Which do you believe is true?

[Spectator]

That #CandidateQuality actually matters despite the rhetoric here. Otherwise I don’t think Republicans would lose Pennsylvania or Arizona or GA-Sen this year. I voted 3 though. No ways are Democrats winning Florida or Ohio. I am still skeptical on WI-Sen too.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

The polls are egregiously wrong. As long as democrats are more college educated and Republicans less, that will continue to be the case

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Regardless of how realistic a scenario, it'd be really funny if polling errors this year end up benefiting the Dems

[Progressive Pessimist]

Regardless of how realistic a scenario, it'd be really funny if polling errors this year end up benefiting the Dems

I would love that so much and would love to go full-AncestralDemocrat/Electionsguy/Politician in future threads about Republican favoring polls.

"Remember 2022! ROFLMAO!"

[MillennialModerate]

Both are true

Month or two ago I would have said GOP is winning 240-245 seats, now unless things go terribly in the next few months I think Dems can hold the GOP into the 230-235 range.

On the senate side I would have said the GOP was going to gain seats and lock in the majority for a decade to come. Now I still think they have the edge but it’s very close

With that said: WI, OH and NC polls are all laughable. The Dems aren’t winning those 3. Period

[Figueira]

The environment has almost certainly shifted, but that doesn't preclude the polls being off (in either direction).