Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[emailking]

If Cortez Masto wins, and I can believe that's pretty likely now, then Reps would need both GA and AZ to control the Senate. My guess is 50-50 in GA and AZ is lean (likely?) D right now.

[Alben Barkley]

When was the last time MI and PA went D while WI went R? 1968???

At which level? WI went D in 1988 while MI and PA went for HW Bush.

I know, I think 1968 was the last time it was the opposite at the presidential level though.

[Pollster]

Whitmer now +8, 53-45. When all is said and done, she may actually get close to +10.

This forum owes Bernie Porn an apology.

Our resident "Pollster," who insisted to me that the race was within like 2 points, also has egg on his face now. Hate to say it because I like the guy but yikes, he was WAY off.

Yep, sure looks like we missed the statewide margin here. But what's strange is that we nailed the district-level results to a T. Basically the inverse of 2020. Will be an interesting autopsy over the coming days.

[Inmate Trump]

Any chance for Barnes in WI?

[Alben Barkley]

Exits (Fox and CNN) are something.

Abortion matters; the electorate is pro-choice.

Trans issues/school issues aren't important; only 50% of voters (not parents) calling trans discussion in schools as 'too far'.

Parents with kids under 18 more Democratic than voters without.

This is historically unusual, and worth serious study from Democratic strategists.

There are some parallels here to the shift of the military vote to the left in recent years as well, despite it also being considered a conservative institution. It may be that the generational composition of these groups outweighs any selection for conservatism (presumably childless adults under 40 or so are even more left-leaning).

In the military's case, may also have something to do with the GOP being led by a draft dodger who disparages veterans, calls them "suckers and losers," and says he "likes people who don't get captured." I believe in 2020 Trump actually lost the active duty military vote, or came very close to it at least. Doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out why!

[Dani Rose]

Maloney now down by only 3,000 votes. He should be able to pull it out.

As always, New York Democrats manage to find more votes.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Any chance for Barnes in WI?

Probably. Depends heavily on Dane and Milwaukee obviously.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I hadn't seen this tweet from Ralston, but if true, could be enough for her.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590248790153273345

What about Sisolak? From what I see, it doesn't look good for him.

Sisolak will likely lose and CCM will likely win.

I suppose Gringo Bukele is a better Democratic governor to have go down than most. Hopefully Kotek's lead in Oregon holds.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Maloney now down by only 3,000 votes. He should be able to pull it out.

As always, New York Democrats manage to find more votes.

NY Dems know how its done. That's how you win legislative supermajorities...

[Sir Mohamed]

Maloney now down by only 3,000 votes. He should be able to pull it out.

As always, New York Democrats manage to find more votes.

STOP THE COUNT!! ELECTION RIGGED! I WON, BY A LOT!

[Yoda]

Kinda random but can I just again say f*** Oz for weaponizing Fetterman's stroke against him. Yeh, he lost, but I'm not gonna be over that anytime soon. I hope he chokes on his crudite.

[Aurelius]

Cortez Masto needs to bring this home, it would be such a relief to have the Senate decided tonight.

Ralston is talking gibberish and Twitter keeps trying to force me to create an account, which I'll never do, but from what I can gather I think he's saying that CCM is favored but will have to wait for the Clark County mail-in ballots to be counted later this week.

Replace twitter.com in the URL with nitter.net.

[Seattle]

What happened in ND Senate? I thought Hoeven would've rolled to another 70% victory, but he's only winning 56 - 25 - 19 (ind).

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Hobbs lead on Lake down to 51-49 with 61% counted.

[Alben Barkley]

Kinda random but can I just again say f*** Oz for weaponizing Fetterman's stroke against him. Yeh, he lost, but I'm not gonna be over that anytime soon. I hope he chokes on his crudite.

He had a very lucrative career as a TV grifter (he even got to guest host Jeopardy!) that he gave up in a failed attempt to cartpetbag in a neighboring state. Karma has taken care of this asshole. Now no one will ever take him seriously again most likely.

[Lief 🗽]

this guy sucks

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1587454803134668800

[LostInOhio]

The post mortems are going to be interesting. Biden seems likely to cruise to re-election based on the results tonight if the GOP fails to reject Trumpism for a fourth time.

[afleitch]

Exits (Fox and CNN) are something.

Abortion matters; the electorate is pro-choice.

Trans issues/school issues aren't important; only 50% of voters (not parents) calling trans discussion in schools as 'too far'.

Parents with kids under 18 more Democratic than voters without.

This is historically unusual, and worth serious study from Democratic strategists.

With Fox it's 'moms' more than 'dads' and both more than those without.

It could be tied in part to THAT issue, so yeah, more analysis required.

[Seattle]

Lol at Rosa DeLauro only winning 54-43 in CT-3. Still a bit of vote out, so that might increase a bit, but what an underperformance.

[Aurelius]

Laxalt takes the lead. He has to hope that Douglas and Lyon, which haven't reported yet, give him a bit of a cushion, and that the remaining vote to be counted isn't overwhelmingly D.

[Spectator]

Looks like Dems win AZ and NV Senate races, but Republicans take the governors races, right? That’s my intuition.

[Spectator]

If nothing else, it looks like Democrats are on track to win the Secretary of State races in Nevada and Arizona. Democrats probably take Nevada AG and Nevada Treasurer too.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Laxalt takes the lead. He has to hope that Douglas and Lyon, which haven't reported yet, give him a bit of a cushion, and that the remaining vote to be counted isn't overwhelmingly D.

Which they are overwhelmingly likely to be, ofc.

[Eraserhead]

The post mortems are going to be interesting. Biden seems likely to cruise to re-election based on the results tonight if the GOP fails to reject Trumpism for a fourth time.

Any thought that Biden might be challenged in a serious way in the Democratic primary is certainly dead after tonight. If he's alive, healthy and wants to do it again, he'll be the nominee.

[Dani Rose]

I think that's the night for me. I very stubbornly tried to maintain my high hopes until today, but never in my wildest dreams did I think they'd come true to the tune that they did in the end. I took part in history tonight, and I'm honored to have had the opportunity, and to have shared it with all of you. I think there's no better way for me to express my joy and appreciation than to leave you with the song on which I'm closing the night - in my opinion the best, most soaring version of my absolute favorite song - but I do just want to leave on a sentiment I've so rarely expressed in the last few years.

God Bless America.