Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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  Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread  (Read 285130 times)
Nyvin
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« Reply #2825 on: November 08, 2022, 11:31:20 PM »

The networks should start to seriously considering calling it for Fetterman the numbers aren’t there for Oz

Yeah, it's looking near-impossible for Oz.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2826 on: November 08, 2022, 11:31:32 PM »

The longest Republican-voting county in the state of PA (save for 1912 when it voted for a third-party Teddy Roosevelt), Union County was last won by a Democrat in 1828 (Andrew Jackson).  Reporting in at >95%.

Oz leads here 59-39, Trump won 61-37 in 2020.  
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emailking
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« Reply #2827 on: November 08, 2022, 11:31:41 PM »

The networks should start to seriously considering calling it for Fetterman the numbers aren’t there for Oz

I'm sure they're considering it but they have to reach 99.5 confidence first. Personally, I'm definitely not there, more like 90%.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #2828 on: November 08, 2022, 11:31:45 PM »

Has 538 made any projection about what Trafalgar’s new grade will be?

F-
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Morning in Atlas
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« Reply #2829 on: November 08, 2022, 11:32:01 PM »



Pretty based
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Harry
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« Reply #2830 on: November 08, 2022, 11:32:03 PM »

As badly as I wanted Tim Ryan to win, I would rather have JD Vance in the Senate than most of the other R candidates this year, just because I think we all know he's faking his obnoxious Trumpism and there's a least a chance that Republicans will eventually move on from Trumpism and he'll become more normal-ish, while a Senator Masters will be a lunatic creep no matter what.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #2831 on: November 08, 2022, 11:32:04 PM »

The networks should start to seriously considering calling it for Fetterman the numbers aren’t there for Oz

I doubt they'll do it. They're going to want to keep the ratings going.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #2832 on: November 08, 2022, 11:32:15 PM »

Wildstein says Tom Kean wins NJ-07. Expected, but it's something.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2833 on: November 08, 2022, 11:32:19 PM »

It's looking like a ton of early/mail vote is out in New York. Morelle is down right now and he's projected to be nearly +10 in NYT's estimate.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #2834 on: November 08, 2022, 11:32:27 PM »

this is amazing for us dems. reps are really going to have to do some soul searching

Error 404 soul not found
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
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« Reply #2835 on: November 08, 2022, 11:32:34 PM »

Puuuuuuuuurple waaaaave...

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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #2836 on: November 08, 2022, 11:32:36 PM »

Selzer appears to have nailed it again in Iowa, FWIW.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #2837 on: November 08, 2022, 11:32:43 PM »

What happened to Sean Patrick Maloney? in NY-17? That is so far perhaps the biggest Dem under-performance of the night in a election cycle where the polls did remarkably well. Weird.

My pulled out of my ass 231 Pubs in the House, 51 in the Senate, night actually be rather clairvoyant.

It seems like as a whole, NY Dems are doing pretty "meh" on the congressional level considering what's happening nationally. Perhaps Hochul was really a drag and Zeldin got the GOP some turnout points?
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Nyvin
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« Reply #2838 on: November 08, 2022, 11:32:43 PM »

What happened to Sean Patrick Maloney? in NY-17? That is so far perhaps the biggest Dem under-performance of the night in a election cycle where the polls did remarkably well. Weird.

My pulled out of my ass 231 Pubs in the House, 51 in the Senate, night actually be rather clairvoyant.

Virtually all the remaining vote is in Westchester.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
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« Reply #2839 on: November 08, 2022, 11:33:11 PM »

I wonder what the outcome of the WI senate race will be?
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #2840 on: November 08, 2022, 11:33:12 PM »

Warnock down fewer than 1000 votes in Georgia and still tons left out in DeKalb and Gwinnett
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #2841 on: November 08, 2022, 11:33:19 PM »

Unbelievably, it is still possible that Democrats get 52 Senate seats and are able to codify Roe in January.

Relax lol….
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Pericles
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« Reply #2842 on: November 08, 2022, 11:33:22 PM »

Sorry Republicans, WA Senate isn't happening-called for us Wink
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #2843 on: November 08, 2022, 11:33:33 PM »

It's looking like a ton of early/mail vote is out in New York. Morelle is down right now and he's projected to be nearly +10 in NYT's estimate.

If Louise Slaughter didn’t lose in 2014, Morelle won’t lose now.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #2844 on: November 08, 2022, 11:33:54 PM »


Very close. But for sure Johnson
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #2845 on: November 08, 2022, 11:34:02 PM »

What happened to Sean Patrick Maloney? in NY-17? That is so far perhaps the biggest Dem under-performance of the night in a election cycle where the polls did remarkably well. Weird.

My pulled out of my ass 231 Pubs in the House, 51 in the Senate, night actually be rather clairvoyant.

     I just noticed that Maloney is down by double-digits with 68% in. I'm guessing he still makes it, but very weak for a district Biden won by 10. I see the DCCC was smart to hit the panic button on that one.
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Harry
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« Reply #2846 on: November 08, 2022, 11:34:05 PM »

Whats the status on Boebert?
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Crumpets
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« Reply #2847 on: November 08, 2022, 11:34:15 PM »

Don't know if this has been posted left, but WA-3 is looking surprisingly competitive. Perez (D) up 11,000 votes after this first batch.
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Storr
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« Reply #2848 on: November 08, 2022, 11:34:19 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2022, 11:37:44 PM by Storr »



I want my accolades for correctly predicting this race earlier today:

For a more specific race, OH-01 is one district I'm watching because it seems like the kind of district that could buck the national environment. Specifically, it is a high single-digit, D-trending urban/suburban Biden district with an incumbent who is somewhat out of step ideologically with his new district (which has also changed significantly through redistricting and Chabot has lost before under less favorable lines). If I had to guess one incumbent Republican that will lose reelection, it would be Chabot.
The only way to properly celebrate:

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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #2849 on: November 08, 2022, 11:34:31 PM »

How are we feeling about Fetterman?
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