2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[Spectator]

The red wave is still coming, judging by this special election. The Kansas abortion referendum was an anomaly.

Anomaly? My guy it was a statewide referendum on abortion, not a partisan election.

Yes, but it seems Democrats have failed to turn the election into a referendum on Dobbs, which is the only way they stand a chance in hell at damage control. I might switch to independent, I'm done with this party.

Oh no, whatever will the Massachusetts Democrat Party do

[Nyvin]

Wow, let’s go, uh, whoever the hell Don Samuels is!

He's a former City Council member and a bit of a washed up hack who was on the right wing of municipal politics, and was involved in an accident where a child drowned under his care. He ran for mayor in 2013 as the most conservative major candidate. He did once speak at my church in a roundtable thing (one of our most notable speakers) so he has that going for him, but my vote for him was quite reluctant.

Omar's up by 3 with over 85% in so she probably has it but considering how weak Samuels was this definitely puts a target on her back in 2024.

Omar under performs in Generals, she under performs in Primaries...what good is she?  I've never been much of a fan really.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Dems actually may have a small chance of beating R turnout in WI based upon the results in so far, which would be quite an upset, especially given the lack of competative primaries on the D side.

No — this is mostly early vote with much of it from Madison and Milwaukee.

Tbf, in some of these relatively populous SE Counties such as Kenosha a disproportionately share of the vote in seems to be for Rs so idk how universally true it is. We shall see.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling CT-SEN R for Levy!
Calling CT-SOS R for Rapini!
Calling CT-SOS D for Thomas!
Calling CT-Treasurer D for Russell!

Uncalled:

VT-SEN R
VT-AL R
VT-LT GOV D
VT-SOS D
CT-4 R
MN
WI
KS-Treasurer R

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Stop responding to SnowLabrador guys, his posts are completely worthless and nothing ever productive comes out of his crap or people replying.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Wow, let’s go, uh, whoever the hell Don Samuels is!

He's a former City Council member and a bit of a washed up hack who was on the right wing of municipal politics, and was involved in an accident where a child drowned under his care. He ran for mayor in 2013 as the most conservative major candidate. He did once speak at my church in a roundtable thing (one of our most notable speakers) so he has that going for him, but my vote for him was quite reluctant.

Omar's up by 3 with over 85% in so she probably has it but considering how weak Samuels was this definitely puts a target on her back in 2024.

Omar under performs in Generals, she under performs in Primaries...what good is she?  I've never been much of a fan really.

She's also a combination of everything Republicans hate, and they use her with some success for turnout.

[Holmes]

The red wave is still coming, judging by this special election. The Kansas abortion referendum was an anomaly.

Anomaly? My guy it was a statewide referendum on abortion, not a partisan election.

Yes, but it seems Democrats have failed to turn the election into a referendum on Dobbs, which is the only way they stand a chance in hell at damage control. I might switch to independent, I'm done with this party.

You should have been Ettinger’s campaign manager then.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I want to emphasize that Samuels is not a particularly strong candidate. The one thing he has going for him is he has a bit of a following on the Northside and amongst the African-American community (not the African immigrant community which is completely different and based in a completely different geographic location.)

[ProgressiveModerate]

Kleefisch is winning rural Menominee County lol.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The red wave is still coming, judging by this special election. The Kansas abortion referendum was an anomaly.

Anomaly? My guy it was a statewide referendum on abortion, not a partisan election.

Yes, but it seems Democrats have failed to turn the election into a referendum on Dobbs, which is the only way they stand a chance in hell at damage control. I might switch to independent, I'm done with this party.

Genuine question, what the actual hell is wrong with you? That is not a rhetorical question. I am genuinely curious.

[Minnesota Mike]

Before the polls close in MN I will make my longshot prediction of the night, MN-05(D) will be within single digits.  Turnout is reportedly way down in Minneapolis but the areas that are the best are where the "defund the police"  referendum did the worst last year.  Omar supported the referendum, her main challenger Samuels was a leader of the opposition.  Omar still wins but it's close.

I don't want to brag but I'm so rarely right....

[GALeftist]

Dude we have got to help Omar properly campaign lol. These primaries should be layups as an incumbent with pretty high establishment support

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

The red wave is still coming, judging by this special election. The Kansas abortion referendum was an anomaly.

Anomaly? My guy it was a statewide referendum on abortion, not a partisan election.

Yes, but it seems Democrats have failed to turn the election into a referendum on Dobbs, which is the only way they stand a chance in hell at damage control. I might switch to independent, I'm done with this party.

Genuine question, what the actual hell is wrong with you? That is not a rhetorical question. I am genuinely curious.

Maybe he just wants to set the bar so low he'll be pleasantly surprised when the Dems don't do as bad.

