Which do you believe is true?
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June 19, 2024, 06:41:24 AM
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  Which do you believe is true?
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Poll
Question: -skip-
#1
The polls are even further off than they were in 2020, and weíre still headed for a red wave
 
#2
The environment has noticeably shifted in favor of the Democrats
 
#3
Both/the truth is somewhere in between the two
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 100

Author Topic: Which do you believe is true?  (Read 1645 times)
Spectator
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« Reply #25 on: August 19, 2022, 08:16:38 AM »

That #CandidateQuality actually matters despite the rhetoric here. Otherwise I donít think Republicans would lose Pennsylvania or Arizona or GA-Sen this year. I voted 3 though. No ways are Democrats winning Florida or Ohio. I am still skeptical on WI-Sen too.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #26 on: August 19, 2022, 05:39:48 PM »

The polls are egregiously wrong. As long as democrats are more college educated and Republicans less, that will continue to be the case
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #27 on: August 20, 2022, 02:56:11 AM »
« Edited: August 20, 2022, 01:50:56 PM by Interlocutor »

Regardless of how realistic a scenario, it'd be really funny if polling errors this year end up benefiting the Dems
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #28 on: August 20, 2022, 05:21:44 PM »

Regardless of how realistic a scenario, it'd be really funny if polling errors this year end up benefiting the Dems

I would love that so much and would love to go full-AncestralDemocrat/Electionsguy/Politician in future threads about Republican favoring polls.

"Remember 2022! ROFLMAO!"
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MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
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« Reply #29 on: August 21, 2022, 09:57:53 AM »

Both are true

Month or two ago I would have said GOP is winning 240-245 seats, now unless things go terribly in the next few months I think Dems can hold the GOP into the 230-235 range.

On the senate side I would have said the GOP was going to gain seats and lock in the majority for a decade to come. Now I still think they have the edge but itís very close

With that said: WI, OH and NC polls are all laughable. The Dems arenít winning those 3. Period
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Figueira
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« Reply #30 on: August 21, 2022, 11:55:46 AM »

The environment has almost certainly shifted, but that doesn't preclude the polls being off (in either direction).
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