisey and forcing Senate Rs to spend money in WV
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: February 15, 2023, 12:19:50 PM »

My moneys on Trump endorsing Mooney or Morrisey and forcing Senate Rs to spend money in WV

Yeah Manchin is 10 pts down in an R internal 2 yrs before Eday is gonna seal the Deal lol

Users like MT Treasure and 2016 said Tester was a dead duck but he's not it's a long way til Eday
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #12 on: February 15, 2023, 01:06:41 PM »


this seems to be predicated on the assumption that

1. justice actually wants to be in the senate
2. justice actually wants to serve in the senate under mitch mcconnell
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BenjiG98
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« Reply #13 on: February 15, 2023, 01:37:14 PM »


this seems to be predicated on the assumption that

1. justice actually wants to be in the senate
2. justice actually wants to serve in the senate under mitch mcconnell
He has been such a cocktease about it that I would be surprised if he DIDN'T run, especially when this is his pinned Tweet:
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: February 15, 2023, 01:49:51 PM »

We can afford to lose a seat but RS have MO is a vulnerable seat it didn't go 60/40 in 2016 with Jason Kander but RS failed defeat a single D incumbent in the S in 2022

This is also an R internal 2 yrs from Eday
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #15 on: February 15, 2023, 02:59:24 PM »


this seems to be predicated on the assumption that

1. justice actually wants to be in the senate
2. justice actually wants to serve in the senate under mitch mcconnell
He has been such a cocktease about it that I would be surprised if he DIDN'T run, especially when this is his pinned Tweet:

But what is he waiting for?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #16 on: February 15, 2023, 03:06:26 PM »

IDK, you could also make an argument that Justice is just enjoying the attention too.
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kwabbit
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« Reply #17 on: February 15, 2023, 03:14:19 PM »


this seems to be predicated on the assumption that

1. justice actually wants to be in the senate
2. justice actually wants to serve in the senate under mitch mcconnell
He has been such a cocktease about it that I would be surprised if he DIDN'T run, especially when this is his pinned Tweet:

But what is he waiting for?

Itís like 15 months until the primary. Candidates announce way too early nowadays. He could wait six months and still have plenty of time.
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BenjiG98
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« Reply #18 on: February 15, 2023, 04:00:02 PM »

Justice's response to the poll:

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Lincoln General Court Member NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #19 on: February 15, 2023, 04:09:53 PM »

Don't get me wrong,Manchin is probably DOA against almost anyone the West Virginia GOP can put up. But it's very possible for him to beat Mooney (just drive the carpetbagger angle into the ground).
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Xing
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« Reply #20 on: February 15, 2023, 08:09:56 PM »

It'll be pretty funny if Republicans spend enormously on this race and completely ignore races like Michigan.

Republicans are not winning the Michigan race

I wouldnít say this with certainty. Itís unlikely, sure, but it would be silly of them to not invest at all.
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Classic Liminal
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« Reply #21 on: March 08, 2023, 09:46:28 AM »

Odds of our old Friend sabotaging the GOP if Justice wins the nomination?
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #22 on: March 08, 2023, 07:00:32 PM »


this seems to be predicated on the assumption that

1. justice actually wants to be in the senate
2. justice actually wants to serve in the senate under mitch mcconnell

This always seems to be the most consistent consideration for a popular Governor when it comes to why they don't end up recruited for a GOP Senate primary, and why their caucus is having so many people leave like Braun and Sasse. Being part of McConnell's Senate just is not an enjoyable experience apparently, and unsurprisingly.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #23 on: March 08, 2023, 08:50:08 PM »

I said this was not Safe R, I still don't think it is and this is actual evidence of it. Likely R with Justice, Lean R at best with the others.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #24 on: March 09, 2023, 08:15:16 AM »

I said this was not Safe R, I still don't think it is and this is actual evidence of it. Likely R with Justice, Lean R at best with the others.
Without Justice I think Manchin has like 25% chance of being reelected.
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