[Lief 🗽]

Have the Republicans in the WOW counties gone full MAGA or have all the reasonable ones left the party? Kleefisch should be doing much much better in them.

[Spectator]

The red wave is still coming, judging by this special election. The Kansas abortion referendum was an anomaly.

Anomaly? My guy it was a statewide referendum on abortion, not a partisan election.

Yes, but it seems Democrats have failed to turn the election into a referendum on Dobbs, which is the only way they stand a chance in hell at damage control. I might switch to independent, I'm done with this party.

Genuine question, what the actual hell is wrong with you? That is not a rhetorical question. I am genuinely curious.

Sounds like someone who would benefit from joining an intramural league or seeing sunlight.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling MN-1 D for Ettinger!
Calling MN-4 D for McCollum!
Calling MN-8 D for Schultz!
Calling MN-8 R for Stauber!
Calling MN-GOV D for Walz!
Calling MN-GOV R for Jensen!
Calling MN-AG D for Ellison!
Calling MN-SOS D for Simon!
Calling MN-SOS R for Crockett!

Uncalled:

VT-SEN R
VT-AL R
VT-LT GOV D
VT-SOS D
CT-4 R
MN-1 R
MN-4 R
MN-5 D
MN-5 R
MN-7 D
MN-AG R
WI
KS-Treasurer R

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Have the Republicans in the WOW counties gone full MAGA or have all the reasonable ones left the party? Kleefisch should be doing much much better in them.

The WI-GOP are one of the more insane state franchises.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Have the Republicans in the WOW counties gone full MAGA or have all the reasonable ones left the party? Kleefisch should be doing much much better in them.

Feel like it's a bit of a stereotype of WOW that they're full of these moderate suburban establishment Republicans. They're culturally much more different than other suburbs, especially the more exurban parts. Most of Dems gains have been from spillover of Milwaukee's influence.

[JM1295]

Omar probably narrowly holds on, but she's just barely surviving without AIPAC spending at all here. This is indicative of a larger problem with Omar, given how Tlaib and Bush got 65-70% in their respective primaries and AOC isn't even facing a primary challenge this cycle. She also won with less than 60% in 2020 primary too and notoriously underperformed in the general election by a wide margin, while Tlaib performed a point better than Biden in her district.

[MT Treasurer]

Dems actually may have a small chance of beating R turnout in WI based upon the results in so far, which would be quite an upset, especially given the lack of competative primaries on the D side.

No — this is mostly early vote with much of it from Madison and Milwaukee.

Tbf, in some of these relatively populous SE Counties such as Kenosha a disproportionately share of the vote in seems to be for Rs so idk how universally true it is. We shall see.

I mean, Republicans have already taken the lead by ~10k votes in most of these races, but you’re free to wait and see, sure.

[GALeftist]

Klarides losing in Connecticut. Nolan losing in Vermont. Kleefisch losing in Wisconsin. WHY WOULD DEMOCRATS DO THIS??

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Klarides losing in Connecticut. Nolan losing in Vermont. Kleefisch losing in Wisconsin. WHY WOULD DEMOCRATS DO THIS??

Dark Brandon works in mysterious ways

[ProgressiveModerate]

Dems actually may have a small chance of beating R turnout in WI based upon the results in so far, which would be quite an upset, especially given the lack of competative primaries on the D side.

No — this is mostly early vote with much of it from Madison and Milwaukee.

Tbf, in some of these relatively populous SE Counties such as Kenosha a disproportionately share of the vote in seems to be for Rs so idk how universally true it is. We shall see.

I mean, Republicans have already taken the lead by ~10k votes in most of these races, but you’re free to wait and see, sure.

Right now if I had to guess Rs ultimately win the primary vote but Dems hold it pretty close which is still solid from them considering.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling WI-SEN D for Barnes!
Calling WI-SEN R for Johnson!
Calling WI-SOS D for LaFollette!
Calling WI-6 R for Grothman!
Calling WI-7 R for Tiffany!
Calling WI-8 R for Gallagher!
Calling WI-LT GOV D for Rodriguez!
Calling WI-Treasurer R for Leiber!

Uncalled:

VT-SEN R
VT-AL R
VT-LT GOV D
VT-SOS D
CT-4 R
MN-1 R
MN-4 R
MN-5 D
MN-5 R
MN-7 D
MN-AG R
WI-GOV R
WI-SOS R
WI-AG R
WI-2 R
WI-3 D
WI-4 R
WI-LT GOV R
WI-Treasurer D
KS-Treasurer R

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

MN-01 RETURNS:

Brad Finstad (R)- 2,739 (58.4%)
Jeff Ettinger (D)- 1,829 (39.0%)