Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[Alben Barkley]

What's taking the KS-Gov race so long?

I mean you can call it for Kelly at this point. All the outstanding vote is in D-friendly areas and she has a lead. Don't have to wait on networks to know the inevitable.

[Logical]

Lombardo has taken the lead.

Sisolak might lose even if CCM hangs on? Ugh.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590261291100143616

[Dani Rose]

WOW!

https://twitter.com/zach_solomon1/status/1590262545386176514

COWBOY. WAVE.

[Sir Mohamed]

Can one summarize flips? So far 5-6 R flips and 3-4 D-flips. Is that correct?

[Alben Barkley]

I want to congratulate the Democrats here on a great result for the party. And I want to congratulate all Americans on the fact that the country has finally, in my opinion, begun to abandon extremism. I hope that these results will be the first step in restoring bipartisan cooperation for the benefit of the United States and the world at large.

I wonder too how much of this might actually be a response to everyone from MTG to Kevin McCarthy suggesting that Republicans would limit aid to Ukraine. At the end of the day this is still a compassionate country with people who hate to see what is going on in your country and want to help. The cold-hearted callousness of those Republicans may have aided Democrats in our success and given people second thoughts about voting GOP, as one of many reasons anyway.

I don't think most voters had any idea that MTG/McCarthy suggested limiting aid to Ukraine, to be honest.

Maybe not, but could have made a difference at the margins. That and/or a general sense that Biden and the Dems cared more about Ukraine and were doing more about it, and successfully.

[Alben Barkley]

Lombardo has taken the lead.

Sisolak might lose even if CCM hangs on? Ugh.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590261291100143616

Looks like I called both PA and NV wrong.

I have never been more glad to be wrong!

[afleitch]

Exits (Fox and CNN) are something.

Abortion matters; the electorate is pro-choice.

Trans issues/school issues aren't important; only 50% of voters (not parents) calling trans discussion in schools as 'too far'.

Parents with kids under 18 more Democratic than voters without.

[Eraserhead]

So uh, are there like a million ballots outstanding in New York or something? Or are we going to get a very weak Schumer +13 and lose 4-5 House Seats? If the latter is the case, we should bring back Andrew Cuomo

Cuomo will definitely find new allies to run again for the Governorship in the NY Democrat Party after this.

Democrats can't run Hotchul again and they have no deep bench in New York anymore.

Look I'm as pissed about Hochul as anyone but... just no.

[Dani Rose]

Forgot to mention this part: love to see Finchem languishing where he belongs.

[soundchaser]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590262995543724032?s=20&t=6rwkaa1...

The dummymander holds.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Can one summarize flips? So far 5-6 R flips and 3-4 D-flips. Is that correct?

Rs gained VA-02 and some seats in FL. Ds might have gained some seats in NY, they very likely won one seat in CO (8, a new district). They might win MT-01.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Arizona narrowing fast too. Senate closed to 53-44 (from 56-41) at 62%, Governor down to 52-48 at 58% counted. NYT Needle seems to think Republicans are favoured in the outstanding Western congressional vote too, hence the projections sliding back slightly.

[Lief 🗽]

Laxalt pulls ahead, RIP.

[Alben Barkley]

If the best part of tonight was Elliott County helping potentially save abortion rights in KY, the worst part was JD Vance being elected to be a senator. Even a state as s--tty as Ohio doesn't deserve THAT dweeb to represent it!

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590262995543724032?s=20&t=6rwkaa1...

The dummymander holds.

I think we can retire that label. For now anyway.

[philly09]

Can one summarize flips? So far 5-6 R flips and 3-4 D-flips. Is that correct?

Rs gained VA-02 and some seats in FL. Ds might have gained some seats in NY, they very likely won one seat in CO (8, a new district). They might win MT-01.

We also got NC-13 and TX-34

[Ye We Can]

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=410354.msg7729262#msg7729262 Looks like Suozzi was looking at risk or even down on election night 2020 and he won by 12 points, classic New York.

New York counts Absentees prior to/on election day now.  While there are obviously still more to count the 11th hour surge will not be as drastic as in 2020, so Im not convinced Democrats are able to make up the margin in the upstate districts.

[South Dakota Democrat]

I wonder if Oz is enjoying some crudite right now.

[soundchaser]

Laxalt pulls ahead, RIP.

As expected. CCM will rely on the outstanding mail ballots - and there are probably a lot of them.

[LimoLiberal]

Nevada is going to be extremely close - I don't think CCM has it in the bag at all, and she might be a slight underdog.

She's up by 400 votes currently.

Heller netted ~50,000 from the non-Washoe/Clark counties in 2018. Laxalt is only netting 30K from those counties right now, so you can assume he'll lead by 20K minimum once the rest of them come in (assuming Laxalt matches/exceeds Heller's performance). Can the remaining mail-ins really erase a 20K+ deficit?

[politics_king]

Exits (Fox and CNN) are something.

Abortion matters; the electorate is pro-choice.

Trans issues/school issues aren't important; only 50% of voters (not parents) calling trans discussion in schools as 'too far'.

Parents with kids under 18 more Democratic than voters without.

It makes sense. My Mom went on some weird rant who votes Democratic about Transgender issues and how they need to be 18 before making that choice. I am a Union member that is left and I've done a lot of work with people in the transgender community, to see her so off base and just being strange to me about that, I just told her I disagreed and I rather not talk about it with her anymore because she has no personal interaction with people who can open up to you and be honest how they feel or even give me that information because I was willing to listen. This happens when you let people speak to each other, learn from different experiences and understand what is going on with them mentally. Especially when you had a society at the time that would demonize you. Look at Iran, the youth is revolting against a bunch of old men who think they can tell you how to live in a civilized society. The rest of this decade will be interesting as more and more people who are under 40 stop giving a crap what their older counterparts who are out of touch think.

[Schiff for Senate]

omfg lmao

https://twitter.com/MinnesotaDFL/status/1590256795901374465

You love to see it. I believe VA is the only state now (barring AK, which is just totally confusing) with a split legislature (blue State Senate, red House of Delegates).

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

The other thing about the Fetterman win is that he is the first Democrat to win that Senate seat since 1962. It's hard to find if Pennsylvania has ever had two Democratic Senators.

It has happened 4 times before (James Buchanan & Daniel Sturgeon, Daniel Sturgeon & Simon Cameron, Richard Brodhead & William Bigler in the 1800s and Joe Guffey & Francis Myers in the 1940s).

[Pericles]

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=410354.msg7729262#msg7729262 Looks like Suozzi was looking at risk or even down on election night 2020 and he won by 12 points, classic New York.

New York counts Absentees prior to/on election day now.  While there are obviously still more to count the 11th hour surge will not be as drastic as in 2020, so Im not convinced Democrats are able to make up the margin in the upstate districts.

Well I was also reassured by the narrow margins in them, I'm looking at the NYT count. NY19-R+2%, NY22-R+2%, NY17-R+2%, NY4-R+4%, and Pat Ryan is already leading, though NY3 is R+8%.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Can one summarize flips? So far 5-6 R flips and 3-4 D-flips. Is that correct?

Rs gained VA-02 and some seats in FL. Ds might have gained some seats in NY, they very likely won one seat in CO (8, a new district). They might win MT-01.

We also got NC-13 and TX-34

Ah.
Tbh, I paid little to no attention to the results outside of TX-32 and the other districts around DFW, and those in South Texas.