Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Shout out to my future Representative when I move closer to Dallas, Colin Allred, who is currently winning a D +1 district in Suburban DFW by over 30 points (!!) another underrated rising star.

[new_patomic]

https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1590198542588514310

Does there need to be much thinking here.

It's a former(?) perennial swing state where polls showed comfortable but usually not double digit leads for Republicans that has now, in the third cycle in a row, gone worse for Democrats than predicted. This time arguably the most severely in terms of polling given Demings is losing by like 18.

Like yeah it's pretty disasterous lol. If you extrapolated the swing here from 2020 nationally we wouldn't be talking about keeping the Senate right now.

[GALeftist]

I’m old enough to remember when the democrats had obvious catastrophic turnout problems

[Badger]

this is amazing for us dems. reps are really going to have to do some soul searching

This implies Republican politicians have souls.

[Burke Bro]

Donald Trump is a tumor on the Republican Party. He used the party when it was convenient for him to fulfill his stupid dream of becoming president and proceeded to drive our country off a cliff, which cost the party the House, Senate, and Presidency all in 4 years. And it could very well stop the party from retaking the House and Senate this year, even when he's not in office because he's still been peddling the stupid election lie. I hope this election is a wakeup call for Republicans to finally cut him off.

Sadly, I strongly suspect that, even if DeSantis manages to win the primary, good ol’ Donnie makes sure he takes you all down with him and runs as third candidate regardless.

Honestly, I can see that happening. It would be incredibly frustrating, sure, but that's the price you pay for selling your soul to the devil. I'm not sure if there's anything that can force reform within the party other than multiple consecutive losses.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

NBC and Fox News have called the Michigan governor's race for Gretchen Whitmer!

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Another of the New York bordering counties, Bradford County was originally known as "Ontario County".  Reporting at 95%

Oz leads 68-28, Trump won here 72-27 in 2020. 

[Lief 🗽]

This was one of the races all the pundits swore was suddenly a toss up yesterday 🙄
https://twitter.com/vanceulrich/status/1590194813433188353?s=46&t=vQUn1Uk50Q...

[Frodo]

this is amazing for us dems. reps are really going to have to do some soul searching

Perhaps (we can hope...) they will conclude that going all-in on the 2020 election conspiracy track wasn't such a good idea in retrospect...  

[South Dakota Democrat]

Jeremy Schafer (who copied Fetterman's logo in his lawn signs) has conceded to Chris DeLuzio in PA-17, keeping Conor Lamb's seat in Democratic hands. The last load of absentee ballots from Allegheny County have also just been delivered to the election warehouse.

PA once again being an unbelievably based state. Delivered the election for Biden in 2020, and now this. We love our Pennsylvanians, don't we folks?

We sure do.  Lovely state.

[ProgressiveModerate]

It appears Wiley Nickel has won!

[Alben Barkley]

Hey GOP, there's still time!

[Pericles]

Unbelievably, it is still possible that Democrats get 52 Senate seats and are able to codify Roe in January.

[vileplume]

DCCC Chair Sean Patrick Maloney still trailing 45-55 to anti-choice nutcase Mike Lawler. ~70% in.

Westchester is where the vote is out though.

[jamestroll]

Something I should have noticed is that this election was held on an eclipse.. which usually creates unexpected results.

But at this point I feel like I am very good at predicting individual races very closely if I follow them granularly rather than using astrology.

[Associate Justice PiT]

https://twitter.com/SharonCoolidge/status/1590198234521432064

I want my accolades for correctly predicting this race earlier today:

For a more specific race, OH-01 is one district I'm watching because it seems like the kind of district that could buck the national environment. Specifically, it is a high single-digit, D-trending urban/suburban Biden district with an incumbent who is somewhat out of step ideologically with his new district (which has also changed significantly through redistricting and Chabot has lost before under less favorable lines). If I had to guess one incumbent Republican that will lose reelection, it would be Chabot.

     But did it really buck the national environment when there was no red wave? Seriously though, congratulations on calling that one.

[Hindsight was 2020]

The networks should start to seriously considering calling it for Fetterman the numbers aren’t there for Oz

[Torie]

What happened to Sean Patrick Maloney? in NY-17? That is so far perhaps the biggest Dem under-performance of the night in a election cycle where the polls did remarkably well. Weird.

My pulled out of my ass 231 Pubs in the House, 51 in the Senate, night actually be rather clairvoyant.

[Dani Rose]

Yeah Michael Cole here is basically me right now.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Walz is going to speak soon in the room I'm in!

[Not Me, Us]

I'm not saying it means anything but lol

Davis County Utah

Lee 53% McMullin 44% (71% in)

Was Trump +20 in 2020.

If McMuffin wins, I will buy a McMuffin for the first time in ages tomorrow morning!

You should get at least one every week, they're delicious!

McGriddles are better imo.

Really? I'm not a huge fan of those. Too sweet.

Have you ever had the one with scrapple? It's an absolute game changer if you like scrapple.

[wbrocks67]

Slotkin looking really good in Michigan! NYT has her at +4 estimated now.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Shout out to my future Representative when I move closer to Dallas, Colin Allred, who is currently winning a D +1 district in Suburban DFW by over 30 points (!!) another underrated rising star.

He's earned it. I've seen his ads, I've got his mailers. He's done a good job. Good candidate, all other things considered. He knocked off a 22-year incumbent in 2018, he's got talent.

[Alben Barkley]

I literally, unironically prayed to the Lord that this would happen, and if he follows through the way it looks like he might, I might well have to start going back to church...

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Has 538 made any projection about what Trafalgar’s new grade will be?