2023 Chicago Mayoral/Aldermanic Elections

[Benjamin Frank]

Irrespective of what we think of Vallas, can we all agree that Illinois would (likely) be better off if he had won the Democratic primary for governor in 2002 over Rod Blagojevich?

I remember at the time thinking that the people there would be Illinnoyed if Vallas didn't win the primary.

[Sestak]

Wait would mail-ins be dominated by White liberals? If so Vallas has a chance.

White lakefront liberals are Johnson's best demographic (were his main demographic in the primary)

Really? Surprising.

'lakefront liberals' is a very crude way of referring to the demographic I'm talking about, but genuinely liberal whites (as opposed to, e.g., suburbanites) bade up the primary backbone of his campaign. This is not unique; Lightfoot four years ago had the same base in the primary while Preckwinkle and Wilson were the "black candidates"; Lightfoot herself took on this role in the primary while Johnson won most of Lightfoot's 2019 base areas.

[Gracile]

Vallas now clinging to a 50.04-49.96 lead, per Chicago Board of Elections.

[Gass3268]

OMG THIS MARGIN!

Vallas 238,454 +50.04%
Johnson 238,084 +49.96%

[Illiniwek]

Oh goodie. Effectively another 4 years of the Lori Lightfoot path to nowhere. Can’t wait.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

VALLAS - 238,454 (50.04%)
JOHNSON - 238,084 (49.96%)

NYT says 78% in, DDHQ says 84%

[Oryxslayer]

We should probably expect somewhere a bit above a universe of another 100K votes to count.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Irrespective of what we think of Vallas, can we all agree that Illinois would (likely) be better off if he had won the Democratic primary for governor in 2002 over Rod Blagojevich?

I remember at the time thinking that the people there would be Illinnoyed if Vallas didn't win the primary.

Good one.

[Benjamin Frank]

BRANDON JOHNSON
242,970

50.11%

PAUL VALLAS
241,859

49.89%

Total Votes
484,829

 

[GALeftist]

Probably over, very pleased; congrats, Chicago! On to Wisconsin!

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

 

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Johnson leading, game set match as far as I'm concerned.

[Ferguson97]

Pleasantly surprised that Johnson will likely pull it off. Let's go Brandon!

[Gracile]

Yeah, Vallas is finished.

[Babeuf]

Well, I was very wrong on this one. Sorry for underestimating you Chicago. Let's go Brandon!

[Bismarck]

As I predicted, the people of Chicago will continue to to get the government they deserve good and hard.

[It’s so Joever]

Imagine if Johnson AND Kelly win in the same night.
That would be a reverse of many people's (including my own) predictions.

[Orwell]

Brandon Johnson is going to be under indictment for corruption within 2 years of being in office

[Roll Roons]

Disgusting. Glad I got out of there.

[Death of a Salesman]

Chicago voters voted for St. Louis, and they're going to get it good and hard. The city might not clear 2 million next census if Brandon gets his way.

[Suburbia]

A lot of Chicago cops and firefighters are probably going to file for retirement tomorrow.....and a lot of Black inner city people don't want to be cops, it's a stigma

Good luck Chicago.

[Suburbia]

Chicago voters voted for St. Louis, and they're going to get it good and hard. The city might not clear 2 million next census if Brandon gets his way.

We have to wait and see, within a year. Who does he pick as his police commissioner?

[Benjamin Frank]

Chicago voters voted for St. Louis, and they're going to get it good and hard. The city might not clear 2 million next census if Brandon gets his way.

We have to wait and see, within a year. Who does he pick as his police commissioner?

Paul Vallas?

[Kamala's side hoe]

https://twitter.com/FrankCalabrese/status/1643259629302870017
Early vote looks very favorable to Vallas. The three wards singled out had the below results in the first round (per Weigel):

41st ward: Vallas 72%, Johnson 7%
11th ward: Vallas 58%, Johnson 14%
19th ward: Vallas 62%, Johnson 9%

Not surprised that the ward containing Chicago's Chinatown was the least pro-Vallas and the most pro-Johnson of the three, although I have no idea if this is because the ward is more Asian or because it's the least White.

Asians were Vallas’s best racial group in the first round IIRC.

I suspect the Asian voters of Chicago proper were less supportive of Vallas in aggregate during the primary than the non-gentrifier White voters were, and would certainly expect them to be less one-sidedly pro-Vallas in the runoff.

In any case, it will be interesting to see how the Latino areas break.

Obligatory meme avatar aside, I will reserve judgment on presumptive Mayor-elect Johnson's performance until after his term starts. Looking forward to precinct-level turnout and margin data in the meantime.

Let's Go Brandon! But also... let's go, Brandon.

[CookieDamage]

Omg the republican'ts are mad