GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires

[ProgressiveModerate]

I didn't think the Miami-Dade number could be possible in 2020 either, yet...

Not saying Cobb ISN'T an error, but what if it isn't?

Except this would literally be like a 40 point swing, and while Cobb is def shifting left, it doesn't have quite as unique of Demographics as Miami-Dade. If it was actually swinging that hard left, o9tehr metro ATL counties would also be.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Jackson 55% in, 76-24 walker-warnock

[kwabbit]

Cobb 85% in, Warnock at 80%.

How is this not game over?

Who cares if a couple bumf--k redneck counties with low turnout shifted 1 point right?

"Reverse-tradamus" indeed.

Forumlurker shouldn't be acting like Walker is looking good, but if you're going to make grand predictions and sweeping statements on this thread, you should have enough intuition to know that Warnock would not be at 80% if Cobb is 85% in. It's either an artifact of the different vote methods that makes it say 85% in or a tabulation error that puts Warnock at 80%.

[Dani Rose]

Ahem...

[It’s so Joever]

Cobb 85% in, Warnock at 80%.

How is this not game over?

Who cares if a couple bumf--k redneck counties with low turnout shifted 1 point right?

"Reverse-tradamus" indeed.

Forumlurker shouldn't be acting like Walker is looking good, but if you're going to make grand predictions and sweeping statements on this thread, you should have enough intuition to know that Warnock would not be at 80% if Cobb is 85% in. It's either an artifact of the different vote methods that makes it say 85% in or a tabulation error that puts Warnock at 80%.

When did I say that? I literally just said I think Warnock wins lmfao

[Not Me, Us]

A third of the vote in and still no needle. So much for that, I guess.

[Ferguson97]

Where was the Cobb margin in the general?

Warnock+16

[Dani Rose]

A third of the vote in and still no needle. So much for that, I guess.

The Reverend is so powerful, he negates the need for the Needle entirely!

[Alben Barkley]

Well s--t, there was a tabulation error in Cobb.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Kornacki says the Cobb number was in error.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Raphael Warnock*incumbent
Dem.   549,880   +55.0%55.0%
Herschel Walker
Rep.   449,008   +45.0%45.0
Total reported
998,888

[It’s so Joever]

Looks like jumping on someone just urging caution about a 40% swing in a large diverse county was not such a good idea, huh?

[certified hummus supporter 🇵🇸🤝🇺🇸🤝🇺🇦]

The vampire vote just isn’t there for walker

Walker just needs the illegal Martian vote to win smh

[ProgressiveModerate]

I WANT MASSIVE DUMPS!

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The vampire vote just isn’t there for walker

#WerewolvesForWalker never got off the ground.

[It’s so Joever]

Anyways, in some good news for Warnock, he overperformed in Ben Hill.

[MT Treasurer]

Brantley County >95% in

Walker 92%
Warnock 8%

~5,500 votes cast so far.

In January 2021:

Perdue 91%
Ossoff 9%

~6,600 votes cast back then.

Washington County >95% in

Walker 51%
Warnock 49%

~6,800 votes cast so far.

In January 2021:

Perdue 49%
Ossoff 51%

~8,500 votes cast back then.

Pierce County >95% in

Walker 89%
Warnock 11%

~6,700 votes cast so far.

In January 2021:

Perdue 88%
Ossoff 12%

~7,900 votes cast back then.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

The vampire vote just isn’t there for walker

Walker just needs the illegal Martian vote to win smh

The Chinese are taking the good aliens, so the bad aliens gotta move.

[Alben Barkley]

What are the odds Wasserman calls it before the needle even turns on?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Brantley County >95% in

Walker 92%
Warnock 8%

~5,500 votes cast so far.

In January 2021:

Perdue 91%
Ossoff 9%

~6,600 votes cast back then.

Washington County >95% in

Walker 51%
Warnock 49%

~6,800 votes cast so far.

In January 2021:

Perdue 49%
Ossoff 51%

~8,500 votes cast back then.

Pierce County >95% in

Walker 89%
Warnock 11%

~6,700 votes cast so far.

In January 2021:

Perdue 88%
Ossoff 12%

~7,900 votes cast back then.

Totally not selective at all. Fair analysis.

[ProgressiveModerate]

What's with DeKalb they haven't dumped anything yet? Usually, they're one of the better metro Atlanta counties whereas Gwinnett is the slow one.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Can't wait until the whole South goes Democratic again, as it was always meant to be. Georgia is just the first domino to fall (well, second after Virginia).

You guys aren’t winning TN SC AR AL LA anytime soon and TX is still 2-3 cycles  out from even being a purple state

[Dani Rose]

What are the odds Wasserman calls it before the needle even turns on?

Extremely high. I think Warnock puts it away before NYT even gets the chance.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

The vampire vote just isn’t there for walker

#WerewolvesForWalker never got off the ground.

furries are overwhelmingly left-leaning anyway.

[Skill and Chance]

Brantley County >95% in

Walker 92%
Warnock 8%

~5,500 votes cast so far.

In January 2021:

Perdue 91%
Ossoff 9%

~6,600 votes cast back then.

Washington County >95% in

Walker 51%
Warnock 49%

~6,800 votes cast so far.

In January 2021:

Perdue 49%
Ossoff 51%

~8,500 votes cast back then.

Pierce County >95% in

Walker 89%
Warnock 11%

~6,700 votes cast so far.

In January 2021:

Perdue 88%
Ossoff 12%

~7,900 votes cast back then.

Interesting.  Didn't Walker already do somewhat better than 2020/21 in the South Georgia rurals in the GE?